Saturday, November 30, 2019

week thirteen

"Christmas is a very special time of year.
Any minute now, my relatives will all be here.
Please God -- don't let me run out of beer!

Thinkin'!  'Bout drinkin'!  For Christmas!
Fillin' my glass to the top,
With some holiday wishes!

Doesn't matter what you're sippin' --
It's the gift that keeps on givin'!
Just Thinkin'!  'Bout drinkin'!  For Christmas!

My cousin showed up with a bottle of peppermint shine.
And tomorrow, I'll be cursing him
For this migraine of mine!

If Aunt Alice talks any longer?
I'm gonna need something
A little more stronger!

Thinkin'!  'Bout drinkin'!  For Christmas!
Fillin' my glass to the top,
With some holiday wishes!

Doesn't matter what you're sippin' --
It's the gift that keeps on givin'!
Just Thinkin'!  'Bout drinkin'!  For Christmas!

It's a long standing family tradition --
Have a not so Silent Night,
Lit up like the lights we hung up in the kitchen!

Thinkin'!  'Bout drinkin'!  For Christmas!
Fillin' my glass to the top,
With some holiday wishes!

Doesn't matter what you're sippin' --
It's the gift that keeps on givin'!
Just Thinkin'!  'Bout drinkin'!  For Christmas!

Yeah, I'm thinkin'?  'Bout drinkin'?
For Christmas!!!!! ..."

-- "Thinkin' 'Bout Drinkin' for Christmas" by Kristian Bush.

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Welcome to my second favorite time of year, y'all! *  I love the month of December, and everything that comes with it.  Well, except the cold.  And the fact my personal property taxes are due.  And that once again, the Chiefs are hellbent on making me sweat this month out with undue and unnecessary stress that ... well, that can be someone alleviated Sunday.  Anyways, here's to a (god awful car sales voice) December to Remember!!!!!

(*: nothing trumps Fourth of July week.  A week built around drinking insane amounts of alcohol, floating in the pool, and blowing sh*t up, while wondering where the hell my t-shirt disappeared to?  That's as good as it gets.  If only IndyCar would bring back the July Fourth race to Kansas Speedway, to truly make that week (the late, great mr. hugh m. hefner voice) really special!)

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The Statisticals.

(Note: no Week Ten picks were submitted due to real-life issues that trumped posting them.

Last Week SU: 8-6-0.
Season to Date SU: 97-65-1.

Last Week ATS: 7-7-0.
Season to Date ATS: 89-73-1.

Last Week Upset / Week: yikes.
Season to Date Upset / Week SU: 7-7-0.
Season to Date Upset / Week ATS: 8-6-0.
This Week's Upset / Week:

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The Non-Chiefs Picks.

* Byes: None.  Thank God.

* The Turkey Day Picks were posted earlier.

* Packers (-6 1/2) 34, at Giants 13.  Danny Dimes might want to invest in a dime bag or six before this one is over.  Trust me dude; it makes you feel better than you're gonna feel when the Jones Bros are done using you as (clark judge voice) their own personal urinal, Sunday afternoon.

* Redskins (+10) 14, at Panthers 10.  I'm picking "Sur" William Callahan to win back-to-back games for the first time since Weeks One and Two ... in 2007.  Who says excessive drinking on this holiday weekend doesn't cause permanent brain damage!  Also, how cool was it that a KU Football product produced the Redskins victory last week!  Who knew the David Beaty Error Era might have some lasting value!

Double also -- who gives a f*ck that Dwayne Haskins chose to take a selfie with a long-suffering Redskins season ticket holder, than come out for the final kneel down?  (Other than our "good friend", self-righteous hypocrite Ol' Pete King.  Of COURSE he b*tched about it:


In the same column he demands the NFL "move on" and "get over" Myles Garrett trying to kill -- literally kill! -- Mason Rudolph on the field, he trashes a dude who just got his first professional win taking a selfie with a fan.  Jesus, Pete.  Maybe it's YOU who needs to take the sixty minutes each week that make you a millionaire more seriously.  And by "more seriously", I mean "shut the f*ck up" sometimes about sh*t you know nothing about.)

Triple also: I've always believed that unless the victory clinches something of value (a playoff berth or win, a division or conference championship, a Super Bowl), you send out the third stringer to take the knee.  Too many crazy injuries happen in this league, to risk your QB1 taking an unnecessary hit.  To say nothing of crazy endings said run-out-the-clock scenarios can create.  Right, Herm Edwards?

* 49ers (+5 1/2) 24, at Ravens 20.  This line is beyond insane.  It's the second worst line on the board this week (the worst involves the Chiefs ... sadly.)  This is such an overreaction to Lamar Jackson shredding an injury riddled Rams defense that failed to show up Monday night (dammit).  The 49ers are at worst the third best team in the league right now.  Considering the two best teams square off Sunday night, that means I think they're better than the Ravens.  And for once?  That ain't the beer talkin'.

* Titans (+2 1/2) 17, at Colts 16.  These 1/2's are driving me bat sh*t crazy.  Just pick a whole number, please, CBS Sportsline?  It makes, uuh, making these predictions, a lot easier.

* Eagles 19, at Dolphins (+10) 14.  Philly survives ... barely.  There's clearly something wrong with Carson Wentz, and I ain't talking about his half completed, looks completely ridiculous right arm sleeve of tats.  Still, Philly has to be the favorites to win the East, given their and Dallas' remaining schedules.  The Eagles in the playoffs over the Cowboys.  Please, pass the stiffest whiskey in my freezer ...

* at Jaguars (+1 1/2) 3, Bucs 0.  Sweet merciful baby Jesus.  Not even these two fanbases want to witness this failed abortion of a matchup.

* Jets (-3 1/2) 24, at Bengals 13.  Sssshhhh.  (elmer fudd voice) Be vewy, vewy quiet.  If the Jets win out?  They're in.  They actually control their own destiny.  Now granted, they have the Steelers, Ravens, and Bills still to go ... but they control their own destiny.  (Note: Godd*mmit, does that collapse against Buffalo to open the season look 99.99% worse in hindsight, than it did in real time.)  But again -- the Jets control their own destiny.  How Jets would it be, to take a 1-7 start, and set NFL history by running off eight straight, to reach the playoffs ... and enter Arrowhead for a wild card game.  (Pause).  Yeah.  I don't think I'd survive my two teams facing off in the postseason.  Let's just hope the Bengals win and end this (rob dyrdek voice) ridiculousness.

* Browns (-2) 34, at Steelers 13.  Holy God, the Browns are road favorites ... at Pittsburgh!  For the first time since Bud Carson was being wheeled around the sidelines!

Also, one of my three direct reports will be at this game.  I've already given her permission to take until mid December to come back to the office if need be, if her Steelers lose.  I'd need a couple weeks if my team ever lost at home to the Browns.  Sh*t, I needed a month after the Chiefs crapped the bed at home against those people in 2002.  And twenty something years later, I still haven't gotten over January 4, 1998.  Let alone January 20, 2019.

* Rams (-2 1/2) 31, at "Super" Cardinals 24.  I hate taking this many road teams ... but they're all favored for a reason, right?  Also, the Rams close vs Seahawks / at Cowboys / at 49ers / vs "Super" Cardinals.  They need this one, badly, if they're gonna steal the six seed from the loser in the NFC Norris.

* at those people (+3) 31, "Super" Chargers 20.  Does the drew lock era error begin this week, or next week?  Either way, I can't wait to Ryan Leaf his career on December 15th.  #f*ckdenver #always

* at Texans (+3) 31, Patriots 21.  I've admitted to my indefensible and insane man crush on Deshaun Watson.  The nation will see why I feel about him as I do, on Sunday night.

* Vikings (+3) 34, at Seahawks 31 (OT).  An epic Monday nighter to open December, between two teams that in any of the divisions other than the ones they occupy, would probably win said divisions.

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The "Klassy" Kevin Kietzman Tweet O' The Week.


For once, I come to not only praise "K"KK ... but kompletely agree with him.

The "makeover" kommercials airing here in Kansas Kity are kompletely klueless and outright stupid.  I mean, if you own a house in Leawood, are you really driving a 1988 Oldsmobile Kutlass?  Or a 1992 Khevrolet Kelebrity?  I mean Jesus, I rent in Waldo and I kan afford a 2015 Jeep Wrangler.  (Trust me: it ain't kheap.)

You're telling me people making six, seven times my salary, living in and owning a house that my rental would be a treehouse in the back yard at, kan't afford a Dodge Ram payment?  ("mnf kountdown" voice) Kome on man!

Also from Kaptain Klassy Kietz this week:


I kouldn't agree more, Ol' Kev.  I kouldn't agree more.

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The Watching Party Plans.

There are no The Watching Party Plans, as this is a Chiefs game I will be in attendance for.

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The Tailgating Plans.

If it's the raiders, that means only one thing: ribs.

Russ will start the smoking of them Saturday, and we'll reheat them on Sunday.  In addition to a generous helping of the best ribs you'll ever eat, we'll have some smoked baked beans, some assorted side dishes, and an operational bar to boot.  Scott is trying a new variety of his green bean casserole that never lasts beyond the fifth person in the food line too.  And in the words of the late, great Senator Edward M. Kennedy (D-MA ... and you can decide if the D stands for Democrat, Drowned, or Drunk), "you can bet your ass" Michelle will have the seven layer dip that somehow disappears within thirty minutes of the first chip entering it.

The STM email says the gates open at 10:30.  We all know that's (seventh day adventist voice) fertilizer.  The Bus is leaving at 8:30, anticipating a 9:30 opening.  I'll have the iPad out to catch the 49ers / Ravens and Browns / Steelers contests that have significant playoff ramifications for the Chiefs (especially the latter).

As always, if you wish to avoid paying parking, you're more than welcome to ride with us, although Sunday's gonna be a little cramped -- there's at least ten of us riding out, possibly twelve depending on if Nicole and Andrew can get Monday off.  (Note: they couldn't.  It'll just be ten as of Saturday morning.)  As always, if you need a spot to park, I'll do my damndest to save it, although its far easier to just park in Lot G across from us, than on the grass anymore.

And as always, if you need a place to tailgate, you're always welcome to join us in that little slice of heaven, on the grassy knoll just north of the G30 sign.  We're anticipating our biggest crowd of the season -- probably sixty of us between the three groups that converge on that magical spot, including our good friend Chris in from Puerto Rico (because, raiders.  That team is to her, what those people are to me.  Section 132 should be fun Sunday afternoon!  #embracethehate).  Hope to see y'all on this magical "who'dve thunk this game would determine the fate of the regular season?!?!?!" Sunday!

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Stevo Drink O' The Week.

Flash back with me nearly fifteen years ... ok, slightly more than fifteen years, to the spring of 2004.  What a lovely spring it was.  Phil Mickelson finally won a major, storming from six back on day one (and five back with nine to play) to win The Masters via a birdie on 18 that may or may not have (jim valvano voice) "moved my emotions to tears".  (Note: it did.  Big time.)  The worst KU squad Bill Self will ever coach, somehow took a loaded Georgia Tech team to overtime in the Elite Eight.

The Chiefs had just brought back the original "Confident and Classy One", Gunther Cunningham, to oversee their defense after the no-punt playoff debacle against Indy.

And in western Shawnee, two good friends made (arguably) the dumbest financial decision of their lives: me and "The Voice of Reason" purchased full season Royals, uuh, season tickets, after the excitement of the 2003 season.

Knowing we'd be going on a nightly basis, and knowing how much I drank then (and now too, I suppose), it was time to pick a quality liquor to mix with the cheap Pepsi's at Kauffman.  But what to pick?

So, we go to the late, great Matchette Liquor ** , and Justin hands me a bottle, and simply says "you can't go wrong with this".

The bottle?  Knob Creek.

I mention this, because Thursday at me and the folks' Turkey Day dinner, my dad reaches into the freezer, grabs a couple glasses, and pours us a couple ... Knob Creek's on the rocks.

(It's nice to see his "cardiac event" two weeks ago hasn't impacted the reasons behind that cardiac event, I suppose.)

But mostly, it was just nice to sit for an hour and shoot the sh*t over some quality bourbon with the old man.

So that's this week's Drink O' The Week: Knob Creek on the rocks.

(And as a finishing note: they couldn't produce enough Knob Creek, to deal with being a 2004 Kansas City Royals season ticket holder.  (To say nothing of being a 2004 Kansas Football season ticket holder.)  I'm pretty sure I consumed every bottle in the bistate county area by mid-May.  Jesus, that team was awful.  Just awful.)

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(**: "Mr. Reason" and other friends used to argue I single handedly kept that liquor store afloat for the five years I lived out that way.  You laugh ... but within six months of my moving across the state line to South Kansas City, that place had closed.  The lesson?  Damned if I know.)

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The Flashback.

When it's the Chiefs and the raiders, there's way too many games to pick, as the "defining game" or the "defining moment" of my lifetime.  (For the record, I turn 43 on Wild Card weekend.  Gulp.  (family guy voice) Damn Stevo!  You old!)

So this week, I'll let you all decide.  Here are my ten favorite Chiefs / raiders matches, and my reason(s) why.

10. Chiefs 9, raiders 7, 1990.  Unless you were there, you can't imagine how miserable this game was.  Low 30s, howling wind, endless freezing rain.  Chiefs won on an Albert Lewis blocked punt that set up the game winning field goal.

9. Chiefs 28, raiders 10, 2019.  The raiders get out to a 10-0 lead ... and then the Chiefs blow them out of the building, in the last game we'll likely ever play at whatever the hell they call the Real Black Hole nowadays.  (Is it still the O'Co?  I don't know, and frankly, I don't care, but still, I try to call stadiums by their right name whenever possible.)

8. raiders 41, Chiefs 38, 1999.  The only defeat included in this listing, because (a) the game was amazing, (b) it's the greatest sports "what if" of my life (then, and now), and (c) did I mention the game was amazing?  Yes, the Chiefs collapsed (we led 17-0 before six minutes had elapsed).  Yes, the raiders tied the game on a fifth down.  Yes, one of the most clutch kickers this franchise has ever employed, badly missed the game winner from 45 as time expired.  Yes, this defeat cost the Chiefs the division, (I believe) a Super Bowl appearance, and most tragically, the life of Derrick Thomas.  Plus, for one day, "The Kicker Who Shall Not Be Named" was not the most hated kicker in franchise history.  (He arguably wasn't even the second most hated kicker that day.  Thank you, Pete "For President" Stoyanovich and Jon Baker.)

It also led to one of the great all-time post-game meltdowns I've ever witnessed, and for once, it wasn't me doing the melting down.  #weregoingtokmart #buyascale

7. Chiefs 27, raiders 23, 2005.  The moment Richard A. Vermeil took the diapers off Larry Johnson, as he called the delayed draw at the goalline as time expired to beat the raiders.  As "Captain Cash Grab" explained afterwards, "I'm too old to play for overtime".  Thanks, coach.  You're the best.  (Note: there is no Chiefs coach of my lifetime I despise more than Richard A. Vermeil.  And God knows I have a few sh*tty, incompetent baffoons to choose from.  Although his wines are amongst the best you'll ever have, ironically enough.  If only he'd invested the time he spends in fermentation, on his defensive units ...)

6. Chiefs 19, raiders 9, 1994.  A de facto playoff game that closed down the Coliseum.  Winner got to enjoy a beatdown by the Dolphins to open the playoffs, loser had their season end.  Mark Collins had a 90 plus yard return for a touchdown as the deciding score on this Christmas Eve matchup.

5a. Chiefs 24, raiders 19, 1989;
5b. Chiefs 31, raiders 24, 1998.

I always thought it perfect that Marty's first -- and last -- wins as a Chiefs head coach, were against the raiders.

4. Chiefs 21, raiders 13, 2016.  "Tyreek!  Tyreek!  Tyreek!"

3. Chiefs 30, raiders 27, 1997.  "Eighty yards.  One minute to play.  No TO's." / "We've seen it before." / "Oh yeah!" ... "And Andre Rison has just burned al davis' house down!  If you know what I mean!" / "We do!"  God, I miss Frank, Al, and Dan.

2. Chiefs 23, raiders 17 (OT), 1995.  "And Hostetler is ... INTERCEPTED!  The pass is intercepted by ... Collins!  And Mark Collins is gonna ... go ... touchdown!  Touchdown!  Kansas City!  The Chiefs have won the game!"  God, I miss that well placed back judge.

1. Chiefs 10, raiders 6, 1991 Wild Card.  Arrowhead's first playoff game ... and arguably its' finest hour.  It was so damned loud in that place, that first and goal at the eight, wound up being third and goal at the thirty eight, via six false start and procedural penalties on the raiders.  (Granted, it's the raiders, and the Art Shell "Face" coached raiders at that, but still -- six freaking penalties due to crowd noise on the deciding drive of the game!  (fran tarkenton voice) That's incredible!)  The first -- and so far only -- Chiefs / raiders playoff game of my life.  (Although I sorta, kinda hope numero dos occurs in five weeks.)  And the first Chiefs playoff win of my existence.

This has to be number one ... at least for now.

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Stevo Neighborhood Update.

They've finally broken ground on redeveloping the Price Choppe ... hang on.  I have to do this one right.

Ladies and gentlemen, from that great The Pavilion cocktail lounge in the sky, our ol' pardner -- the late, great Mr. William Grigsby.  Grigs *** ?

(bill grigsby voice) Thanks Stevo, and how the f*ck are you, sir?  Ladies and gentlemen, they've finally broken ground on redeveloping the Prrrrrrrrrrrrrice Choppppppppppppppper complex on Wornall!  Live from the The Pavilion the sleaziest cocktail lounge in the sky, it's back to you on the ground!

Thanks dude.  Let's just hope Harry is still getting his Mountain Valley Spring Water up there beside you, sir.

(And yes, Grigs asking someone "how the f*ck are you?" **** live on the pregame show (which got him banished to The Pavilion in (I believe) 2003), will never get old.)

Yes, the redevelopment has finally begun.  The African-American hair place finally was evicted, so the only two things left are the only two that are assured to be left standing (three if you count the UMB Bank): Price Chopper, and the Piano Room.

I can't wait to see how sweet this Price Chopper is gonna be when it's done.  And I guarantee you all of us who voted to tax ourselves to redevelop this strip mall, agree with me on that ***** .

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(***: the best Bill Grigsby story ever, ironically enough, is told by someone who despised him: Mr. Reason's mom.  Trust me -- you'll simply smile and say "yup, that's Grigs!" hearing it.)

(****: I must have retold the Bill Grigsby "I hope we beat those f*ckers" story at least fifty times on Broadway down in Nashville three weeks ago.  Every Chiefs fan loved it.  Twenty years later, and encountering a Chiefs broadcaster exiting an adult entertainment establishment less than six hours before he has to be on the air, and hearing him say that, never gets old.)

(*****: kudos to Jackson County and KCMO for establishing these local zones where we can vote to tax ourselves, to redevelop where we live.  It's not a city-wide vote, but an area wide vote.  Thanks to the street car, it's now legal.  And it's paying off.  If you doubt me, take a drive to 31st and Prospect, and look at what that tax zone did for that area.  You'd never believe you were on Prospect, it's that nice looking.  I can't wait to see what 85th and Wornall will look like, two years from now.)

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"Disreputable" Mexican Food Truck Update.

Apparently said "Disreputable" Mexican Food Truck failed a city health inspection, which is why we haven't seen it in pushing a month.  Frankly, I don't care if they had live rats on top of the grill, I miss the food.  Besides, there's no way in hell the Subway on Linwood could pass a health inspection, and somehow they're still open for business.

(Seriously, I ate at that Subway on Tuesday and got the meatball foot long.  It looked sketchy, but I was hungry.  It's five days later, and I still can't sh*t solid, uuh, sh*t, when I have to go.  I'm gonna be paying for that $5 foot long, for at least a week.  Thanks, Subway on Linwood.  You're the best!)

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The Chiefs Pontification and Prognostication.



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Picking the Chiefs This Season:

Straight Up: 6-5-0 (L at Jaguars, W at raiders, W vs Ravens, W at Lions, L vs Colts, L vs Texans, W at those people, L vs Packers, W vs Vikings, L at Titans, W at "Super" Chargers).
Against the Spread: 6-5-0 (L at Jaguars, W at raiders, W vs Ravens, L at Lions, L vs Colts, W vs Texans, W at those people, L vs Packers, W vs Vikings, L at Titans, W at "Super" Chargers).

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I hope everyone used the bye week to relax, and prep for the stretch run.

As noted last week, I ducked out to spend the weekend with my college roommate, Vineet.  And damn, was it fun.  Friday night we hit up Maggiano's for dinner, did a lot of reminiscing over some frosty cold Miller Lite's ... and other assorted chemical products that may or may not become decriminalized here on January 1st, then Saturday took in the Stars / Blackhawks shootout thriller, before I headed home Sunday.

And on the trip home Sunday, I stopped off to see my friends Brett and Shannon, who I hadn't seen in a few years, and that was another few hours of reminiscing over frosty cold adult beverages.

This, coming two weeks after five of us got together to celebrate surviving another trip around the sun, and to reminisce and just enjoy each other's company (on a day I really needed it.  F*cking idiot cardiologist at Research.)

I mention this ... because in many regards, there's one reason why I don't despise the raiders like I should.

And that's because this weekend ...

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The raiders game is almost always our biggest tailgate of the season, and it's for a reason -- it's because it draws in countless friends, former season ticket holders, and random one-off "hey, we tailgated here once, why not do it again" casual encounters that turns the gig into one gigantic party.

Sunday, my buddy Drey and his girlfriend, and Tom and his girlfriend, will be in from South Dakota for this game.  Granted, I just saw them in September for the road game at oakland, but still, it's probably the last time we'll see each other (barring a wild card matchup) until next football season.  Sunday, my former seatmate Chris and her guy Freddie will be there.  She'll never miss a raiders game, even if she misses most of the others since her move to Puerto Rico six years ago.

Sunday, my "special little guy" (who isn't so little anymore -- Jesus, they grow up fast) will make his first appearance of the season.  I'll never forget the Chargers finale in 2014, when the A-Man (all of six years old at the time) came strolling into the tailgate like he owned the place, and just grabbed a plate, shoveled some food on it, then sat down in Unca Teve's old-school Rolling Rock chair and staked his spot.  (As his poor dad (aka my brother) was stuck lugging a cooler from Lot N.  #goodtimes)

Two thirds of the people there didn't have a clue who he was.  A-Man couldn't have cared less.  This was "Unca Teve's Tailgate", and that was good enough for him.

As it is for so many of you reading this, a lot of whom I look forward to seeing tomorrow.

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Twenty years ago, when I moved back to Kansas City after college, Chiefs football was honestly about one thing for me: the football.  The tailgating was nice, but it was a take or leave proposition.  (Especially if it was cold.  90 and sunny?  I can always get my tailgate on.  18 and snowing?  Not so much.)

I cared more about the game itself.  The hatred of those people.  The despise of oakland.  The "wait, they're our rivals?!?!?!" attitude towards the Chargers.  The "wait, they're in our division?!?!?!" confusion over the Seahawks.  The love of the Red and Gold, on the field, above all.

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Ten years ago, my attitude started to shift (mainly because the on-field product was unwatchable most weeks).  I started to look forward to who the Chiefs were playing more.  I looked more forward to watching Aaron Rodgers, than the Chiefs.  To watching Cam Newton than the Chiefs.  To watching Michael Vick, Tom Brady, Donovan McNabb, Russell Wilson and Marshawn Lynch, Tony Romo and Dez Bryant.  Andrew Luck, Drew Brees, phyllis rivers.

(You won't hear me say "jay cutler".  That cuckholded deusche never lost to the Chiefs, anywhere.  3-0 at Arrowhead, 5-0 overall.  Those stats still make me need to vomit.  I mean, even satan manning got his ass handed to us as those people's starting quarterback once.)

To seeing Tony Gonzalez return as a Falcon, seeing Donnie Edwards return as a Charger (note: that one still is weird to think about), seeing Trent Green return as a Dolphin.  (It happened ... preseason 2007).

But somewhere between ten, twelve years ago, and today, my focus and anticipation shifted from the game ... to the reason I still choose to pay thousands of dollars to go to said games.

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At the risk of sounding like the philosopher I ain't, as I get older, what matters more on these GameDay Sunday's isn't the game.  It's the interaction with everyone.  And as I get older, and reflect on the "road not chosen", so to speak, it's honestly cool to see how things change ... yet remain the same.

It's cool to see Mr. Reason and his kid, and whatever the hell we're gonna call Tim and his kid, out there every week.  The present ... and the future.  Ditto my brother and his kid.  And this week, we found out my good buddy Ryan and his lovely wife Alyssa are expecting in June.  This on the heels of my good buddy Anthony and his wife Jaimmie expecting Super Bowl weekend.

When I was twenty, twenty two, I didn't get why tailgating meant so much to folks my parent's age.  I didn't get why Randy and Nancy were there before the gates opened.  (Ditto The Bus folks.)  I didn't get why Gordon and Bonnie drove six hours every Saturday to spend a couple hours enjoying a Dr. Pepper or five on a frigid cold Sunday morning in a parking lot.

I think I get it now.

(Pause).

God d*mn, The Byrds were right.

"I was so much older then.  I'm younger than that now ..."

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I used to write a post every year thanking the people who make my life worth living.  It used to be my favorite post of the year to write.  I haven't written it in five years, partly because some of the people who made that post worth typing, proved to not be worth typing about.

But mostly because I just assumed, for better or for worse, that those of you who are a part of my life, know what you mean to me.  I'd like to think I don't have to type on this poorly read (and proofread! #makestevossitenumerodosgreat ... #forthefirsttime) site my feelings and emotions.

But maybe I do.

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In the past three weeks, I've seen my dad survive a botched heart operation after a "cardiac event".  I've spent an evening with four great friends, all of whom I've known for at least half my life.  (And in three of the four cases, a helluva lot longer than that.)  I saw my former co-worker and friend, and his wife, for the first time since my "career sabbatical" three years ago.

I spent Wednesday night with my extended family, attempting to play Fortnite with my nephew (note: I suck at that game, worse than I suck at Madden ... and at least I could blame my suckitude at Madden, on Chadwick Pennington), attempting to figure out which niece was which now that they changed their hair looks (note: please don't ever do that again to Unca Teve, ok?  He's usually at least five glasses of pinot grigio in before he sees you).  I spent Thursday with my parents, Friday with my Second Parents, and will spend today with "raider nation north" coming in for the game tomorrow.  I'll get to spend tonight with Coltin and Chance and Blake and the Mahomies folks that have become a core of our tailgate.

And I'll get to spend tomorrow with a lot of you reading this today.

That?

And for once, I won't attempt to censor myself.

That?

Is pretty god damned fucking cool.

Because you?

Are why I keep showing up for these "cardiac event" endusing, uuh, events.

Happy Thanksgiving (and Drinksgiving!) weekend everyone.  Happy Chrismukkah season!

And on Sunday?

Embrace the hate of oakland ... and the love of those, you truly love.

Because sometimes?  It takes ten years apart, to realize how much better, you are together:


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Sunday, like Norm every day at "Cheers", I'm showing up for my one true love in life.

And like Norm -- in a stunner -- it ain't the beer.

I'm showing up, because of y'all.  I'm nothing without the friends, family, and most importantly, the friends that are family, in this life.  So many of you I've met through this experience we call tailgating, we call GameDay, we call Chiefs Football.

And I'm damned lucky and proud, to do it again on Sunday.

I truly hope an annual post isn't needed, to express how thankful I am, for each and everyone of you, being a part of my life.

I hope I've conveyed the emotion properly enough.

But if not ... thank you for being a friend.  Travel down the road and back again.  Your heart is true; you're a pal and a confidant.

(Pause).  Dammit!  Late 80s sitcom theme songs strike again!

* at Chiefs 31, raiders (+10) 27.  This line is indefensible, ridiculous, and possibly insane.

Three things, if we're being honest here, all of y'all have said about me, more times than I care to think about.  And yet, we're still here.  Still friends.  (paul simon voice) Still crazy, after all these years ...

Hope to see y'all tomorrow!



Thursday, November 28, 2019

quick turkey day picks

Full Week Thirteen picks up later today or Friday.

* Bears (-5 1/2) 24, at Lions 14.  Our fair nation has seen its' fair share of ridiculous and "what the f*ck?" lawsuits * filed in its two hundred plus years of existence.  How come nobody has sued the NFL for forcing us to watch a god-awful Lions squad get its ass raped every Thanksgiving Day, usually during the main course?  Having to watch the Detroit Lions is a crime against good food, good friends, reasonable family members, and most importantly, the post-dinner gambling marathon that may or may not happen in my Uncle Bill's basement.  Someone should sue to get a new team on the docket (rimshot!)  Or at least to force the Lions to be in the hunt for something other than a top ten pick, when this game kicks off every year.

(*: still my favorite "Family Guy" episode -- and moment -- ever.)

* at Cowboys (-6 1/2) 31, Bills 24.  If my name was Jason Garrett, I believe, in the words of Stevo's Site Numero Dos' Official Color Commentator (Emeritus), the legendary Dan Dierdorf, that it would "behoove" Mr. Garrett, to win this game.  Jerry has fired offensive coordinators at halftime before.  (Sorry, Ernie "Chain Smoker" Zampeze.)  Sh*t, he's fired broadcasters during the game before.  (Sorry, Dale Hanson.)  The man fired the best coach he'll ever have over a drunken argument at a hotel bar for Christ's sake.  You crap the bed at home, on national television, to let the Eagles back into this race?  You're not long for the sideline.  Especially when the closing four are at Bears (TNF) / vs Rams (FOX) / at Eagles (FOX) / vs Redskins.

As noted earlier, it would really help the Chiefs, if the Cowboys win this game.  (As well as create mass confusion and chaos in the AFC wild card standings.)  Come on confusion and chaos!

* Saints (-6 1/2) 45, at "Shane" Falcons 10.  I have to heap a lot of praise on whoever the NFL Schedule Guru is this season, for so far picking damned solid prime time matchups.  (Only one flex so far -- booting Seahawks at Eagles for Packers at 49ers last week.  And frankly, either option was solid.)  I mean, even the Monday Night schedule has been good -- up to and including two huge ones in December (Vikings at Seahawks on Monday; Packers at Vikings Week Sixteen).

But this?  This is indefensible.  For a second straight year, America will be turning off its' televisions by halftime, to avoid this garbage fest.  Yo, NFL?  NOBODY outside of the deepest of the Deep South wants to watch these two teams play, period.  Let alone in prime time, with no other options (save for a horrid Ole Miss / Mississippi State option that might draw ratings, if this crapfest is the other football option).

Let's hope next year, we get a matchup on Thanksgiving Night the nation is clamoring to watch.  Like, say, I don't know ... the Patriots at Arrowhead?  (Next year's home schedule for KC is those people, raiders, "Super" Chargers, "Shane" Falcons, Panthers, Patriots, Jets, and the AFC Norris team that finishes in the same position as the Chiefs (likely the Ravens at this point).  Tell me Pats at Chiefs -- or Ravens at Chiefs, or raiders at Chiefs -- wouldn't double the ratings NBC will "earn" tonight.

The rest of Week Thirteen, plus the usual side dishes that come with the picks, should be up by tomorrow morning.  (They're about 40% done at this point ... or about the same as the mimosa my mom made me this morning (rimshot!)) ...

chiefs week thirteen rooting interests

Week Twelve was a mixed bag of sorts for the Chiefs.  For all intents and purposes, a first round bye is now out of the question.  Yes, they're three behind the Patriots (who they still play), two behind the Ravens (who they have beaten), and tied with the Texans (who they have lost to) ... but this isn't baseball, where five weeks to play means thirty plus games to go.  Even if the Chiefs win out, they have to have both the Ravens and Patriots lose twice more, and after what we witnessed on Sunday afternoon and Monday night, is there any semi-sane person willing to wager on that outcome occurring?  (crickets chirping.)

But, just as Week Twelve was bigger than Week Eleven ... Week Thirteen is bigger than Week Twelve.  And this week in the AFC, we have a virtual playoff game at the Ketchup Bottle, a virtual playoff game in Indy, a "winner likely takes the West" showdown at Terrorhead, one amazing and intriguing Sunday Nighter at Reliant between who I believe are the two best teams in the AFC (sorry, Ravens) ... oh, and those red-hot and rolling Ravens?

Host the best team the other conference has to offer, fresh off a thirty point ass raping of their own giving against a very credible NFC Super Bowl contender (Packers).

Buckle up kiddos.  This is gonna be one fun weekend of football.

First, here are your up-to-the-moment AFC standings:


(Note: if tiebreaker(s) held don't / didn't really matter to this week's standings, I didn't include them.  That, and if you're a fan of the sport, you can figure out when teams are tied without facing each other, conference record becomes the tiebreaker that matters.)

Here then are your Week Thirteen Chiefs Rooting Interests:

* Biggest Game: Browns at Steelers (Sunday, noon CT, CBS).  Simply put, this is a playoff game.  No ifs, and's, or but's about it.  The winner is still facing an uphill battle to reach January ... but the loser is toast.

If the Steelers lose, then the Browns will own the tiebreaker via a head to head sweep, and with a very favorable schedule left, the Browns will be in solid playoff positioning entering a pretty soft December schedule.  (They close vs Bengals / at "Super" Cardinals / vs Ravens / at Bengals.  That's doable ... especially since they already won at Baltimore.)

If the Steelers win, then the Browns are all but done, as they'll fall two behind a wild card slot with four to play, have already lost the tiebreaker to Buffalo, and would have no way to credibly make up ground against the teams in front of them.  And not only would the Steelers move to the top of the surviving 7-5 teams, and like the Browns, they have a very favorable schedule down the stretch (at "Super" Cardinals / vs Bills / at Jets / at Ravens).

If you're coming out to tailgate with us, I'll have this one pulled up on the iPad; it's our local CBS game at noon.  (Thank you Channel 5!)

* Root For: Browns.  Chaos folks, chaos.  Also, if the wild card teams keep piling up losses, it helps provide a back door road to January for the Chiefs.  Double also, would anyone be upset to see Baker and Mahomies throw down to open January?  Because I wouldn't be.  That, and I don't care if they were starting a corpse under center, I want no part of the Steelers anywhere, anytime, or anyplace.

Especially Arrowhead in January.  #notgoodtimes

* Second Biggest Game: Titans at Colts (Sunday, noon CT, CBS).  The Colts won the first game in Nashville three months ago 19-17, on a few stunning Adam Vinatieri field goals.  (Stunning, in that he made them.)  As much of a roll as the Titans have been on lately (winning four of five since switching to Ryan Tannehill at quarterback), that roll needs the butter of a victory over the Colts on it, to be edible (rimshot!)  Otherwise, their Christmas goose may be cooked before the Thanksgiving leftovers are thrown away.

* Root For: (I Think) Titans.  They have a much tougher closing schedule (at raiders / vs Texans / at Saints / at Texans) than the Colts (at Bucs / at Saints / vs Panthers / at Jags).  Both teams, though, hold tiebreaker over the Chiefs, so if it comes down to that for the last slot in the (hootie johnson voice) toonumunt, well ... let's just hope it doesn't, come down to that.

* Third Biggest Game: Bills at Cowboys (Thursday, 3:30pm CT, CBS).  You can argue Patriots at Texans is bigger, and I won't necessarily disagree with you ... but for playoff purposes, this one is much bigger.  The Bills have already clinched a .500 record, and realistically, with the flotsam and jetsam and abject raw sewage the race for the second AFC wild card is, all they need to do is win twice more, and they'll be in, probably as the top wild card (five seed), probably hoofing it to the South or West champion, to open the postseason.

But here's the thing.  They have maybe -- maybe! -- one "should win it" game left: the finale against a resurgent Jets team at The Ralph.  Their next four, counting this week, are at Dallas / vs Baltimore / at Pittsburgh / at New England.

My way of saying: if the Bills don't circle the wagons in Jerry World today, they may not get to ten wins.  Sh*t, if they lose today?  They may not even get to nine!  And no matter how rank and stank that collection of teams trying to get the sixth seed may smell?  At least two of them are getting to nine wins.  Eight ain't getting you in.

* Root For: Cowboys.  For one day, for approximately four hours, they truly are America's team.  (At least if you're a Chiefs fan.)

Other Rooting Interests.

* Patriots at Texans: Patriots.  A Texans win pretty much seals shut the first round bye door for the Chiefs.  A Patriots win keeps it cracked open enough to allow the whiff of a dream to keep floating through. 

* 49ers at Ravens: 49ers.  The best game of the day that isn't at Arrowhead or Reliant.  (Thanks to our good friends at FOX4, we can pull this one up on the iPad too!  Isn't technology amazing!)  And frankly, it's probably better than both of those games too.  This is gonna be one fun Sunday nighter.

* Bucs at Jaguars: Bucs.  One more loss ought to eliminate the Jaguars from realistic contention.

* "Super" Chargers at those people: terrorism those people.  One more loss ought to eliminate the "Super" Chargers from playoff contention.  (And hopefully eliminate Anthony Lynn from his job.  He's too damned good of a coach, to coach a divisional rival.  Hey, Dean Spanos!  I hear "Sur" William Callahan will be available soon!  Give him a ring!  You probably still use a landline, you cheap ass deadbeat, right?)

* Jets at Bengals: Bengals.  The Jets aren't dead yet.  They're on life support ... but the cord is still plugged in.

* Eagles at Dolphins: Eagles.  Always root for the other conference, unless it hurts your team's chances.

Hope each and every one of y'all enjoys Turkey Day!  May it be as plastered with food, booze, and hangovers as my family's usually is ...

Thursday, November 21, 2019

week twelve: cue stevo smiling like he rarely does ...



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The Statisticals.

(Note: no Week Ten Picks were submitted due to real-life issues that trumped posting them.)

Last Week SU: 8-6-0.
Season to Date SU: 89-59-1.

Last Week ATS: 6-8-0.
Season to Date ATS: 82-66-1.

Last Week Upset / Week: two whiffs.
Season to Date Upset / Week SU: 7-6-0.
Season to Date Upset / Week ATS: 8-5-0.
This Week Upset / Week: Believe in chaos folks.  I love four AFC upsets this week (as you'll see below) ... but the one I'm most confident of, is Rams (+3) over Ravens.

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The Non-Chiefs Picks.

* Byes: Chiefs, "Super" Chargers, Vikings, "Super" Cardinals.  Yeah, there isn't anything "Super" about either of the "Super" teams, is there.

* at Texans (-3 1/2) 24, Colts 20.  If I have to pick one of these two places to travel to on the second weekend in January, I'm picking Houston 110 times out of 100.  The last weekend in May?  Give me Indy every time.  But second weekend in January?  This is a no brainer.

Also, Deshaun Watson in prime time equals Stevo drooling into his Drink O' The Week on the couch.  Jesus, I love this kid.

* at Browns (-11) 31, Dolphins 14.  The Browns continue to creep back into the wild card conversation.  (And if the Upset O' The Week hits, the divisional race as well.)

Also, as an aside, what a disaster Tua's injury last week was.  Not just for the Crimson Tide (which I could care less about, unless it involves them losing) and college football in general (which I could care less about, for the most part), but for the kid's future (which I root for) and the NFL in general (which I greatly care about).

As Rany pointed out on Twitter, if you don't feel for the kid, then you don't remember the injury that ended Vincent Edward Jackson's career for all intents and purposes.  And if you didn't have a man crush on Vincent Edward Jackson when you were 12, 13 years old, as a kid growing up in Kansas City?  If you didn't have to ask your dad "wait, is it actually OK to boo this dude?" as he was introduced as a raider at Arrowhead?

Then damn, did you miss out on one fun childhood.

Bo was never the same after David Fulcher tackled him in that playoff win over the Bengals.  Here's hoping and praying we won't be saying the same thing about Tua in a couple years.

* those people (+4) 24, at Bills 17.  Keep playing hard for vic, those people.  Please!  I implore you!  Keep playing just well enough to lose!  Keep this worthless head coach around for another season!  (To say nothing of the antichrist, which you employ as your general manager!  Please!  Let him keep making draft picks for as long as I draw breath on this planet!)

Also, am I the only one beyond geeked at destroying drew lock's career before it even begins on December 15th?  Ryan Leaf Junior!

* Steelers (-6 1/2) 41, at Bengals 10.  Probably a good thing Vontaze Burfict won't be on the field.  Because if he was, there's no way he'd hit Mason Rudolph with the padded part of his helmet, like Myles Garrett did.

* at Bears (-6) 13, Giants 3.  (fidelity ad guy voice) Why not?

* at Jets (+2 1/2) 20, raiders 6.  If the Chiefs have to play on my 43rd birthday weekend, please, dear God, let it be hosting the raiders.  The NFL needs a Chiefs / raiders playoff game like I need a Jacked Up right now.  (Pause).  Hang on.  (stevo heading to his liquor cabinet ...)

* at Saints 34, Panthers (+10) 27.  Raise your hand if you had the Saints as the first team to clinch their division.  (Pause).  Yeah.  Win their next two, and the South is over before December.  And to think everyone thinks the AFC South is the biggest joke of a division the NFL rolls out every year.

* at "Shane" Falcons (-4) 34, Bucs 20.  If the "Shane" Falcons played in the AFC, I'd wager on them to steal the six seed.  There's no way, though, the NFC will collapse enough to let them back into the wild card race.

* Lions (-3 1/2) 17, at Redskins 6.  Lest you think only I make fun of "Sur" William Callahan's utter unwillingness to give a sh*t about winning a football game, peoples and peepettes, I give you "Not Sur" Will Brinson of CBS Sportsline, in this week's gambling column:


"Bill Callahan just can't be trusted to care about winning ..."  (cue every Nebraska football, raider football, and general degenerate gambling fan, nodding in complete agreement.)

* at Eagles (-1 1/2) 17, Seahawks 14 (OT).  I don't get the Eagles offense.  At all.  I also don't get Carson Wentz' obsession with getting his right arm inked up.  If my name was Carson Wentz, I'd spend more time getting my right arm strong enough to complete a pass five yards downfield to a wide open Zach Ertz, instead of getting another bengal tiger-type stripe tatted on it.  But then again, my name isn't Carson Wentz, so do want you want to, young dude.  You aren't hurting anything other than my bank account with that arm, after all!

* at Titans (-3) 28, Jaguars 20.  I'd be fine welcoming either of these teams to Arrowhead to open January.  Because one we already beat handily, and the other one surely can't win a fifth straight (counting playoffs) against the Chiefs, can they?

* Cowboys (+6) 38, at Patriots 17.  This line is ridiculous.  The Cowboys would be a push at Jerry World?  Come on.  The Patriots are dropping their next three to throw the AFC into abject chaos at the top.  Here's the first of those three.

* at 49ers (-3) 45, Packers 13.  This line could be twenty and I'd bet the 49ers.  I love them in this spot.  The 49ers are the best team in the NFC.  They're one missed field goal away from being 10-0.  The Packers are good ... but they're not winning at Fake Candlestick Sunday night.  I don't even think they'll be competitive.

* at Rams (+3) 30, Ravens 27.  The line seems right ... but the wrong team is favored.

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The "Klassy" Kevin Kietzman Tweet O' The Week.

If you believe the general rumor mill and 810 WHB corporate speak ... then either El Kaptain Klassy is a klassic liar ... or kompletely klueless about things.

First, from Monday night, and please, read the three tweets in order from bottom to top:



So wait.  You're fired for ripping "Fat" Andy's alleged lack of institutional kontrol (of both the Khiefs and his own kids) ... and you're still ripping "Fat" Andy's alleged lack of institutional kontrol five months later, over one play that wasn't even penalized?  I'd ask if "K"KK will ever learn his lesson, but kome on, we all know the answer to that question.  And that answer is a kertified "hell no".

But as if that wasn't Klassic Kev at his finest ... this one takes the kake:



Wait -- if you're fired (with kause!) from your place of employment, then how the hell do you have a non-kompete klause as part of your kompensation package you get for being kicked out to the proverbial kurb?  I'll grant you, I've never been fired (but I have been laid off).  And I did have a non-kompete klause in my layoff from my most recent former employer.  That non-kompete was for ninety days.  That's it.

The longest non-kompete I can think of in the Kansas Kity market was Gary Lezak, who had to sit out (I believe) six months when he moved from FOX 4 to KSHB 41 a few years ago.  Ol' Kevin was relieved of his duties in late June.  Even assuming a six month non-kompete, that means he could be back on the air to start the new year if he so chose.  Also, just because you accept a non-kompete klause doesn't mean you can't accept another job in the industry during the non-kompete period!  It just means you can't start the new job until the non-kompete expires!

So, to recap: Uno Sin Pantalones is still engaging in public trashing of "Fat" Andy Reid, which is what got him fired in the first place ... and is now claiming he can't return to broadcasting because of a non-kompete klause, which is an utter and total bullsh*t lie that any person with an IQ above that of a slot jockey at Ameristar at 2:30 on a Tuesday morning can see right through.  Because (a) people who get fired, don't have to deal with non-kompete klauses, and (b) if anyone wanted you?  They're hire you with the express knowledge that you kouldn't broadkast until your non-kompete expired (likely in late December / early January)!

I swear, this guy was more likable when he was trying to (stewie griffin voice) roo-een everyone else's life, rather than allowing us to watch him (stewie griffin voice) roo-een his own.

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The Watching Party Plans.

There are no The Watching Party Plans, as the Chiefs are on a bye this week.

The Tailgating Plans.

There are no The Tailgating Plans, as the Chiefs are on a bye this week.

The Flashback.

There is no The Flashback, as the Chiefs are on a bye this week.

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Stevo Neighborhood Update.

So I actually tried to be productive last Saturday.  I hauled a rake out of the shed, and decided to clean up the yard of all the leaves on it, since The 8228 is about the only house on the street with leaves on the lawn.

Now, I live in South Waldo.  The front yard is maybe -- on a good day -- twenty feet by twenty feet.  I have no back yard (my part of the 'hood is built like they do in north Dallas, with back alleyways instead of back yards).

Sixteen f*cking Westlake leaf and grass refuse bags full later, the yard was maybe half raked.

I gave up.  Then I did what I should have in the first place: hauled the mower out, and mowed that postage stamp the city claims is taxable acreage.

The lesson?  Always half-ass it, if you can.  Oh, and if doing a task one way allows you to enjoy a frosty cold Shiner Bock, and the other way doesn't?  Always choose the option with the beer.

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"Disreputable" Mexican Food Truck Update.

Sadly, I got nothing this week.

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Stevo Drink O' The Week.

Flash back with me to the last half of 1998 (aka "my favorite eight months of my life ... so far".)

One of the major highlights of that stretch of time, was the greatest alcohol purchase of my life, when between "Tony Gonzalez", "Cocoa" Vineet, and myself, we bought out every case of Heineken the Tom Thumb on Collins and Green Oaks had, at pushing 2am on a Thursday night / Friday morning, right about this time of year, actually.

In honor of that milestone now being old enough to drink itself (dear God, that was twenty one years ago?!?!?!) ... this week's Stevo Drink O' The Week is Heineken.  Not light, not holiday, not some one-off style, but original Heineken.  I hadn't had one in a while before buying some the other night to enjoy.  And honestly?

I'd forgotten just how much I enjoy that fine libation.

I have a feeling I'll be having a few more this weekend.

Because ...

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The Chiefs Pontification and Prognostication.

Well, if the Chiefs can't at least tie bye, then who can they beat?  (rimshot!)  Oh God love ya, what am I talking about! *  I tell you what, stand up for Chuck!  (rimshot!)

(*: seriously, Joe Biden actually said he kept "punching at it, and punching at it, and punching at it" to pass the Violence Against Women Act through Congress last night.  Jesus.  I mean, are you serious?  This is the best my party has to offer to beat "House of Wings"?!?!?!  No wonder I'm leaning more and more towards Mayor Pete.  Because Good Lord above, describing passing a violence act as "punching at it, and punching at it, and punching at it" through Congress, is damned near the dumbest thing to ever come out of Vice President (general petraeus voice) "Bite Me"'s mouth.)

In all seriousness though, just like the Chiefs are taking the week off and getting the hell out of town for some rest and relaxation? 

I'm going to do the same thing.

(hootie and the blowfish voice) Sha la la la!  Sha la la la!  I'm going home! 

I'm going home!!!!

Well, my adopted home.

Cue it, UT Marching Band!

"The Eyes of Texas are Upon You!
All the Live Long Day!
The Eyes of Texas are Upon You!
You Cannot Get Away!

Do Not Think You Can Escape Them!
From Rising Early In the Morn!
The Eyes of Texas are Upon You!
'Til Gabriel Blows His Horn!!!!"

(Or if you prefer ...)

Yea Orange!  Yea White!
Yea Longhorns!  Fight!  Fight!  Fight!
Texas Fight!  Texas Fight!  Yea Texas Fight!
Texas Fight!  Texas Fight!  Yea Texas Fight!

The Eyes of Texas are Upon You!
All the Live Long Day!
The Eyes of Texas are Upon You!
You Cannot Get Away!

Texas Fight!  Texas Fight!
For It's Texas That We Love Best!
Hail!  Hail!  The Gang's All Here!
And It's Goodbye To All the Rest!!!!"

(Note: I prefer the second version.  #texasforever)

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I depart tomorrow for a weekend in the Metroplex, where on paper the highlight is taking in the Blackhawks ** / Stars game Saturday night.

(**: yo, Ol' Pete King?  You're a NHL fan (he loves his Devils)!  If you rail every week against the Redskins being a racist team name, where the f*ck are you against the Blackhawks team name?  (Utter and total silence.)  I love liberal hypocrites.  And there's few bigger ones in this life, than Ol' Pete King of NBC Sports.)

The real highlight though -- and given this weekend has been in the planning stages since April, when the Stars began their amazing playoff run -- is that I'll see the college roommate for the first time in pushing a decade this weekend.

And so, to channel my inner Sam Mellinger, that is what I am thankful for this Bye Week(end): that two kids who met twenty five years ago, when we were paired as roommates to open our freshman year, are still somehow standing twenty five years later.  Still rock solid friends.  Still there for each other -- although I've needed Vineet far more than he's needed me, in this life.  (Which, sadly, is probably true about every rock star friendship I have, but whatever.  Y'all love me for the abject f*ck up and failure I usually am, right?  Right?  (crickets chirping ...))

Eighteen years ago, we had to grow up way too quick; Vineet is my friend who survived 9/11.  We swore after that, that we'd never go a year without meeting up.  We kept that promise for a solid six, seven years ... and then, like with most things in life, that promise kind of fell through.

Friday night, the promise is renewed!  It should be fun!  It might be epic! 

(It definitely will be drunk and/or crunk!)

And oh yeah -- that front yard on Catalpa Street is going to be awfully dusty when "New Tito" pulls up about 6pm tomorrow.  I mean, someone really should Swiffer the grass, to keep the tear ducts from welling up from "allergies", when the door of the Jeep and the door of the house open up ...

Tuesday, November 19, 2019

chiefs week twelve rooting interests

(bush voice) Breathe in, breathe out.  Breathe in, breathe out.  Breathe in ...

A quick housekeeping item:

I am hoping to duck out to Dallas this weekend to catch the Stars / Blackhawks game with my college roommate.  Wish me luck.  Please, wish me luck.  I haven't seen Vineet in 9 years * , as impossible as that is to wrap my head around.  #ineedthepto

(*: Vineet is my friend who survived 9/11.  We swore after that day we'd never go more than a year without seeing each other.  It's time to resurrect that promise, godd*mmit.  Oh, and f*ck yeah, the postcard still hangs in my office, eighteen years and change later.)

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Here are your standings entering Week Twelve, as always divided into three categories: your division leaders, your wild card contenders, and your "not a chance in hell they're playing in January" teams:


And ... your Week Twelve rooting interests.  Assuming you're a Chiefs fan, of course.

(Note: still working on the Chiefs / Titans weekend recap.  Hope to have it up by Friday morning ... ditto the Week Twelve Picks.)

* Byes: Chiefs, "Super" Chargers.  So, I was speaking with my buddy Nick at work today, and he asked a question I had no credible answer to.

"When was the last time the Chiefs defense won the game?"

So I started thinking back through our favorite team's closest encounters over the last few years ... and I had no answer.

The obvious answer I guess is at those people five weeks ago, but that game was dominated by the Chiefs offense, if we're being honest here.  The other five wins this year -- at Jaguars, at raiders, vs Ravens, at Lions, vs Vikings -- were all won via either (a) an incredible offensive explosion (the first three) or (b) a two minute drill that saw the Chiefs score as time expired.

I still don't have an answer.  There's far, far, far more collapses the last three, four years, than stands at the end, like Monday night was.

Curious to hear what y'all think of what the answer should be, in the comments section.

* Biggest Game: raiders at Jets (Sunday, noon CT, CBS).  The Chiefs announced this morning that playoff tickets will go on sale on Wednesday, December 4th, for us STM's and Jackson County folks.  Which seems reasonable -- with a little help on this upcoming Sunday, and a victory next Sunday, the Chiefs will all but clinch the division.

On the other hand, if a Jets team that hasn't won (let alone credibly competed in) a conference game holds true to form on Sunday, and the Chiefs lose an unthinkable fourth game this season at Arrowhead, then the AFC West is going to be one hell of a sprint to the finish.

Root For: say it with me kids.  (fireman ed voice) J!  E!  T!  S!  Jets!  Jets!  Jets!  For one week, join me on the misery train and root for this collection of (un)lovable losers!  Please, let me talk you into the Browning Nagle Junior era!  It's been every bit as sh*ttacular as the actual Browning Nagle era so far! 

Please, let me convince you Adam Gase is mentally competent enough to walk in public without a drool guard and a helmet!  Please, allow me to talk you into why sending (arguably) the NFL's worst owner to be our ambassador to our biggest ally is the smartest decision Mr. Trump has made in his Presidency! 

(Note: that one liner wasn't pure sarcasm, Shecky Greene style; only part sarcasm.  Anything that gets Woody Johnson's hands off day-to-day operations of the Jets, is a win in my book.)

You'll hate yourself for three plus hours rooting for this team of quitters and never-triers ... but if the alternative is rooting for Chucky and the silver and black, what choice do you have?

* Second Biggest Game: Colts at Texans (Thursday, 7:20pm CT, FOX / NFLN).  The winner is in the drivers' seat to win the AFC South, especially if it's the Colts, who already beat the Texans in Indy a month ago.  The loser is still in decent shape for a wild card slot, especially if the loser is Indy (whose schedule is much easier down the stretch than Houston's).

Root For: Houston.  (Pause).  Yeah, gotta. 

Ladies and gentlemen, Mr. Larry Gatlin and his brothers!

Houston!
Houston means that I'm one day closer to you!
Aw honey?  Houston!
Means the last day of the tour, and we're through!

Well honey?
You and God above in heaven above know I love what I do!
Aw but Houston?
Houston means that I'm one day closer to you!

If I have to travel for the Divisional Round game ** (and odds are, us Chiefs fans will), please give me Houston as the destination.  I don't ask much.  But I'd much rather go to a place forty minutes from a warm body of water in January, than an ice skating rink five miles southeast of my favorite sporting venue on earth (that would be the Indianapolis Motor Speedway).

(**: (luke bryan voice) been there, done that.)

* Third Biggest Game: Ravens at Rams (Monday, 7:20pm CT, ESPN).  I'm still in utter denial that the Texans failed to show up last week against the Ravens.  I just cannot believe the Ravens are this good.  I mean, I saw them in person Week Three.  The Chiefs defense looked damned good against them for fifty plus minutes, until it didn't matter and it was garbage time.

The Ravens are not this good.

Are they?

For the Rams, this is all but it.  They're already looking up at the 49ers and Seahawks in the division, still have to play both squads (Seattle at LA; San Fran in 'Frisco to close the season, I believe), and they're chasing the Vikings in the wild card race (and possibly the Packers too -- I'm telling you, that Packers at Vikings Monday Night finale is going to be the biggest Monday Nighter in many a season, folks).  They're hurting in the tiebreaker category, their offense is sputtering to a grinding halt most weeks, and again, they're two back of any playoff spot with six to play.

That, to quote myself from my college days, that?

(stevo voice) Is no bueno.

* Root For: Rams.  The Ravens have two realistic losses left on the schedule -- this week, and next week when they host the 49ers.  It's still a slim, outside shot ... but lose both, and the Chiefs can still steal the two seed and a bye.

* Fourth Biggest Game: Jaguars at Titans (Sunday, noon CT, CBS).  One of these teams is toast if they lose.  Especially if that team is the Jaguars.  Ironically, the Titans are probably in the best position of any team in the South -- they still get the Colts, and two of their last three are against the Texans.

* Root For: not a f*cking clue.  Probably the Jaguars, as the Chiefs have tiebreaker over them ... but a Titans win all but eliminates the Jaguars, and frankly, the Chiefs aren't getting in as a wild card in all likelihood -- it's AFC West Title Numero Cuatro in a row or bust. 

* Other Rooting Interests.

* Patriots: vs Cowboys (Sunday, 3:25pm CT, FOX).  Root for the Cowboys -- and again, like choking down rooting for Browning Nagle Junior, the worst coach in the NFL, and what passes as a football team known as the Jets, it might be tough to do ... but root for the Cowboys.
* Bills: vs those people (Sunday, noon CT, CBS).  (stevo sighing in disgust).  (stevo vomiting in abject disgust).  (stevo curling up into the fetal position and wishing death upon himself in beyond abject disgust).  Root for those people.
* Steelers: at Bengals (Sunday, noon CT, CBS).  Root for the Bengals, although it won't happen.
* Browns: vs Dolphins (Sunday, noon CT, CBS).  Christ, who gave CBS this god-awful slate of games?  Root for the Dolphins -- not just on the chaos theory, but I'd love to have a back door open for a wildcard, if I'm being fair and honest.  (Only one of which, I'm ever accused of being.)

Until next time -- hey!  (sgt. esterhaus voice) Let's be careful out there ...

(cue the greatest tv theme song ever ... or so says stevo ...)

Saturday, November 16, 2019

week eleven picks

"You were big city living;
Girlfriend like Eva Mendez.
Until your side chick called you up;
Said that she might be pregnant.

Now you're alone and crying;
Inside you're slowing dying.
'Cause Magic Mike?
Just got your key --

That's how you know you f*cked up!
That's how you know you f*cked up!
That's how you know you f*cked up!
That's how you know you f*cked up!

You were the man in college;
Got a degree in awesome.
And had more zeroes in your bank
Than all The Matrix coding.

Now you're in your momma's basement;
'Cause you spent every paycheck.
The IRS?
Your new best friend!

That's how you know you f*cked up!
That's how you know you f*cked up!
That's how you know you f*cked up!
That's how you know you f*cked up! ..."

-- "That's How You Know" by Nico and Vinz.  Which, in case you didn't know and/or do care, is the Official Song of Tailgating 2019 in the grassy knoll just north of the G30 sign ...

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The Statisticals.

(Note: no Week Ten picks were submitted due to three reasons -- (a) I spent all day Thursday and Friday at Research due to my dad's heart procedures (yes, plural -- let's not relive it, shall we?), (b) I spent a good chunk of Saturday driving to Nashville for the Chiefs / Titans game, then a bigger chunk enjoying Nashville, and (c) I refused to pay for WiFi for an hour Sunday morning to get a quick picks post up.  Trust me kids, if you could see my Chase bill right now, you'd have agreed with that decision.  #broadway #saturdaynight)

Season to Date SU: 81-53-1.

Season to Date ATS: 76-58-1.

Upset / Week Season to Date SU: 7-4-0.

Upset / Week Season to Date ATS: 8-3-0.

This Week's Upset / Week: another two-fer, since Week Nine's nailed both, and I love two underdogs this week.  Give me the Eagles (+4) over Patriots, and the Texans (+4 1/2) over the Ravens.

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The Non-Chiefs Picks.

(Note: this week's picks post is likely to just be the picks and a couple quick hits, rather than the new classic modern novel that usually posts.  I've been playing catchup from last week (lionel richie voice) all week long.  Appreciate the patience.  Also, the Nashville recap is much more fun to write than this thing, this week at least, and I hope to get it up by Sunday.  And if I don't?  #thatshowyouknowif*ckedup)

* Byes: Titans, Packers, Giants, Seahawks.  At least I'm not crippled by bye issues, like last week, for fantasy football purposes.  Also, at least two of these teams are making the playoffs.  Put your hand down Seahawks -- I'm not so sure you're one of those two teams.

* My Thursday Night pick was at Browns (-3) 26, Steelers 16.  Also, how Mason Rudolph is not suspended is beyond me.  He started the brawl for Christ's sake.  Double also -- why wouldn't Joe Buck drop the "donnybrook" line to describe that fight?  He had two plus minutes to incorporate quality NHL language to describe that scene, and epically failed.  Triple also -- why was Joe Buck more verbally offended by Randy Moss fake mooning the crowd at Lambeau, than Miles Garrett nearly killing Mason Rudolph?  #thatshowyouknowyouf*ckedup

* Texans (+4 1/2) 38, at Ravens 35 (OT).  Words cannot express how fired up I am to see this game.  I irrationally love young, talented quarterbacks arrive on the scene, let alone face each other with a significant chunk of the scene on the line, like this game is.  And damn, my man crush on Deshaun Watson is ridiculous at this point.

* Cowboys 31, at Lions (+6 1/2) 28.  Thank you, Lions medical training staff, for not informing us of Matthew Stafford's injury until no time remained to competently replace him in my fantasy lineup.  If I miss the postseason because of this (and odds are I will, since I am projected to finish seventh in a league that sends six to the postseason), I might erupt.  (Note: I missed the playoffs last year due to Kareem Hunt's suspension the night before our final regular season week.  Or at least I tell myself that.  (reputable cbs sportsline columnist voice) I'd have whipped your ass even with Kareem dude!))

* at Bucs (+5) 34, Saints 24.  Are the 2019 Saints the 1998 Chiefs?  A legit Super Bowl contender whose starting QB gets hurt, misses six weeks, the backup does a marvelous job, and then the team tanks when the starter returns?  If they lose this week, they're in contention for that honor.  After all, Drew Brees can't both throw and catch the ball.  Only Marcus Mariota can do that * .  (Pause).  Yeah, gotta.  Chiefs 2017 Defense in that playoff game?  #thatshowyouknowyouf*ckedup

(*: I still contend even more amazing than that play, is that I laid my credit card out at everyone's "favorite lounge" after that game to cover my group's tab, had to literally be carried out of said "lounge" because I was so intoxicated I passed out, woke up at noon the next day, and my tab ... was $32.  As much as I love Carla, our usual weekend bartender down there?  Girl?  That night?  Gotta.  #thatshowyouknowyouf*ckedup  I should have owed you $322, if we're being fair and honest.  Only one of which I'm ever accused of being.)

* at Panthers (-4 1/2) 31, "Shane" Falcons 20.  I got nothing.

* Jaguars (+2 1/2) 13, at Colts 10.  Rooting for chaos in the wild card standings, kids.  Rooting for abject and total chaos.

* at Vikings (-10) 45, those people 0.  I managed to catch most of the second half of the Vikings / Cowboys game when we stopped for dinner on the way back from Nashville.  And I have to say, how Jason Garrett wasn't fired after that game, is beyond me.  Jerry Jones has fired offensive coordinators at halftime before, for crying out loud!  I'd have sh*t canned Mr. Garrett before he left the sideline.  That final few minutes was one of the worst coaching performances in modern NFL history.  And yes, you can blame Kellen Moore and whoever the hell the Cowboys special teams coach is for most of the mistakes, but at the end of the day, Mr. Garrett is responsible for his assistants.  In the words of Jim Mora Senior: "that was a horsesh*t performance.  Horsesh*t!" #thatshowyouknowyouf*ckedup

* Jets (+2 1/2) 20, at Redskins 10.  Let's do this.  (promo voice) Browning Nagle Junior!  The latest f*ck up and failure at QB from Ohio State!  Gase!  "Sur" William Callahan! **  CBS's F team of announcing!  The two worst teams in football!  A two thirds empty FedEx Field!  ONLY ... CBS!!!!!!!!

(**: who else misses the "Cock O' The Walk", Jim Rose?  Nobody?  I thought so.  And Jesus, Nebraska football?  My God, #youhavef*cedup the last two decades.)

* at Dolphins (+7) 17, Bills 13.  Can the Bills really go from 6-2 to out of the playoffs?  Before you laugh, that's exactly what your Carolina Panthers did last year, via a seven game losing streak.

* at 49ers 27, "Super" Cardinals (+10) 24 (OT).  Let's hope this game is as good as the Thursday nighter they played two weeks ago.  (Note: I think it will be.)  Also, how great was that Monday nighter?  I swore I was going to bed at halftime to make up for all the sleep I didn't get last week and weekend ... only I couldn't turn the damned thing off.  Kudos to the NFL for actually giving ESPN a watchable schedule this season. 

(And man, is the Monday Night finale looking like an (abba voice) "the winner takes it all" scenario -- Packers at Vikings.  This stretch run is gonna be fun to watch, folks.  So much fun -- it is a three letter word, after all -- that it might make quadrapalegics stand up!)

(Poor Joe.  Buddy?  #thatshowyouknowyouf*cedup)

* at Eagles (+4) 28, Patriots 17.  Total gut feeling.  Which means I probably drank too much last night.  #thatshowiknowif*ckedup

* at raiders 28, Bengals (+12) 17.  This line is five points too high.  I mean, come on.  The raiders should not be double digit favorites against anyone, anywhere.  Even Chucky knows that.

* at Rams (-7) 51, Bears 13.  Hide the women and children.  This is going to be an ass kicking of Biblical proportions.

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The "Klassy" Kevin Kietzman Tweet O' The Week.


God bless it, the kliffhanger! 

Sleeping with who, khamp?  I mean, I've had my share of "that's how you know you f*cked up" hookups.  #stripper #cripple #chickwithamustache #onthesamenight 

But who, pray tell, is this tweet kommenting about?  A kandy strip(p)er at a hospital?  A kustomer service rep at the blowtorch that is 810 WHB?  A koffee delivery khick?  Who?  The greater metropolitan Kansas Kity Kommunity has a right to know, korrect? 

Man, that kliffhanger is kausing me to feel krazy!

Also, if "three runs and it's over" describes Kaptain Klassy's "battle plan in the bedroom", let alone on a Perfect Village street, parked in his kar, with his khakis down below his knees, as a kid passing as a kompensated kolleague is accepting a khallenge to discover whether or not he is kircumsized? 

I need to go kozy up with my kommode in a hurry, over that visual ...

--------------------

The Tailgating Plans.

There are no The Tailgating Plans, as this is a Chiefs game I will not be attending person.

--------------------

The Watching Party Plans.

We'll be at McFadden's, probably around 6:30ish.  I'll be there by 5:30 to try to grab us the table up front by the ski ball games.  (They're a great stress reliever!)  Feel free to come out and join if you want or need a place to watch the game.  (I believe McFadden's has comped us $300 for Monday night.  Challenge accepted!)

Oh, and duh: #wegonnabef*ckedup

--------------------

Stevo Neighborhood Update.

So last Friday, my Mom and I have been at Research for pushing four hours, and we're hungry as hell.  My Uncle Bill shows up to relieve us for a couple hours to let us go get some lunch, while we're waiting for Dad to get prepped for Surgery Dos, and since we're pretty much down in my part of town, my Mom asks where we should go for lunch. 

I ask her what she's hungry for, and she says "I'm craving a burger".  So, off to The Well we go.

Between us, we had two Well burgers (phenomenal as always), a couple beers (Shiner Bock nation, represent!), and a couple waters. 

Our tab was $23 and change.  Pretty reasonable, especially when that tab went down a couple bucks thanks to the restaurant card I bought for my nephew's baseball team, that takes 20% off your tab at The Well.  So we walked out barely paying $25, with a muy generoso tip.

I mention this, because the day before, last Thursday, in the exact same scenario?  (Well, save for it was Surgery Uno, not Dos?)

Mom and I went to Panera in Brookside.

Our tab, with no alcohol, and no discount(s) after the tab arrived?

Was $30 and change.

In what sane world, does it cost more to eat at a (to be fair, uuh, fairly decent) chain restaurant, than it does to eat at a locally loved establishment? 

Panera was ten dollars more than The Well!  And they didn't have Shiner Bock on tap!  Or any beer on tap for that matter!

Panera? 

Yeah, gotta.

#thatshowyouknowyouf*ckedup

--------------------

Disreputable Mexican Food Truck Update.

We haven't seen said Disreputable Food Truck in over two weeks.  And it's not only not parked on North Broadway next to the Children's Mercy Doctors' offices ... it's nowhere within a ten block radius of where I work.  (Trust me: we've looked.  It ain't there.)

The natives in the Penn Tower complex are getting restless for (semi) quality Mexican food delivered out of a food truck that couldn't pass state emission standards, to put it mildly.

Please come back, Disreputable Mexican Food Truck!  I swear, I'll drop the "Disreputable" from the name if you do!

Because not having you as a part of life right now?

#thatshowyouknowyouf*ckedup

--------------------

The Flashback.

Really, you have nine to choose from:

1. Chiefs 13, Chargers 20, Week Fifteen, 1989.  The defeat cost the Chiefs a playoff berth.  Also, it's about the damned coldest game I've ever attended.

2. Chiefs 0, Chargers 17, Wild Card, 1992.  My sixteenth birthday.  And the defeat ended the Chiefs season.  Yeah.  #thatshowyouknowyouf*ckedup

3. Chiefs 23, Chargers 17 (OT), Week Six 1995.  "No Flags!"

4. Chiefs 30, Chargers 27, Week Seven 2006.  Tynes from 48 ... Tynes from 53!

5. Chiefs 21, Chargers 14, Week One 2010.  Tuesday Morning Football.

6. Chiefs 23, Chargers 20 (OT), Week Eight 2011.  The Phumble.

7. Chiefs 33, Chargers 27 (OT), Week One 2016.  The greatest comeback in franchise history.

8. Chiefs 37, Chargers 27, Week Seventeen 2016.  The last game in San Diego.

9. Chiefs 38, Chargers 28, Week One 2018.  Patrick Mahomes "Of the Chiefs" arrival on the scene, as the first franchise quarterback this, uuh, franchise has had, since Len Dawson.

Even though 3 is my favorite Chiefs play of all time ... I went with 7.

--------------------

Picking the Chiefs This Season.

(Note: my pick for Week Ten would have been Chiefs (-4) 30, at Titans 20, so I'll include it, even though I technically didn't submit it ... oh, and obviously: #thatshowyouknowif*ckedup)

Straight Up: 5-5-0 (L Jaguars, W raiders, W Ravens, W Lions, L Colts, L Texans, W those people, L Packers, W Vikings, L Titans).
Against the Spread: 5-5-0 (L Jaguars, W raiders, W Ravens, L Lions, L Colts, W Texans, W those people, L Packers, W Vikings, L Titans).

--------------------

The Chiefs Pontification and Prognostication.

November 8, 2016, is not a day I look back on with fond memories.  (Even if I saw it coming.)  And I'm guessing at least some of you reading this, share my contempt and disgust for that day. 

(Although, to be fair, some of you are probably cracking open a bottle of champagne all over again, for what happened that day.)

If you recall, by 10pm CT that god-awful evening, every major network had realized what most of us political junkies knew: the entire election came down to the "Blue Wall" -- the four states that never failed to vote Democrat for two generations. 

Pennsylvania.  Michigan.  Wisconsin.  Minnesota.

As we're all aware, the "Blue Wall" failed, and failed epically, by the thinnest of margins.  President Trump won Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania combined, by fewer votes than fans who fill up Beaver Stadium or the Big House every Saturday.  (Note: I don't think Camp Randall holds 80,000 people ... but you get my point, hopefully.)

And that point, is that no matter how safe you think your, uuh, fail safe line is, it's always vulnerable.

Chiefs fans?  We have reached our Hindenburg Line, we have reached our Siegfried Line, we have reached the Gates of Richmond *** , we have reached the Gates of Moscow, we have reached our 38th Parallel Line, we have reached our Blue Wall.  There is no more margin for error.  There is no room left to trade for time, no room left to retreat and rebuild. 

(***: other than "The Ultimate Evil", it's my favorite book I've ever read.)

In fact, while we still technically control our own destiny for the division?

So do your oakland raiders ... and so do your (Insert Destination Here) "Super" Chargers.

All three rivals are in the same position: win out, and you win the division.

Now, since all three teams still play a few games against each other, only one could possibly win out, and odds are none of them will.  But the odds are, the team that loses the fewest games down the stretch, wins the West, hosts a very beatable Colts or Bills or Steelers or AFC South squad in the Wild Card round, and gets a chance to face a winnable divisional roadie in New England or Baltimore.  (The beauty of the AFC this year is that no playoff contender is legitimately a touchdown underdog anywhere ... save for possibly Buffalo, or Indy without Brissett.)

--------------------

Speaking as a Chiefs fan, there are three things I want, if my team makes the playoffs and has to play on Wild Card weekend for the second time in three years, and fourth time in seven:

a. I want in as a Divisional Champion, because that would mean the game would be at Arrowhead.  I'll somehow free up enough room on the Chase card after last weekend, to afford to be there.  (Hello cash float from the parental units!  (cue my dad having another "cardiac event".)  Just kidding.  I'll make it work.)

b. I want the game on Saturday night, because prime time at Arrowhead rules, and it gives you not only all day Saturday to "properly prepare" for the game to come, but all day Sunday to recover from the game.  And

c. I want the raiders as the opponent.  Because Chiefs / raiders, in the playoffs, in prime time?  Is what this league SHOULD be all about!  And good God, if Browns / Steelers ends in a donnybrook, what will we get in a Chiefs / raiders playoff game?  The Melee of the Millenium?  The Hoedown, Throwdown, Showdown to make Coach Fambrough Jealous?  The possibilities are endless, peoples and peepettes.  Absolutely endless!

--------------------

The only one of those the Chiefs control is (a).  If they win these next two, they're all but assured of being (a), if we're being honest here.  A win Monday night all but eliminates the "Super" Chargers from any playoff consideration.  (They'd fall to 4-7, and would have to win out, or at worst only lose to the Vikings in Week Fifteen, because an 8-8 wild card is in play for the AFC ... but I still think it'll require (at least) nine wins, to get in, given the raiders and Bills remaining schedules.) 

A win Monday night also ensures the Chiefs will be no worse than tied with the raiders when they come to Arrowhead in two weeks, and the Chiefs currently hold the tiebreaker via their win in oakland two months ago.  Win Monday, and win December 1st (which is almost certainly to be flexed to the CBS National slot when flexing occurs on Tuesday), and the division is all but over, likely to be clinched against those people in Week Fifteen.

But lose Monday, and the "Super" Chargers are suddenly one back, with tiebreaker, and the finale at Arrowhead to go.  The raiders then move into the drivers seat for the division title, and that is something I'm not ready to wrap my head around yet.

To say Monday is a big game for the Red and Gold?  To haul out a classic that sadly never gets said anymore: "is an understatement so grouse, it's Zues in nature!"

--------------------

I really wish this game Monday night was at Arrowhead.  I'd feel a lot more confident about it, if it was.  I'd rather have had the Monday nighter here, and close out there to end the season, instead of the inverse we have. 

But as every degenerate gambler (hey, that's me!) knows?

Every hand's a winner, and every hand's a loser.  And the best you can hope for?  Is to die in your sleep.

I think -- no, I know -- this hand's a winner.  Not a Five Aces at the Pai Gow table kind of winner ... but at least a Full House.

And no, not the sh*ttacular Bob Saget, John Stamos, and Dave "Cut It Out!" Coulier sitcom "Full House".

* Chiefs (-4) 35, vs "Super" Chargers 24 (Game in Mexico).

Let's all hope and pray, I didn't f*ck this pick up ...

week twelve picks

The Statisticals. Last Week SU: 8-6-0. Season to Date SU: 98-62-1. Last Week ATS: 7-7-0. Season to Date ATS: 75-80-6. Last Week Upset / ...