"Joy to the world!
The Lord is come!
Let earth?
Receive her King!
Let every heart,
Prepare Him room!
And heaven and nature sing!
And heaven and nature sing!
And heaven, and heaven,
And nature sing! ..."
-- "Joy To The World".
--------------------
Last Week SU: 12-4-0.
Season to Date SU: 136-88-0.
Last Week ATS: 7-6-3.
Season to Date ATS: 124-89-11.
Last Week Upset / Week: the one that mattered hit.
Season to Date Upset / Week: 6-11-0 SU; 8-8-1 ATS.
This Week's Upset / Week: raiders (+9) over Eagles.
The Non-Chiefs, Non-Jets Predictions:
* at Ravens 17, Colts (+13 1/2) 14. "Gordon Shumway Game O' The Week" honors.
* at Packers (+9) 24, Vikings 14.
* Lions (-4) 38, at Bengals 10.
* at Titans (+7) 27, Rams 24.
* at Bears 2, Browns (+6) 0. "Good Times Game O' The Week" honors.
* at Panthers (-10) 35, Buccaneers 14.
* at Saints (-7) 31, "Shane" Falcons 13.
* at Redskins (-3 1/2) 23, those people 14. "Webster Game O' The Week" honors.
* at Patriots 34, Bills (+11) 27.
* Jaguars (-4) 41, at 49ers 13.
* at "Super" Cardinals (-4) 13, Giants 6. "Empty Nest Game O' The Week" honors.
* at Cowboys (-5) 34, Seahawks 21.
* Steelers (-9) 38, at Texans 13. "Designing Women Game O' The Week" honors.
* raiders (+9) 34, at Eagles 21.
The "Klassy" Kevin Keitzman Tweet O' The Week:
In the spirit of the season, I'll give him a pass.
The Watching Party Plans:
There are no The Watching Party Plans, as this is a Chiefs game I will be in attendance for.
The Tailgating Plans:
As of now, we are keeping things simple: burgers and dogs, assorted side dishes, and as many warm beverages as possible. I have to admit, I am not ready for the cold, and I am not ready for snow. The first arrives tonight here in KC; the second arrives Sunday morning.
We will have the tents set up, and heaters going, ASAFP on Sunday morning. Because nobody, and I mean NOBODY, hates the cold more than me. I've said it before, and I'll say it again: I'm ready to move somewhere, where the idea of putting a shirt ON when getting out of bed in the morning, seems like the most ridiculous idea of all time.
If you need a place to tailgate, a bite to eat, a beer to drink, or just a place to duck in and warm up for a few minutes, as always, anyone who wishes to join in the fun, tomfoolery, and hijinks, is welcome to join us.
"Disreputable Mexican Food Truck" Update:
I got nothing.
The Jets Best Guess:
I don't got much.
* "Super" Chargers (-7) 31, at Jets 20.
The Chiefs Prognostication:
As for my pick ... here's the dilemma.
The Chiefs have been favored by at least ten points at two different times this year. And they lost both games outright, to the Giants and the Jets.
The Chiefs opened as a ten point favorite (it's down to eight at last check) this week. So that worries me.
Dolphins quarterback Jay Cutler has lost exactly once to the Chiefs in his career. He went 3-1 for those people, and was 1-0 with the Bears. That concerns me.
Adam Gase, the Dolphins head coach, has had tremendous success against the Chiefs -- he's 7-0 in his career as the offensive coordinator for those people and the Bears against us. That terrifies me.
And there's history -- the Chiefs have never won back to back division titles before. They've won three in five years ... but never back to back.
(That one really terrifies me, because every other team in the division entering the 2000 season has won at least three in a row of their current division, since the 2000 season began. Yes, even the raiders.)
Throw in a flu bug apparently going around One Arrowhead Drive, and the makings are there for a terrifying upset that derails everything Week Seventeen should be about. (Namely, tears streaming down my face due to either (a) Patrick Mahomes "Of The Chiefs" making his debut, or (b) a fan or three of those people beating the f*ck out of me. Oh fake mile high, never stop being you!)
But I honestly think the forecast (snow Saturday night / Sunday morning, barely freezing by kickoff), coupled with a boozed-up, hopefully fired-up crowd ducking (as I am) as many family get-togethers as possible, will deliver the win against a team used to playing in a sauna at kickoff.
To say nothing of the fact that a Chiefs win officially eliminates the raiders from playoff consideration. I trust "Fat" Andy will stress that in the pregame speech. Because when you have a chance to bury your hated rival? Don't f*ck up the opportunity.
* at Chiefs (-8) 48, Dolphins 13. If you're coming out? Do your job. It's colder outside right now here in KC (I am typing this on Friday night -- it's currently 31 degrees and cloudy with little to no wind), than it will be at kickoff on Sunday (supposed to be mid 30s, sunny, with little to no wind). Show up, stand, and witness something no Chiefs fan ever has before -- a second straight division title.
And then get ready for a day we've waited for, for literally a generation, next Sunday: a Chiefs drafted quarterback winning a start for this franchise. It will be merely the first of many, many wins, for Patrick Mahomes ...
... where 2015 is going to be a year to remember for the rest of our lives, and 2020 is off to one helluva start ... and our thursday night pick is "super" cardinals (+3) 28, at seahawks 24 ...
Showing posts with label week 16 picks. Show all posts
Showing posts with label week 16 picks. Show all posts
Saturday, December 23, 2017
Friday, December 20, 2013
week sixteen: a chrismukkah miracle?
“So this is Christmas.
And what have you done?
Another year over,
And a new one just begun.
And so this is Christmas.
I hope you have fun!
The near and the dear ones;
The old and the young!
A very Merry Christmas!
And a Happy New Year!
Let’s hope it’s a good one,
Without any fear!
So this is Christmas.
(War is over!)
For weak and for strong.
(If you want it!)
The rich and the poor ones.
(War is over!)
The world is so wrong.
(Now!)
And so happy Christmas,
(War is over!)
For black or for white.
(If you want it!)
For yellow and red ones,
(War is over!)
Let’s stop all the fighting!
(Now!)
A very Merry Christmas!
And a Happy New Year!
Let’s hope it’s a good one,
Without any fear!
And so this is Christmas.
(War is over!)
And what have we done?
(If you want it!)
Another year over,
(War is over!)
And a new one just begun.
(Now!)
And so happy Christmas!
(War is over!)
We hope you have fun!
(If you want it!)
The near and the dear ones,
(War is over!)
The old and the young!
(Now!)
A very Merry Christmas!
And a Happy New Year!
Let’s hope it’s a good one,
Without any fear!
War is over!
If you want it!
War is over!
NOW!”
--------------------
Last Week ATS: 7-8-1.
Season to Date ATS: 97-119-7.
Last Week SU: 8-8-0.
Season to Date SU: 127-96-0.
Last Week Upset / Week: eff Mike Munchak.
Season to Date Upset / Week: 6-13.
This Week’s Upset / Week: (stevo sighing in disgust) really? Like you really have to ask? Take a mother (BLEEPING!!!!) guess. Here’s your hint for the clueless: the game
is taking place in the single nicest facility I have ever watched a NFL game in. I'm also taking two other ten plus point underdogs to win outright: "Super" Cardinals to beat Seattle in Seattle; raiders to beat the Chargers in San Diego. You're damned right I'm pulling a Chris Berman, and loading up to pad the record, as the season draws to a close.
That ... and I love all three dogs. Houston, Arizona, oakland. Love all three ten plus point dogs, in this spot.
As always, all lines pulled from Danny Sheridan via USA
Today. Danny Sheridan: the official
oddsmaker of Stevo’s Site Numero Dos.
(Pause). What? (Pause).
Really? Some hired goons sent by
Danny Sheridan are at the front door?
Sure, invite them in! Hang on,
I'll be right back folks ...
--------------------
* Dolphins (-2 ½) 31, at Bills 20.
Here’s how screwed up the AFC playoff picture is, if I read the
tiebreakers right.
1. Miami controls its own destiny; if it wins out (at Bills / vs
Jets), they will be at worst, the six seed.
2. Miami can still win the AFC East; if they win out and the
Patriots (at Ravens / vs Bills) lose out, the Dolphins win the AFC East.
3. New England will miss the playoffs if (2) happens.
4. Baltimore also controls its own destiny; if they win out (vs
Patriots / at Bengals), they win the AFC North.
5. Cincinnati also controls its own destiny; if they win out (vs
Vikings / vs Ravens), they win the AFC North.
6. Cincinnati can climb as high as the two seed, and can fall out
of the playoffs entirely.
7. If there’s a four way clusterf*ck at 9-7 (Ravens, Bengals,
Chargers, Dolphins), the Chargers are screwed, because in that scenario, the
Ravens win the North, and the Chargers have lost to both Miami and Cincinnati
in the last six weeks. Let that sink in –
a team that won at Arrowhead, won at fake mile high, and beat the Colts at
home, would miss the playoffs … because they blew a 21 point lead -- at home!
-- to the Houston Texans in week one.
8. The Colts have won the AFC South. And the Chiefs and broncos are both in, at worst, as a wildcard
team.
My head hurts. Let’s move
on.
* at Panthers (-3) 34, Saints 21.
Here’s the NFC playoff picture as it stands, and it's slightly less
bizarro than the AFC:
1. NBC has to be “thrilled” – they gave up the biggest “Kitchen
Sink” game in quite a while … to air Chicago at Philadelphia. Why, you ask, would they be “thrilled”? Because …
2. If Dallas beats Washington, then the Sunday Nighter has no
effect on Philly. Philly at Dallas would
determine who wins the NFC East in Week Seventeen. So Philly potentially will be resting every
meaningful player, in a game with gigantic ramifications for its opponent. I mean really, when did David Stern take over
NBC Sports?
3. If Chicago and Green Bay (at Eagles / vs Steelers) both take
care of business, then the Lions are eliminated, and the winner of Packers at
Bears next week, wins the NFC North.
4. The Saints can slide from clinching the NFC South and a bye
with a win on Sunday … to missing the playoffs entirely, if they lose out.
5. The only NFC team that has clinched a playoff berth is Seattle,
who can clinch the NFC West with a win Sunday against Arizona. But the “Super” Cardinals also control their
own fate – if they win out (at Seahawks / vs 49ers), they’re in at worst as the
six seed. Which means …
6. The 49ers, your defending NFC Champion 49ers, can still miss
the playoffs. But they’re in with a win
over Atlanta on Monday.
I mention all this, because there is a chance (albeit not all that
reasonable), that both Super Bowl teams from last year, miss the playoffs this
year. When was the last time that
happened? 1999? (Both denver and Atlanta missed the
playoffs.) I can’t think of any more
recent; usually at least the defending champion gets back into the
playoffs. Hang on, let me confirm this …
* 2000: The Rams and Titans both returned to the playoffs.
* 2001: The Ravens returned to the playoffs; the Giants did not.
* 2002: Neither the Patriots nor Rams made it back.
Well crap. I’m barely one
page in, and already screwing up facts.
* Cowboys (-2 ½) 35, at Redskins 13. I don’t care about last week. Yes, that was embarrassing, and heads should
roll (figuratively) over pissing away a 23 point halftime lead to the hated
Packers. Having said that, if you’re the
Panthers or 49ers, do you want ANY part of Dallas, in Dallas, to open the playoffs,
probably in the Saturday night slot?
Whoever the hell NBC kicked Dick Ebersol to the curb for, has to be
drooling like Priest used to when a Meaty Bone was set in front of him, at the
prospect of 49ers at Cowboys in prime time.
* at Rams (-5) 41, Bucs 6.
The fact that the Rams – a decent squad that scared Seattle to the final
play, has beaten the Cardinals, Saints, and Bears – the fact this is a last
place team? Shows just how far the NFC
West has come, since 7-8 St. Louis at 6-9 Seattle, determined your division
winner a mere three years ago.
* at Bengals 31, Vikings (+7) 28.
Fourteen years ago, this was a game that determined the fate of not
one. Not two. (SNL “Colon Blow” ad voice) Three? Nice try.
(SNL “Colon Blow” ad voice) Four.
I’ll give you one more guess.
(SNL “Super Colon Blow” ad voice) Five?
Not even close.
Bengals at Vikings, Christmas Night 1989, the final game of the
1989 season? Determined the fate of SIX
teams, in terms of reaching the postseason!
SIX! The participants:
If the Bengals had won that night …
1. The Bengals are the first AFC Wildcard.
2. The Seahawks are the second AFC Wildcard.
3. The Oilers miss the playoffs on tiebreakers.
4. The Steelers miss the playoffs on tiebreakers.
5. The Packers win the NFC Norris.
6. The Vikings miss the playoffs on tiebreakers.
If the Vikings had won that night (and they did, 29-21) …
1. The Vikings win the NFC Norris.
2. The Packers miss the playoffs on tiebreakers.
3. The Oilers are the first AFC Wildcard.
4. The Steelers are the second AFC Wildcard.
5. The Seahawks miss the playoffs on tiebreakers.
6. The Bengals miss the playoffs on tiebreakers.
Yeah – that Herschel Walker trade definitely paid off for the
Vikings.
And now? For not just your Upset O' The Week ... your Upset O' The (Blanking) Year:
* at Texans (+10 ½) 31, satan’s squad 30. I have been saying for six weeks that this is
the game that denver is going to get tripped up on. Multiple people can vouch for this ... because the words "Two Rivers" and "Charter" were used, in response to my prediction, that denver is going down to Houston.
Why? I
have no earthly idea. On paper, satan
(aka peyton ... ooh! It rhymes! It actually rhymes! satan / peyton! As y'all know, I do NOT believe in coincidence, and I sure as all hell do not believe in "what are the f*cking odds?!?!" moments in life!) and his
fellow demons should use the Texans as their own personal urinal. The Trifecta of Terrible is on full display
for the Texans -- a terrible head coach (Son O' Bum), a terrible quarterback
(Matt Schaub), and a terrible losing streak (12 and counting). There is not one sane, sensible reason to
make this prediction. Not one. Hell, you can even argue Steve Rule 34 should
be invoked here. You know the rule --
"If you ever do something, and find that the reaction to your action is
you'd have to be mentally retarded or Steve to have done what you did? Just assume you were wrong".
And I could care less. The
Texans are winning this game. Yes, the
Texans are taking on water at a rate of speed that the SS Poseidon* is jealous
of. To say nothing of the RMS Titanic's
jealousy of the Texans sinking ship. But
again -- I could care less. The Houston
Texans are winning this damned game.
(*: I've played the DVD of the original "The Poseidon Adventure" so much the last six months, it struggles to boot up on my DVD player. Just a helpful hint, to anyone searching for that perfect Stevo birthday gift, for two weeks from now.)
* at Jaguars (+5 ½) 24, Titans 13.
Or, more appropriately titled, the “Why the Hell Did We Fire Our Solid
Head Coaches?!?!” Bowl. Tom Coughlin and
Jack “Of The River” … or Mike Mularkey and Gus Bradley (who, in his defense,
isn’t terrible)? Jeff Fisher … or Mike
Munchak?
We might revisit this one in a few moments. I really, really, really like the "Super" Cardinals in this spot.
(Pause).
Actually, revise that pick!
* "Super" Cardinals (+11) 31, at Seahawks 30. I just feel it. Can't explain it, not going to even try. The "Super" Cardinals are going to be your NFC last team in.
* at Lions (-9) 34, Giants 0.
If this is it for Tom Coughlin, give him credit for one helluva run at
the professional level. Two wildcard
berths and two division championships (including a 14-2 conference championship
team in 1999) in eight years in Jacksonville.
Three wildcard berths, one division championship, and two Lombardi’s in
nine years in New York. To say nothing
of the near-upset of West Virginia, in his final game at Boston College back in
1993, that sent Florida State to the Orange Bowl to face Nebraska, instead of
West Virginia. No, wait -- don't applaud
for that one. Damned scott bentley. Anyways, for everything else? Peoples and peepettes, a nice golf clap round
of applause for Tommy Coughlin!!!!
* raiders (+10) 27, at Chargers 21. Because of COURSE San Diego is going to lose to
oakland ten days after winning at fake mile high. It’s how the “Super” Chargers roll,
baby! Also, Gordon Shumway Game O’ The
Week honors!!!
* at Packers (-2 1/2) 31, Steelers 28 (OT). I am rooting for one epic, epic, epic
week seventeen showdown for the NFC Norris at Soldier Field.
* at Ravens (-2 ½) 24, Patriots 21. I had this discussion with the Voice of
Reason on Tuesday morning – was Justin Tucker’s sixty one yard boot, on the
road, with the season on the line, was THAT the most clutch kick of our
lifetimes?
I know, I know – blasphemy!
Adam Vinatieri in Super Bowl XXXI and XXXIII was clutch. But he also was in fairly easy to convert
range on both kicks. Chiefs fans might
be having a coronary right now, for suggesting that kick Monday night was
bigger than the “Pete for President” fifty five yarder to beat denver sixteen
glorious years ago. But I don’t know.
Sixty one yards, on the road, is asking a LOT. As in, no kicker in NFL history had ever made
it from longer than sixty unless (1) the attempt was at Real Mile High, (2) the
attempt was at fake mile high, or (3) the dude attempting the kick was missing
some body parts. It’s not often that
when two teams I either (a) don’t care for or (b) don’t care about, can make me
stay up well past this tito’s bedtime to watch a boring ass Field
Goalpalooza. But man, that kick was
huge.
Because now, the defending Super Bowl champs control their own
destiny. If they win out, they’re
opening at home as AFC Norris champions, against whatever flotsam and jetsam
and wreckage emerges from the underwhelming talent pool vying for the six seed
(my guess is, it’ll be Miami). Then they’d
have a trip to a battered Patriots squad that they’ve demolished in their last
two meetings in January (2011 wildcard win, 2012 AFC Championship), both
ironically in Foxboro, and then they might be home for the AFC championship if
the second place team in the AFC West beats the AFC West champion in the
divisional round.
Circle me intrigued, Bert.
Circle me intrigued.
* Bears (+3) 24, at Eagles 13.
How screwy is the NFC race? If
Dallas beats Washington, this game is meaningless for the Eagles. If Dallas wins on Sunday in the early game,
then Philly at Dallas is for the NFC East, no matter what Philly does Sunday
night. (Meaning Rest Your Starterspalooza
2013 is in play … in week sixteen, for a team that hasn’t clinched a playoff
berth). Sweet. Even more bat sh*t crazy though? Is that the same thing is true for the
Bears! If the Packers win the afternoon
game against the Steelers, the winner of Green Bay at Chicago wins the NFC
Norris, no matter what happens in Philly Sunday night. Whatever nitwit at NBC who flexed OUT
Patriots / Ravens for this contest?
Needs a mental competency exam, stat.
Rest Your Starterspalooza 2013 everyone!
* at 49ers (-13) 41, Falcons 3.
Barring an epic Seattle collapse that isn’t happening, this is the last
game that will ever be played at Candlestick.
So allow me to be about as sentimental for that sh*thole, as I was when
the Cowboys finally bolted the outdoor poop pile that Texas Stadium was.
Trust me -- if you never witnessed a game in Texas Stadium? Count your blessings. That place was a rathole. It literally was built in the confluence
created by the three freeways passing all around it (Loop 12, Airport Freeway,
Carpenter Freeway). The seats hurt like
hell. The video board had issues. The sight lines were atrocious.
(vice president biden voice) Folks! Texas Stadium was a three letter word --
dump. D U M P dump!
Plus, if it wasn’t Thanksgiving or later, it was a freaking sauna
in that place. My college roommate Frank
(aka "Tony Gonzalez") and I went to the season opener in 1998 against
the “Super” Cardinals. It was 109 in
Dallas that day. It was a 3pm
kickoff. Temps in section 6 reached 140
degrees. One. Hundred.
Forty. Degrees. The beer was sweating out of you, faster than
you could get it in you.
This was also the game referee Tom White passed out from the
extreme heat, and knocked himself silly by landing on the cheap recycled rug
that Jerry Jones called Astroturf covering the field. Good times!
Oh, and speaking of that, this is your Good Times Game O’ The
Week!!! Oh, and speaking of Good Times …
A Brief Stevo Note:
The man, the myth, the comedic legend, Jimmie “JJ Evans” Walker,
is at Stanford and Son’s at the Legends from January 14-19. The star of my favorite sitcom of all time
will be in town to do stand-up for ninety plus minutes, two nights a week,
within two weeks of this humble blogger’s thirty seventh birthday.
I’m just saying.
Now back to the not-even-remotely prepared portion of these
remarks.
The “Klassy” Kevin Keitzman Tweet O’ The Week:
The Klassy One actually made me laugh out loud this week. The visual of this, is really funny to
picture. Ladies and gentlemen, I give
you the "Klassy" Kevin Keitzman Tweet O' The Week!
"Home Alone style".
That's funny. That's a really,
really funny visual.
There's only one minor, tiny, barely noticeable thing about this
Tweet, that you have to look at for a bit, before you figure it out. Take your time; I'll wait. What's off, what's wrong, with Ol' Klassy
Kev's Tweet?
And ... time.
* "Klassy" Kevin Keitzman tweeted that he fell on ice,
on the morning of Friday, December 13th.
* On Thursday, December 12th, it did not rain or snow, and the
high was above freezing.
* On Wednesday, December 11th, it did not rain or snow, and the
high was above freezing.
* On Tuesday, December 10th, it did not rain or snow, and the high
was above freezing.
* On Monday, December 9th, it did not rain or snow, and the high
was above freezing.
* On Sunday, December 8th, it did rain -- 0.02 inches, with a high
of 24 (and a low of 22).
Uuh, Klassy Kev? Ol' Klassy
One? I just have one tiny, simple
question for you, and it is this:
WHAT ICE WAS THERE TO FALL ON?
No rain, no snow, not one damned drop of water fell on the ground
for SIX STRAIGHT DAYS, all with highs above freezing, and you're falling on
ice?!?!?! You sure you didn't mean to
include the word "Smirnoff" or "Bud"** before the word ice
there, King Klassy?
I swear, the sheer hypocrisy of this "family man" drives
me bat sh*t crazy sometimes. I used to
think people that intentionally hurt others, were the one type of person I'd
never tolerate in my life. But
hypocrites are rapidly approaching my fail-safe line, to be included in the
"not welcome or wanted" category.
(**: do they still make Bud Ice?
And if they do, where can you find it?
I swear, I honestly don't believe I've ever had a Bud Ice beer
before. I've had nearly every other kind
of Bud product, whether it be legal for drinking or medicinal purposes. But I don't recall ever having a Bud Ice
before.)
The Flashback – Colts and Chiefs:
As Scott Parks would note: “oh God.”
The Chiefs have beaten the Colts exactly twice in the last twenty
seven years. Ever since that magical
Pearl Harbor Day in 1986 that started my insane addiction to this sport and
this franchise, the Chiefs have only won twice against these guys – 2004 at
Arrowhead, and 2011 at Indy.
They got rolled in 1991 by a horrific Colts team. They lost the 1995 divisional round
game. They lost a de facto playoff game
to them at Arrowhead in week 16 1996.
The Colts beat us to open the 2000 season at Arrowhead. They won the divisional round game here in
2003. They won the wildcard game there
in 2006, and won the regular season game there in 2007, and won at Arrowhead
last December in Coach Baffoon’s final home game.
For anyone who thinks this is going to be a Bill Maas Memorial “If
We Put On Our Helmets, We’ll Win” Game?
Please, put down the crack pipe, stop inhaling the meth, before someone
gets hurt.
Because this is NOT going to be easy.
The Poem:
Sunday at 3:30,
On a ceiling Chiefs fans will dance.
Because our boys are hauling out
Their sweet ass red pants.
(Honestly, nothing else needs to be said. Although that won't stop me from doing so, in
a few more paragraphs, in the Chiefs portion of these poorly put together
prepared remarks.)
The Tailgating Plans:
For the first time since Tennessee in 2007, we’re facing a
legitimate “winter weather game” on Sunday.
For those of you reading this not in the fine five county metropolitan
area we call “Greater Kansas City”, we are supposed to get ice / freezing rain
on Thursday night, stay below freezing Friday, then get a brutal round of
freezing rain Saturday night into Sunday morning, before four to six inches of
snow fall during tailgating and the Chiefs / Colts game on Sunday. If you watched the Lions / Eagles epic battle
two weeks ago? That's what Sunday is
supposed to look like at Arrowhead.
I am so damned fired up for a snow game, you’d think that I was
not the person who once noted “any day cold enough, that the first thought when
getting out of bed is to put on a t-shirt, is too damned cold for me.” I believe that’s a Stevo Rule. If it isn’t?
It now is. Number fifty whatever
I’m up to.
The current plans, subject to change are this:
* The Bus is leaving at 6:30am.
Same bat time, same bat channel as always.
* The Bus should arrive at Gate 6 no later than 6:45am if the
roads are passable, 7am if they aren’t.
* (Note: here’s the part I hate) Anthony and I are headed down
with shovels, to dig out our spot … and we’re banking on Roger actually using
the early in pass, to help clear that grassy spot of heaven.
* We’re bringing the tents, flaps, and propane heaters, to not
only keep us warm, but to help melt the ice.
* Ron and his guys are bringing salt, to truly melt the ice.
So there’s your plans on how to arrive. Parking is gonna be at a premium so please –
if you’re planning to tailgate with us, let me know you’re coming so we can
figure out how much room to dig out.
The menu as of 8pm Friday is the following:
Booze:
* hot apple pie shots. I
even have an authentic Junior Johnson 70 proof bottle of it, thanks to my
bowling league teammates. (Note: the
fact that two of the three gifts I got last night were straight booze, may or
may not indicate something about me.)
* hot chocolate and peppermint schnapps. For our good buddy Phil the Parking
Nazi. And for me. I love me some benchwarmers.
* assorted beers, champagnes, and vodka concoctions.
* whatever other liquors you bring to the mix.
Food:
* roasted pork loin.
* crock pot of chili.
* fixin’s for chili.
* hot dogs to grill for chili dogs.
* cheezy hashbrown or cheezy potato casserole.
* whatever other side dishes you bring to the mix.
The Tailgating Staples:
* triple noose lynched donkey.
* mixology: colts game.
If you’re coming out and need a place to get your whatever on, let
me know. I’ll be happy to save a spot
for ya.
And as always, if you’re coming out and want something on the
Mixologist’s Playlist, all you have to do is ask, and you shall receive. The Mixologist’s Playlist will be up by
noon-time on Saturday.
The Jets Prognostication:
The Jets are now in damned near the worst place a team can be in
professional sports. They’re squarely in
no-man’s land.
They’re too talented (and I’d argue, well coached) to pull a
Houston, bottom out at 3-13, and get a top three pick. And they’re not good enough to get to nine or
ten wins, steal the six seed, and possibly spring an upset or two and make a
memorable playoff run (like in 2009 and 2010).
They don’t know if they have a quarterback. They know they don’t have a running
game. Their secondary is taking on water
faster than The Poseidon. The GM
inherited a coaching staff he isn’t fond of, but can’t justify canning.
Or, in other words, they’re the Jets.
.500, here we come!
* at Jets (-2 ½) 24, Browns 14.
Stevo’s Site Numero Dos Special Tribute:
The text from Gregg rocked me to my foundation yesterday, walking
into the fine establishment known as AMF College Lanes.
“Oxygen Tank Dude died”.
I damned near dropped the gifts I was carrying, and cried on the
spot.
Oxygen Tank Dude (real name David Lawrence) was a staple in right
field GA for the Royals for the better part of four decades. Always sat on the front row. Always had around him, as my buddy Scott
would note, “the shadiest bunch of bastards you’ll ever know”.
Services are Monday morning at Park Lawn Funeral Home, off 85th
and Hillcrest. It’s close enough to my
part of town, I’m leaning towards showing up just to pay my respects.
(Let that sink in, readers.
I took Monday off for one reason, and one reason only: to see “Anchorman
II: The Legend Continues” AT LEAST twice that day. I’m willing to forego the sequel to one of my
five favorite movies of all time, to pay my respects.)
That man will be missed tremendously from any of us who have been
out of shape, shirtless, and drunk at some point in right field GA on a
beautiful 96 degree July afternoon.
Rest in peace, good sir.
And pull some strings for our Boyz N Blue up there this upcoming season,
ok?
In loving memory:
(photo: via The Voice of Reason, via Facebook, via Twitter.)
The Chiefs Commentary and Prediction:
Christmas – or Chrismukkah, as I prefer to call it – is without
question, my favorite time of the year.
I love every aspect of it.
The idea that God actually gives enough of a sh*t about us mere fatally
flawed humans, that He sent His Son to be one of us, never fails to amaze
me. In the words of John Davidson, “that’s
incredible!”
But it isn’t the birth of Jesus, that I find so incredible.
It’s WHERE He was born, that blows my mind.
And never fails, to make me smile.
--------------------
I love Willie Nelson’s version of “Away In a Manger”. I absolutely love it.
Because the words, are so perfect.
“Away in a manger,
No crib for His bed.
The little Lord Jesus,
Lay down His sweet head.”
Let that sink in gang. At
this time of year, as we’re hauling grass all around town, trying to find the
perfect stocking stuffer, the perfect “peace offering”, as Ammie described what
my gift giving was the other night (an accurate assessment, by the way, girl), let
this sink in: God cares so little for material things?
His Son was born in a barn.
As in, the residence of animals. And
his crib, was a feeding trough, for said animals.
"The cattle are lowing,
The poor baby wakes.
But Little Lord Jesus?
No crying He makes!"
Circle me crazy, Bert … but I’m guessing that in 34 BC, there was
no OSHA to make sure that barn met minimal sanitary conditions that Don Chilito’s
struggles monthly to meet, in our modern world.
Although to be fair, I’d guess that feeding trough, was more
sanitary than the chip trough, at said Don Chilito’s.
--------------------
Which is kind of the point of Mr. Lennon’s addition to the list of
amazing holiday songs. Material
possessions? Don’t matter. It’s PEOPLE that matter. It’s the irreplaceable items in life, that
truly count.
--------------------
Another Chrismukkah song I love, is “The First Noel”. Believe it or not … and man, am I opening
myself up for some serious mocking and/or taunting here … but my favorite
version of it, is by NSYNC.
“The first noel?
The angels did say.
Was to certain poor shepherds,
In fields where they lay.
In fields where they
Lay keeping their sheep.
On a cold winter’s night,
That was so deep.”
Let that sink in gang. God
cares so little about social status, so little about how respected, or liked, or
wealthy, or powerful, you are … that the first people He graces with the
presence of His Son, were homeless knockoff farmers sleeping outside because they had
nowhere else to lay their heads down.
The three kings, the three wise men, from the East?
Had to wait their turn.
Behind the homeless wannabe farmers.
Sometimes? God is amazing, folks. Simply ... amazing.
--------------------
But without question – (allard baird voice) without question! – my
favorite Chrismukkah song, is “O Holy Night”.
Mariah Carey’s version is the best … but I’ve never heard a version I
disliked.
“O Holy Night! The stars
are brightly shining!
It is the night, of our dear Savior’s birth.
Long lay the world, in sin and error pining,
Til He appeared, and the soul felt its worth.
The thrill of hope! Our
weary world rejoices!
For yonder breaks, a new and glorious morn!
Fall on your knees!
Oh hear the angels’ voices!
O night divine!
O night, when Christ was born!
O night! Divine!
O night! Oh night divine!”
The thrill of hope. For yonder breaks, a new and glorious morn.
If any Chrismukkah song has described the 2013 Chiefs?
It's this one.
--------------------
I love this time of year for so many reasons. And yes – the NFL postseason, is one of those
reasons.
For only the fifth time in the last fifteen years, our Chiefs will
be a part of it. I talked with Russ and
Mona last night, and we’re already coordinating with Ron and Ray and their crew for a (probable) trip to Indy or (possibly) Cincinnati, two weeks to the day after we host the Colts on Sunday. (Note to self: have to ask for my birthday
off, to take the trip. Or the Monday
afterward. Because I am NOT missing
this.)
To which my response was (to be fair) "yeah, I can afford that".
Which is why my follow-up question, should be stated.
"But what if it's not?"
"Not" ... as in, we don't have to leave home, to watch this season continue to unfold.
"Not" ... as in, we don't have to leave home, to watch this season continue to unfold.
--------------------
The real reason I love this time of year so much, will be
reflected in the middle of next week, when “The Annual Column” goes up.
(Note: 2013 is the worst year of my life. "The Annual Column" probably won't be sunshine, rainbows, and lollipops. In the words of one of the banes of my existence this last 365 days: "Deal with it!")
But the one, and I’d argue only, redeeming thing about 2013?
Is going to occur, around 9am on Sunday morning.
See, the Chiefs sent what my tailgating group jokingly calls “The
Extortion Letter” on Monday. It came via
email. It begins the same way every time
it’s sent. “The National Football League
has authorized the Kansas City Chiefs to begin selling …”
It’s the playoff ticket letter.
I know the odds are slim, that this team is going to win the AFC
West, and get a first round bye it desperately needs.
But how slim were the odds, this team would still be
mathematically alive for the division, with two to play, four months ago?
Around 9am, there will be three of us walking down to the ticket
office, to personally pay in person, for that divisional round that is going to
require two Chiefs wins, and one improbable denver upset, to occur.
We could have done it online.
But that just didn’t seem right.
A season this amazing, this rewarding … a love this enduring, this
cherished, this appreciated?
Deserves to be thanked in person.
Every opportunity you get.
--------------------
I want to wish every person reading this, the best of Chrismukkah. I would like to think, no matter your
religious persuasion (and mine is “virtually non-existent”, for what it’s
worth), that you can appreciate this amazing holiday for what it is.
And to every person reading this, all the best in the New Year.
I hope to express in "The Annual Column", how much I care, and appreciate, and (what the hell, let's go there) love each and every one of you, who have been a friend to me, these last 365 days.
* at Chiefs 24, Colts (+7) 21.
And to every person reading this, please – take the time, even if
it’s something as throw-away as a quick “Merry Christmas” email with no
message, please – take the time, to let those you care about, know you care.
I intend to do that for you, no later than Wednesday night.
To my core friends: thank you, for the support, the unconditional, "lean on me no matter what dude!" support, you gave me in October.
And to Chiefs fans everywhere?
Let's show OUR team, that we've got their back.
Then. Now. And always.
Always being the only word, that matters ...
Thursday, December 22, 2011
week sixteen: hell on the heart
"No ifs, ands, buts or maybes,
So you wanna be her baby,
I can read your face like a book.
Yeah it looks easy to love her,
But believe me brother --
It's harder than it looks.
She's as pretty as a picture.
Every bit funny as she is smart.
Got a smile that'll hold you together,
And a touch that'll tear you apart.
When she's yours? She brings you sunshine.
When she's gone? The world goes dark.
Yeah, she's heaven on the eyes,
But boy she's hell on the heart ..."
-- "Hell on the Heart" by Eric Church ...
--------------------------
(‘the congregation”) (restless with anticipation)
(“father stevo”) (straightening his “sermon notes”)
Of course it comes down to this.
Four months ago, the Chiefs had lost eight straight, counting pre and post season. The last two of those defeats were the worst – a 41-3 defeat to the doormat Bills, and a 48-3 woodshed-beating by the worse-than-a-doormat Lions.
So of course, it comes down to this.
After surviving a winless September, a winless November, five defeats of 27 points or more, losing our Pro Bowl running back in week two, our Pro Bowl safety in week one, our emerging tight end in preseason, our Pro Bowl quarterback at midseason. After winning one game on a Hail Mary, another on a fumbled center exchange, yet another on two fifty five yard field goals, a fourth by rallying from down 17 to a team that would lose 13 straight. After being reduced to starting Tyler Palko at quarterback, Jackie Battle at tight end, Jake O’Connell at tight end, Sabby Piscatelli and Jon McGraw at safety, and of course, reading every damned disaster just listed and coming to the (sarcasm voice) completely logical conclusion that the only person responsible for this season was the head coach, so let’s fire him – after all of THAT, coupled with me missing my first (non-preseason) home game in a decade because apparently in South Florida, if a f*cking drop of rain happens, that means an instantaneous two hour delay for any and all flights headed west ... of COURSE it comes down to this.
That the two teams who tuned us 89-10 to open the season, control 2/3rds of the fate of the season in their hands on Saturday.
Of course it comes to this. Of course we need the Lions, who beat us like a government mule, to defeat the Chargers. Of course we need the Bills, who treated us like a port-a-potty, to defeat a team that reminds me of a stank urinal, the denver broncos.
And of course the Chiefs, who somehow hold every tie-breaker within the division at 6 and 8, would have to face the team that started the 250 some odd days of defeat and disaster, with both of our seasons on the line. (The loser of Sunday’s Chiefs / raiders contest is eliminated from postseason consideration, regardless of what happens elsewhere.)
I think it’s great. I love symmetry, I love bringing things full circle, and for Chiefs fans, it doesn’t get much better than this, a chance to exercise the demon that began this dark season ... and to exercise the demon that ended the run of greatness twelve years ago.
Of course it comes to this.
Because with a win on Saturday, coupled with Bills and Lions’ victories? Oh boy. You talk about bringing things full circle? You talk about, in the words of the late, great Herb Brooks, “great moments arising from great opportunity”? With those three positive outcomes, it’s going to be the greatest eight day hype for a Chiefs game since 1993. (OK, fine, “technically” 1994, the eight days between beating the Steelers in overtime in the wildcard round, and pounding Buddy Ryan’s ass in Houston eight days later in the divisional round.)
As Kyle Orton would lead these fatally flawed heroes in the Red and Gold into the gates of hell itself, to face his former employer, with a home playoff game and a potential AFC Championship berth on the line.
(You think I’m nuts ... but tell me the Chiefs you saw on Sunday, the broncos you’ve seen the last two months, or the Chargers of the last month couldn’t beat the Steelers at home. Then tell me the Jets can’t beat Baltimore on the road, meaning the winner of AFC West / Pittsburgh goes to Houston to face a quarterback, and a franchise, playing its first ever postseason game, while the Jets get one last crack at their arch-rivals who, in case you’ve forgotten, they thoroughly ass-whipped last January in this same exact spot. And before you call Charter or Two Rivers to commit me, two words ... ok, three. Ready? Arizona. “Super”. Cardinals. The EXACT path they took to the Super Bowl as a 9-7 team a mere three years ago.)
I have no intention (yet) of looking ahead to a potential prime-time battle to decide which mediocre quarterback the broncos took to training camp takes playoff snaps this year. Because there’s still work to do to get there, and quite honestly, I’d put the odds of denver losing on Saturday at a coin flip at best. (I expect Detroit to obliterate the Chargers, for one obvious reason – its “win and you’re in”, and the Lions have tiebreaker over nobody, are staring a 19th straight loss at Lambeau in the face next week, so they have to get to 10 wins to avoid the charging Seahawks or Cardinals, or fading Giants.)
Instead, I want to focus on the task at hand. Defeating the hated oakland raiders.
Do you realize the only game the Chiefs have won by more than 7 points ALL SEASON was the raiders game? It’s insane, but it’s true. We beat the Vikings by 5 because of two 55 yard field goals. We beat the Colts by four thanks to 21 unanswered points, the last seven via one of the most amazing catches you’ll ever see. We beat the Chargers by three in overtime thanks to “The Phumble”, and beat the Bears by 7 because of the Hail Mary. (Plus the Packers by 5 in a game that was really never in doubt, as strange as a five point finale that was never in doubt sounds.)
We know the blueprint of how to do this – we were in this EXACT same spot five years ago, although at oakland on a Saturday instead of hosting them. (That, and we needed eight other outcomes to go our way the last two weeks. This year? Only two. Progress!)
Even more spectacular than any stat I’ve stated so far? Is that 9 of the last 12 between the Chiefs and raiders at Arrowhead have literally been decided on the final snap from scrimmage! 9 of 12! If that doesn’t make you pause and think “wait, are those $5 tickets still available, I need to get my ass in a seat and root like holy hell for my team to beat these f*ckers!”, then check your pulse, or at least question your fandom status. (I know, I know, its Christmas Eve, but for f*ck’s sake, I’m blowing off a family function for this, and I’m pretty sure I’m about one more screwup away from getting written out of the will. Assuming I haven’t already reached that status. I might need to check the safe when I’m at the ‘rents next time ...)
The raiders have won two comfortable games, last year (31-10) and 2008 (23-8 in a game that was 16-8 with six minutes to play.) The Chiefs have one comfortable win in this stretch, in 2002 (20-10 in a game played in a monsoon. Actually, both Chiefs / raiders games in 2002 were played in monsoon-like conditions, now that I think about it).
The other nine? The Chiefs have won four, the raiders have won five, literally on the last snap of the game:
2009: raiders 13, Chiefs 10. janikowski chip shot as time expired.
2007: raiders 20, Chiefs 17. janikowski field goal as time expired.
2006: Chiefs 17, raiders 13. aaron brooks intercepted by jarrad page* on 3rd and goal.
2005: Chiefs 27, raiders 23. LJ accounts for 38 yards and a TD in final ten seconds.
2004: Chiefs 31, raiders 30. Lawrence Tynes field goal as time expired.
2003: Chiefs 27, raiders 24. Morten Anderson field goal as time expired.
2001: raiders 27, Chiefs 24. janikowski chip shot as time expired.
2000: raiders 20, Chiefs 17. janikowski’s first ever game winning field goal, from 52 as time expired.
And the most painful of them all:
1999: raiders 41, Chiefs 38. joe nedney field goal in overtime.
(*: why is jarrad page, a damned fine Chief, in lower case? Simple. If he doesn't blow out Tom Brady's knee to open the 2008 season, Matt Cassel never happens. My hatred of our incumbent starting quarterback is damned near "lower case" status, just like the man who gave him the audition that got him the job has now earned.)
Anyone who thinks this game is going to be easy, anyone who thinks we don’t need every last available member of “the congregation” in a seat on Saturday come high noon, either (a) has not watched a single game the Chiefs have played this year, or (b) clearly has no clue what the Chiefs / raiders rivalry usually results in. (sarcasm voice) your car getting stolen?
(Note: since it’s Chrismukkah season, allow me to tell my favorite raiders joke of all time. Three guys – one wearing a Seahawks cap, one wearing a 49ers cap, one wearing a raiders cap – leave a bar come closing time. On their walk home, they come across a beautiful, smoking hot female laying on the grass, completely naked. She’s not assaulted, not in trouble, she’s just bombed and passed out and somehow lost all of her clothes. (God, why doesn’t this EVER happen to me?!?!) Anyways, out of respect for the woman, and her safety, the guy with the 49ers cap calls 911 on his phone, and places his hat over her right breast. The Seahawks fan places his cap over her left breast, and the raiders fan, for once showing some class, places his cap over her most private of parts.
So a police officer shows up, assesses the situation, takes the three football fans statements, and begins a preliminary investigation for his report. He raises the 49ers cap off the right breast, and replaces it. He raises the Seahawks cap off the left breast, and replaces it. Finally, he lifts the raiders cap, and replaces it.
Then re-raises the raiders cap, repeatedly, as if he is in a state of shock at what he’s seeing underneath. The raiders fan, alarmed, asks the officer why he keeps raising his cap off the woman. To which the officer replies, “I’ve never seen that before”. The raiders fan responds “what, you’ve never seen a woman naked before?” The officer replies, “no sir. Usually when I see a raiders cap, there’s an asshole underneath”. (“the congregation” groans). Thank you, thank you, I’m here all week.)
Now that I’ve completely killed the direction of this post, let me get to the Week 16 picks, and the Game of Great Importance:
* Texans (-7) 24, at Colts 14. I still think the Colts screw themselves out of Luck at J’Ville next week.
* at Redskins (-6 ½) 31, Vikings 20. One team has quit, the other one hasn’t.
* at Titans 3, Jaguars (+7) 0. I wouldn’t wager $0.01 on this outcome, the Titans are too unpredictable.
* at Panthers (-7 ½) 45, Bucs 20. Talk about a team that’s quit on their coach. Your Bucs everyone!
* Cardinals (+4) 21, at Bengals 20. Could Seattle at Arizona decide the NFC 6th seed?
* at Steelers (NL) 17, Rams 0. I could start for Pittsburgh and win this game 3-0.
* at Lions (-2 ½) 56, Chargers 17. Norv, we’d welcome you as our offensive coordinator next fall!
* at Patriots 24, Dolphins (+9) 21. Weird stuff happens when these two get together.
* at Seahawks (+2) 23, 49ers 17. Again, could Seattle at Arizona decide the NFC 6th seed?
* Eagles (+2 ½) 38, at Cowboys 35. Two 8-8 teams hosting 12 win squads will make Pete King’s head explode. Hence, this is THE “Screw You Pete King” Upset of the Week. Oh God please let it actually explode ...
* at Ravens 30, Browns (+12 ½) 20. Have to keep pace with Houston (who holds tiebreak) for first round bye. To say nothing of stay ahead of the Steelers for the division title.
* at Packers (-13) 45, Bears 13. The Bears are literally starting a high school coach at quarterback this week. A freaking HIGH SCHOOL FOOTBALL COACH! And you know what? I’d still make the Bears a 5 point favorite at Arrowhead against a Tyler Palko led Chiefs squad.
* Falcons (+6 ½) 31, at Saints 28. Total gut check game for both squads. I like the Falcons make-up slightly better than the Saints make-up. Slightly.
* “at” Jets (-3) 24, Giants 17. This coupled with a Bengals loss clinches a playoff berth for the Jets. Thank God. Because that finale at Miami scares me sh*tless if something is on the line.
The Toughest Call of the Week:
My heart says denver wins this. Not just because Jesus hates me and loves him some timmy tebow, but good God, the Bills are in absolute free-fall. A team that’s lost seven in a row couldn’t possibly hand the Chiefs a Chrismukkah miracle, could they?
What’s that? A Bengals team that had lost ELEVEN in a row did that last year by upsetting the Chargers in this spot, with a backup QB starting? Whew. I knew to trust my gut. As badly as NBC wants tebow on its airwaves, what better way to get him than by setting up timmy to deliver the division, at home, against his former “mentor” and competitor? at Bills (+2 ½) 31, broncos 20.
The Chiefs Prognostication:
Both oakland and KC have a lot to play for – if denver and San Diego both lose, then the winner of this game controls its own destiny to win the division (oakland would have tiebreaker over denver via conference record if they win out, no matter what happened between KC and denver).
So please, if you can afford the $5 plus fees to get a ticket online at various reputable resale sites (like ArrowheadPride.com), please – show up Sunday. If you don’t want to pay the $27 for parking, the Bus leaves at 7am, you have a ride there and back for the low, low cost of $0.00. (If you want to use this option, let me know, I’ll send you directions).
We need this one folks. Some dumb f*ck blogger named Stevo went on record four months ago and projected the Chiefs to repeat as AFC West champs (and let’s just ignore the rest of my thoughts about the Chiefs chances this season ... at least for now). My credibility as a mediocre sports gambler is on the line here! (Although if you go back and read the season picks, you’ll notice I’m probably the only person alive who picked the broncos to reach the playoffs. So I guess either way, I’m ok? So long as its not the Chargers or raiders?)
Please, if you can make it, if you can blow off the family, afford the cost, show up. Be loud. Screw that – in the words of Blake Shelton, “(be) Loud! (be) Proud! (and then) Get Worse!!!”
I inadvertently left off one thing from the recap about the Packers game, and how I forgot it, I have no idea, because it was THE moment of tailgating from the year.
The game is over. I finally make it back up to the Bus, and after the celebratory hugs, high-fives, and “holy sh*t, HOW DID WE DO THIS?!?!” expressions of shock, as well as grabbing my bottle of vodka and pouring half of it into a bottle of Glacier Ice Gatorade, I have the following conversation:
(stevo) hey, what’s up with no music?
(everyone) (with a “yeah, what’s up with this?!?!” look)
So I haul out the speakers, and fire up the iPod. Ray and his crew have just arrived. Even more impressively, Castro drove up to join us for the postgame. (Best of all? He’s as f*cking sick of the damned horn his crew uses as we are, hence his decision to join us rather than them. Sweet?)
And after the first song on the random shuffle plays (“Word Up” by Cameo, only Mona’s favorite song of all time, wow I lucked into that one) ... the second song out ... and I wish I’d remembered the camera to record it.
No, it wasn’t “Shout”, of which there are videos of me dancing to. It wasn’t even “Dancin’ on the Ceiling”, again, of which there are videos of me dancing to. It wasn’t “Sweet Caroline”, of which there are way too many videos of me karaoke-ing to.
Nope, what made this moment rule, was not only that every person there, including Ray and his crew, even including Castro for God’s sake, knew every word to the song ... but that as soon as the first few words came out, about 20 different people immediately broke out into singing it for the next five minutes.
“Well it was all ... that I could do ... to keep from crying.”
(Come on, you know you want to join in, if only because the first verse of this song so perfectly describes the Chiefs season to this point ...)
“Sometimes it seemed so useless to remain.
You don’t have to call me darlin’, darlin’.
You never even called me by my name!”
Yes, when twenty plus people are belting out as loud as they can sing “You Never Even Called Me By My Name” by David Allan Coe, only THE greatest country song ever written and recorded ... its a keeper of a tailgate.
And this my friends, my “congregation”? Is going to be a keeper of a game, a keeper of a Saturday, and God willing, a keeper of a season. at Chiefs (-2 ½) 35, raiders 30. Again, I pick the final score for each Chiefs game for a very specific reason. If you get the significance of this predicted score, chosen because of the situation we find ourselves in? Congratulations, you’re a die-hard Chiefs fan.
(Hopefully) See Ya Saturday! I have no idea what the menu is, but we’re hooking up with Ray and his crew again, so it’ll be good. We’ll be in our usual spot, so don’t be a stranger – come out and enjoy the Chrismukkah miracle of a lifetime! Or at least of the last five years.
The weather looks good, the football should be entertaining, and really, what would you rather spend Christmas Eve afternoon doing, attending a family gathering? Last minute shopping? Or watching this flawed bunch of scrappy fighters, the “luckiest dreamers who never quit dreaming”, extend the dream for three more hours? I vote option (c). This game WILL be heaven on the eyes.
And here's to PRAYING the eight days after Saturday are hell on every Chiefs and donkeys fan's heart ...
So you wanna be her baby,
I can read your face like a book.
Yeah it looks easy to love her,
But believe me brother --
It's harder than it looks.
She's as pretty as a picture.
Every bit funny as she is smart.
Got a smile that'll hold you together,
And a touch that'll tear you apart.
When she's yours? She brings you sunshine.
When she's gone? The world goes dark.
Yeah, she's heaven on the eyes,
But boy she's hell on the heart ..."
-- "Hell on the Heart" by Eric Church ...
--------------------------
(‘the congregation”) (restless with anticipation)
(“father stevo”) (straightening his “sermon notes”)
Of course it comes down to this.
Four months ago, the Chiefs had lost eight straight, counting pre and post season. The last two of those defeats were the worst – a 41-3 defeat to the doormat Bills, and a 48-3 woodshed-beating by the worse-than-a-doormat Lions.
So of course, it comes down to this.
After surviving a winless September, a winless November, five defeats of 27 points or more, losing our Pro Bowl running back in week two, our Pro Bowl safety in week one, our emerging tight end in preseason, our Pro Bowl quarterback at midseason. After winning one game on a Hail Mary, another on a fumbled center exchange, yet another on two fifty five yard field goals, a fourth by rallying from down 17 to a team that would lose 13 straight. After being reduced to starting Tyler Palko at quarterback, Jackie Battle at tight end, Jake O’Connell at tight end, Sabby Piscatelli and Jon McGraw at safety, and of course, reading every damned disaster just listed and coming to the (sarcasm voice) completely logical conclusion that the only person responsible for this season was the head coach, so let’s fire him – after all of THAT, coupled with me missing my first (non-preseason) home game in a decade because apparently in South Florida, if a f*cking drop of rain happens, that means an instantaneous two hour delay for any and all flights headed west ... of COURSE it comes down to this.
That the two teams who tuned us 89-10 to open the season, control 2/3rds of the fate of the season in their hands on Saturday.
Of course it comes to this. Of course we need the Lions, who beat us like a government mule, to defeat the Chargers. Of course we need the Bills, who treated us like a port-a-potty, to defeat a team that reminds me of a stank urinal, the denver broncos.
And of course the Chiefs, who somehow hold every tie-breaker within the division at 6 and 8, would have to face the team that started the 250 some odd days of defeat and disaster, with both of our seasons on the line. (The loser of Sunday’s Chiefs / raiders contest is eliminated from postseason consideration, regardless of what happens elsewhere.)
I think it’s great. I love symmetry, I love bringing things full circle, and for Chiefs fans, it doesn’t get much better than this, a chance to exercise the demon that began this dark season ... and to exercise the demon that ended the run of greatness twelve years ago.
Of course it comes to this.
Because with a win on Saturday, coupled with Bills and Lions’ victories? Oh boy. You talk about bringing things full circle? You talk about, in the words of the late, great Herb Brooks, “great moments arising from great opportunity”? With those three positive outcomes, it’s going to be the greatest eight day hype for a Chiefs game since 1993. (OK, fine, “technically” 1994, the eight days between beating the Steelers in overtime in the wildcard round, and pounding Buddy Ryan’s ass in Houston eight days later in the divisional round.)
As Kyle Orton would lead these fatally flawed heroes in the Red and Gold into the gates of hell itself, to face his former employer, with a home playoff game and a potential AFC Championship berth on the line.
(You think I’m nuts ... but tell me the Chiefs you saw on Sunday, the broncos you’ve seen the last two months, or the Chargers of the last month couldn’t beat the Steelers at home. Then tell me the Jets can’t beat Baltimore on the road, meaning the winner of AFC West / Pittsburgh goes to Houston to face a quarterback, and a franchise, playing its first ever postseason game, while the Jets get one last crack at their arch-rivals who, in case you’ve forgotten, they thoroughly ass-whipped last January in this same exact spot. And before you call Charter or Two Rivers to commit me, two words ... ok, three. Ready? Arizona. “Super”. Cardinals. The EXACT path they took to the Super Bowl as a 9-7 team a mere three years ago.)
I have no intention (yet) of looking ahead to a potential prime-time battle to decide which mediocre quarterback the broncos took to training camp takes playoff snaps this year. Because there’s still work to do to get there, and quite honestly, I’d put the odds of denver losing on Saturday at a coin flip at best. (I expect Detroit to obliterate the Chargers, for one obvious reason – its “win and you’re in”, and the Lions have tiebreaker over nobody, are staring a 19th straight loss at Lambeau in the face next week, so they have to get to 10 wins to avoid the charging Seahawks or Cardinals, or fading Giants.)
Instead, I want to focus on the task at hand. Defeating the hated oakland raiders.
Do you realize the only game the Chiefs have won by more than 7 points ALL SEASON was the raiders game? It’s insane, but it’s true. We beat the Vikings by 5 because of two 55 yard field goals. We beat the Colts by four thanks to 21 unanswered points, the last seven via one of the most amazing catches you’ll ever see. We beat the Chargers by three in overtime thanks to “The Phumble”, and beat the Bears by 7 because of the Hail Mary. (Plus the Packers by 5 in a game that was really never in doubt, as strange as a five point finale that was never in doubt sounds.)
We know the blueprint of how to do this – we were in this EXACT same spot five years ago, although at oakland on a Saturday instead of hosting them. (That, and we needed eight other outcomes to go our way the last two weeks. This year? Only two. Progress!)
Even more spectacular than any stat I’ve stated so far? Is that 9 of the last 12 between the Chiefs and raiders at Arrowhead have literally been decided on the final snap from scrimmage! 9 of 12! If that doesn’t make you pause and think “wait, are those $5 tickets still available, I need to get my ass in a seat and root like holy hell for my team to beat these f*ckers!”, then check your pulse, or at least question your fandom status. (I know, I know, its Christmas Eve, but for f*ck’s sake, I’m blowing off a family function for this, and I’m pretty sure I’m about one more screwup away from getting written out of the will. Assuming I haven’t already reached that status. I might need to check the safe when I’m at the ‘rents next time ...)
The raiders have won two comfortable games, last year (31-10) and 2008 (23-8 in a game that was 16-8 with six minutes to play.) The Chiefs have one comfortable win in this stretch, in 2002 (20-10 in a game played in a monsoon. Actually, both Chiefs / raiders games in 2002 were played in monsoon-like conditions, now that I think about it).
The other nine? The Chiefs have won four, the raiders have won five, literally on the last snap of the game:
2009: raiders 13, Chiefs 10. janikowski chip shot as time expired.
2007: raiders 20, Chiefs 17. janikowski field goal as time expired.
2006: Chiefs 17, raiders 13. aaron brooks intercepted by jarrad page* on 3rd and goal.
2005: Chiefs 27, raiders 23. LJ accounts for 38 yards and a TD in final ten seconds.
2004: Chiefs 31, raiders 30. Lawrence Tynes field goal as time expired.
2003: Chiefs 27, raiders 24. Morten Anderson field goal as time expired.
2001: raiders 27, Chiefs 24. janikowski chip shot as time expired.
2000: raiders 20, Chiefs 17. janikowski’s first ever game winning field goal, from 52 as time expired.
And the most painful of them all:
1999: raiders 41, Chiefs 38. joe nedney field goal in overtime.
(*: why is jarrad page, a damned fine Chief, in lower case? Simple. If he doesn't blow out Tom Brady's knee to open the 2008 season, Matt Cassel never happens. My hatred of our incumbent starting quarterback is damned near "lower case" status, just like the man who gave him the audition that got him the job has now earned.)
Anyone who thinks this game is going to be easy, anyone who thinks we don’t need every last available member of “the congregation” in a seat on Saturday come high noon, either (a) has not watched a single game the Chiefs have played this year, or (b) clearly has no clue what the Chiefs / raiders rivalry usually results in. (sarcasm voice) your car getting stolen?
(Note: since it’s Chrismukkah season, allow me to tell my favorite raiders joke of all time. Three guys – one wearing a Seahawks cap, one wearing a 49ers cap, one wearing a raiders cap – leave a bar come closing time. On their walk home, they come across a beautiful, smoking hot female laying on the grass, completely naked. She’s not assaulted, not in trouble, she’s just bombed and passed out and somehow lost all of her clothes. (God, why doesn’t this EVER happen to me?!?!) Anyways, out of respect for the woman, and her safety, the guy with the 49ers cap calls 911 on his phone, and places his hat over her right breast. The Seahawks fan places his cap over her left breast, and the raiders fan, for once showing some class, places his cap over her most private of parts.
So a police officer shows up, assesses the situation, takes the three football fans statements, and begins a preliminary investigation for his report. He raises the 49ers cap off the right breast, and replaces it. He raises the Seahawks cap off the left breast, and replaces it. Finally, he lifts the raiders cap, and replaces it.
Then re-raises the raiders cap, repeatedly, as if he is in a state of shock at what he’s seeing underneath. The raiders fan, alarmed, asks the officer why he keeps raising his cap off the woman. To which the officer replies, “I’ve never seen that before”. The raiders fan responds “what, you’ve never seen a woman naked before?” The officer replies, “no sir. Usually when I see a raiders cap, there’s an asshole underneath”. (“the congregation” groans). Thank you, thank you, I’m here all week.)
Now that I’ve completely killed the direction of this post, let me get to the Week 16 picks, and the Game of Great Importance:
* Texans (-7) 24, at Colts 14. I still think the Colts screw themselves out of Luck at J’Ville next week.
* at Redskins (-6 ½) 31, Vikings 20. One team has quit, the other one hasn’t.
* at Titans 3, Jaguars (+7) 0. I wouldn’t wager $0.01 on this outcome, the Titans are too unpredictable.
* at Panthers (-7 ½) 45, Bucs 20. Talk about a team that’s quit on their coach. Your Bucs everyone!
* Cardinals (+4) 21, at Bengals 20. Could Seattle at Arizona decide the NFC 6th seed?
* at Steelers (NL) 17, Rams 0. I could start for Pittsburgh and win this game 3-0.
* at Lions (-2 ½) 56, Chargers 17. Norv, we’d welcome you as our offensive coordinator next fall!
* at Patriots 24, Dolphins (+9) 21. Weird stuff happens when these two get together.
* at Seahawks (+2) 23, 49ers 17. Again, could Seattle at Arizona decide the NFC 6th seed?
* Eagles (+2 ½) 38, at Cowboys 35. Two 8-8 teams hosting 12 win squads will make Pete King’s head explode. Hence, this is THE “Screw You Pete King” Upset of the Week. Oh God please let it actually explode ...
* at Ravens 30, Browns (+12 ½) 20. Have to keep pace with Houston (who holds tiebreak) for first round bye. To say nothing of stay ahead of the Steelers for the division title.
* at Packers (-13) 45, Bears 13. The Bears are literally starting a high school coach at quarterback this week. A freaking HIGH SCHOOL FOOTBALL COACH! And you know what? I’d still make the Bears a 5 point favorite at Arrowhead against a Tyler Palko led Chiefs squad.
* Falcons (+6 ½) 31, at Saints 28. Total gut check game for both squads. I like the Falcons make-up slightly better than the Saints make-up. Slightly.
* “at” Jets (-3) 24, Giants 17. This coupled with a Bengals loss clinches a playoff berth for the Jets. Thank God. Because that finale at Miami scares me sh*tless if something is on the line.
The Toughest Call of the Week:
My heart says denver wins this. Not just because Jesus hates me and loves him some timmy tebow, but good God, the Bills are in absolute free-fall. A team that’s lost seven in a row couldn’t possibly hand the Chiefs a Chrismukkah miracle, could they?
What’s that? A Bengals team that had lost ELEVEN in a row did that last year by upsetting the Chargers in this spot, with a backup QB starting? Whew. I knew to trust my gut. As badly as NBC wants tebow on its airwaves, what better way to get him than by setting up timmy to deliver the division, at home, against his former “mentor” and competitor? at Bills (+2 ½) 31, broncos 20.
The Chiefs Prognostication:
Both oakland and KC have a lot to play for – if denver and San Diego both lose, then the winner of this game controls its own destiny to win the division (oakland would have tiebreaker over denver via conference record if they win out, no matter what happened between KC and denver).
So please, if you can afford the $5 plus fees to get a ticket online at various reputable resale sites (like ArrowheadPride.com), please – show up Sunday. If you don’t want to pay the $27 for parking, the Bus leaves at 7am, you have a ride there and back for the low, low cost of $0.00. (If you want to use this option, let me know, I’ll send you directions).
We need this one folks. Some dumb f*ck blogger named Stevo went on record four months ago and projected the Chiefs to repeat as AFC West champs (and let’s just ignore the rest of my thoughts about the Chiefs chances this season ... at least for now). My credibility as a mediocre sports gambler is on the line here! (Although if you go back and read the season picks, you’ll notice I’m probably the only person alive who picked the broncos to reach the playoffs. So I guess either way, I’m ok? So long as its not the Chargers or raiders?)
Please, if you can make it, if you can blow off the family, afford the cost, show up. Be loud. Screw that – in the words of Blake Shelton, “(be) Loud! (be) Proud! (and then) Get Worse!!!”
I inadvertently left off one thing from the recap about the Packers game, and how I forgot it, I have no idea, because it was THE moment of tailgating from the year.
The game is over. I finally make it back up to the Bus, and after the celebratory hugs, high-fives, and “holy sh*t, HOW DID WE DO THIS?!?!” expressions of shock, as well as grabbing my bottle of vodka and pouring half of it into a bottle of Glacier Ice Gatorade, I have the following conversation:
(stevo) hey, what’s up with no music?
(everyone) (with a “yeah, what’s up with this?!?!” look)
So I haul out the speakers, and fire up the iPod. Ray and his crew have just arrived. Even more impressively, Castro drove up to join us for the postgame. (Best of all? He’s as f*cking sick of the damned horn his crew uses as we are, hence his decision to join us rather than them. Sweet?)
And after the first song on the random shuffle plays (“Word Up” by Cameo, only Mona’s favorite song of all time, wow I lucked into that one) ... the second song out ... and I wish I’d remembered the camera to record it.
No, it wasn’t “Shout”, of which there are videos of me dancing to. It wasn’t even “Dancin’ on the Ceiling”, again, of which there are videos of me dancing to. It wasn’t “Sweet Caroline”, of which there are way too many videos of me karaoke-ing to.
Nope, what made this moment rule, was not only that every person there, including Ray and his crew, even including Castro for God’s sake, knew every word to the song ... but that as soon as the first few words came out, about 20 different people immediately broke out into singing it for the next five minutes.
“Well it was all ... that I could do ... to keep from crying.”
(Come on, you know you want to join in, if only because the first verse of this song so perfectly describes the Chiefs season to this point ...)
“Sometimes it seemed so useless to remain.
You don’t have to call me darlin’, darlin’.
You never even called me by my name!”
Yes, when twenty plus people are belting out as loud as they can sing “You Never Even Called Me By My Name” by David Allan Coe, only THE greatest country song ever written and recorded ... its a keeper of a tailgate.
And this my friends, my “congregation”? Is going to be a keeper of a game, a keeper of a Saturday, and God willing, a keeper of a season. at Chiefs (-2 ½) 35, raiders 30. Again, I pick the final score for each Chiefs game for a very specific reason. If you get the significance of this predicted score, chosen because of the situation we find ourselves in? Congratulations, you’re a die-hard Chiefs fan.
(Hopefully) See Ya Saturday! I have no idea what the menu is, but we’re hooking up with Ray and his crew again, so it’ll be good. We’ll be in our usual spot, so don’t be a stranger – come out and enjoy the Chrismukkah miracle of a lifetime! Or at least of the last five years.
The weather looks good, the football should be entertaining, and really, what would you rather spend Christmas Eve afternoon doing, attending a family gathering? Last minute shopping? Or watching this flawed bunch of scrappy fighters, the “luckiest dreamers who never quit dreaming”, extend the dream for three more hours? I vote option (c). This game WILL be heaven on the eyes.
And here's to PRAYING the eight days after Saturday are hell on every Chiefs and donkeys fan's heart ...
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week twelve picks
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