Showing posts with label republican convention. Show all posts
Showing posts with label republican convention. Show all posts

Sunday, August 16, 2020

the next few weeks ...

Hi there.  

Believe it or not, my liver hasn't quit on me yet!  It's survived five months of working from home, three months of awesome summer weather, two months floating in the pool, and five -- five! (and counting) -- South Dakota incoming visits, including this weekend with Andrew and Billy, who combined still can't outdrink me, no matter how much they try.

(Seriously, you two needed a nap yesterday evening?  Are you bleeping kidding me?  You don't disappear for a nap at 7pm, just before we're supposed to hit up everyone's favorite "lounge"!  In the words of Judge Judy: "that's outrageous behavior!  Outrageous!")

Anyways, since I haven't posted in five months, here we are.  Because I plan some posts over the next few weeks.

I plan to "live blog" the DNC and RNC, at least a little bit each night.  I'm not sure how this is going to work, because (a) I'm not sure if the speakers will be live in front of an audience, or (b) simulcast from their basements to a virtual audience.  

But either way, I'm not missing the abject clown car show both of these things are shaping up to be.  The Democrat nominee might not know his full name; the Republican nominee is planning to break federal law on his speech location.  In the words of one of the greatest sitcom theme songs of all times: "ain't we lucky we got 'em?  Good Times!!!!!!!!!"

I hope to have my NBA playoff picks up by tomorrow.  My favorite team is the betting favorite to emerge from the East, if not win this whole thing.  It's a weird spot to be in -- to go from adopting a team because of how sh*tty it is, to being the best team in the League, in barely ten years.  Then again, the Chiefs just did that, in five fewer years, so what do I know.

Huge Game Four in Edmonton this afternoon with the Stars and Flames.  The Stars have sucked something awful since the restart, losing five of seven games that count, and the only two wins have been in a shootout against the defending champ Blues, and via a late gifted goal in Game Two.  Faceoff is 1pm Dallas Time on CNBC.  It's not often I get to say this ... but I need a lot of Pantera in my life this afternoon.

And of course, we're less than four weeks out from the Chiefs opener, and still have no idea as Season Ticket Members if any of us will be allowed in, and how that draft lottery for ticket disbursement will work.  Which means I owe you my annual exercise in futility absolute success, my NFL season predictions.  I plan to have those up by Labor Day weekend.

So lots coming in the next few weeks.  I look forward to providing the content to you.  In the words of another great 1970s sitcom theme song: "welcome back, welcome back, welcome back!!!!" ...

Monday, July 18, 2016

the rnc: night one, live blog ...

Hi folks!

Well ... you get a live blog, at least for a while tonight.

Enjoy?


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* This “Duck Dynasty” guy is an “everyday American”?  If that’s what everyday America looks like?  I want no part of it.  Dude.  Buy a razor.  Even I can manage to keep the beard groomed.

And this whole idea that “well, we pray to end each day, at the table”.  Well sh*t, so do I and my friends and family at “The Family Dinner” every Sunday night.  I have a feeling it’s not going to do us a damned bit of good, when we have to stand before the face of God someday.  Call me crazy.  But when the whiskey / wine to sandwich ratio is about even?  Probably not worth wasting the words, on said prayer.

* Scott Baio was good.  I liked his speech.  I hated his “Never Hillary” line, but whatever.

* My dad’s brother – who has lived in Texas for longer than I’ve been alive – hates Rick Perry with a passion.  (In my uncle’s defense?  I can’t stand that f*cking phony either.)  Having said that …

* His introduction of Marcus Luttrell was inspiring, and Mr. Luttrell’s speech on what true heroism and patriotism is, was awesome.  I loved that it didn’t sound like a speech.  He was just speaking from the heart.

* The mother of Sean Smith.  Damn.  “Hillary Clinton is a woman, a mother, and a grandmother of two.  I am a woman, a mother, and a grandmother of two.  How could she do this to me?”  This, after flat out saying “Hillary Clinton is a liar”.  I … I got nothing folks.  I’m not even going to try to defend Benghazi.

“If Hillary Clinton can’t give us the truth?  Why should we give her the Presidency?”

“That’s right – Hillary Clinton for prison!  She deserves to be in stripes!”

I … I got nothing folks.  I’m not even going to try to defend Benghazi.

Although this lady did note that “I’ve been waiting four years for her to return my (phone call).  Is she too scared to talk?”  Gee, who does THAT sound like?

Wolf Blitzer after that speech: “I think a theme is developing”.  Well, considering the Republicans called this “Benghazi Night”, I think the theme was already known, Wolf.  Christ.

Why Jake Tapper Is The Best Journalist Alive Today: he’s not even trying to attack Mrs. Smith … or defend HRC.  (Or me at this point.)

Mr. Tapper also is all but confirming Mrs. Smith’s accusation, that Mrs. Clinton is a liar.  Which, again, she is.  And yet, compared to Mr. Trump, she’s slightly less pathological of one, in my opinion.

‘Murica 2016!!!!!!!  Who lies to you less!!!!!!!!!

Jesus, we are so f*cked as a nation at this point, you have to question the sanity of anyone who wants to bring another kid into this world, as an American.

* Guess I should note, I have CNN on one TV, MSNBC on a second, CSPAN on the personal laptop, and I’m typing this on the work laptop. 

(Pause).

‘Murica 2016!!!!!!!!!  Greatest Nation Ever!!!!!!!!!!!!

* Still to come: Antonio Sabato Junior (really?), Rudy Giuliani (Jesus, give it up already, we get it – you weren’t sound asleep at 8:58am ET on 9/11/01), Senator Ernst (I actually like her), Milwaukee’s Sheriff (this could be interesting), and “House of Wings” introducing his trophy wife (who, actually, I like a lot too … and my fear is, she’s going to hit this tonight to (reggie jackson voice) second f*cking base.  Basically, the Bizarro Teresa Heinz-Kerry from 12 years ago.)

And if CNN is going to a break … so am I.  Back in (chuck woolery voice) two and two …

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And I'm back.  Tonight's fuel of choice is Coors Light.  Coors Light: where I'm exactly one twelve pack away -- in barely two weeks! -- from cashing in enough points for a mini-fridge!

Media Isn't Biased 101: neither CNN nor MSNBC is showing the Benghazi survivors live.  Again ... I got nothing folks.  I'm not even going to try to defend Benghazi.

Oh boy, it's Rudy time apparently ... only CNN goes to a commercial.  MSNBC already is in one.  I guaran-godd*mn-tee you, if Benghazi happened under W's watch, we wouldn't be at commercial.

Guess this is a decent time to come that much closer, to a mini-fridge ...

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Oh, a couple disclaimers.

(1) I'm too damned cheap to pay for a live blog, uuh, live blog.  So keep hitting F5, and every 10 minutes or so, you'll get an updated, uuh, blog.

(2) I also live within a mile of the Cerner redevelopment in South KC.  I routinely lose WiFi (and electricity ... and water ... and for a lovely week and a half last winter, sewer) access from time to time.  So if it takes me a minute to reload, I apologize.

But if you lived in District Six?

You'd tolerate it like I do.

Because God bless, this part of town is going to be worth living in again, come 18 months from now ...

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OK, what in the hell is David Axelrod doing at the RNC?  I mean Christ, can you even ATTEMPT to be unbiased, CNN?

I mean, is FOX going to have Karl Rove on their coverage?

(Pause).

Oh.

Guess I'll let this one slide ...

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For the grizzled veterans this is unnecessary ... but if you've drunken Google or stoned Twitter stumbled onto this site, welcome!

I'll live blog until I either (a) get too bored to do it, or (b) get so inspired that I want to just watch the convention unfold.  (Go to August 2012 and August 2008 in the sites archives, to see that I mean that.)

I'm guessing tonight, (a) is going to happen.  Because this is beyond boring right now.

Having said that ... Mr. Axelrod is actually quite fair and balanced so far tonight.  I'm utterly stunned.

And ... Antonio Sabada Junior.  As CNN notes "Former Underwear Model".  And he's concerned about our country's future.

(stevo banging his head on his coffee table ...)

I mean really?  THIS is who you open 9pm ET with, a "former underwear model"?  

I'm ... I'm ... I'm ...

"Donald Trump is for unity!"  Yeah, and I'm for sobriety.

Wait -- a speaker at the REPUBLICAN convention just said government has responsibility?  I thought government was the great evil in the room?

What a waste.  They should have put Scott Baio here.  Sh*t, they should have put Don King here; it couldn't have been worse.

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I almost hate to do this, but Live Blog Night Uno is over.  Just got a call I have to take that is gonna take at least thirty minutes.

You'll have my thoughts on Mrs. Trump's speech tomorrow, as well as anything else that occurs.

the rnc: the setup ...

"You said come just as you are --
Skin and bones, smell like a bar.
You sure you want me there this way?
OK -- I'm on my way.

I'll grab this bottle just in case?
I'm just too ashamed to pray.
Well I'm bringing this burden to you now --
Yeah, the prodigal son returns,

The only way I know how.

The only way I know how! ...

So may this bottle?  
Be the body!
And this bourbon?  
Be the blood!

If I pour it out, 
Will you take my offer --
If you give me the strength,
To never pick it up?

Then here I stand!

Just as I am ..."

-- "Just As I Am" by Brantley Gilbert.  Yeah folks -- I'm gonna need both God and booze, to get through this convention.  And not necessarily in that order ...

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This election feels strange for me.

For starters, for the first time since 2000, the Conventions dawn with my vote already locked up.  Usually I give both parties my attention for the week, listening to what the candidates have to offer, and then make my decision based on who I believe is not only the best choice to lead the country, but ideally the candidate that is the most centrist of the group.  This year?  There's nothing to sell me; my choice is already made.  #ImWithHer

Secondly, and I ask this as someone who actually believes (and has for a long time) that Secretary Clinton will prove to be a better President than her husband was ... but have two worse candidates ever topped the ticket than Secretary Clinton and "House of Wings"?  Love her or hate her, even I have to concede that Secretary Clinton is a horrible candidate.  She's not charismatic like her husband (or "House of Wings") is.  She isn't the warmest, most engaging person when the camera is on her.  And she's not any good at speaking on the fly, at adapting to the conditions around her once she begins speaking.  (Her husband on the other hand?  Literally winged the State of the Union one year from memory when the teleprompter crashed.)

So she has her flaws.  But at least she's not the "star" of this brilliant attack ad:


So, here's kind of the plan for the week ...

1. I doubt I will live blog tonight  I do plan to have a recap and my reactions, at a bare minimum, to Mrs. Trump's speech tomorrow.  I'll try to get it posted by lunch CT, so you have something to entertain you in the afternoon tomorrow.

2. Tuesday will have to be recapped, not live blogged, at this point.  I currently have plans for tomorrow that I don't think I can get out of.  And even if I could, it would just delay what I have to do by a week ... and I don't care how train-wrecky the RNC looks at this point * & **, because nothing's going to top next Tuesday at the DNC.  It's Bernie's night.  Jesus, I would not want to be within 500 miles of Philadelphia next Tuesday.  His brain dead supporters probably think Comcast Country is a real country that they can mooch off of.

3. I do plan to live blog on Wednesday and Thursday for a bit.  And I will be scrutinizing both Governor Pence and "House of Wings" offerings to the masses.  (Or basically, what I usually do for every night of the conventions on this site -- hit the highlights of each night, and recap the keynote speech.

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(*: the New York Times is reporting that Reince Priebus, the RNC Chairman, had to explain to Mr. Trump why Don King would not be allowed to speak this week.  (He stomped a man to death in Ohio years ago.)  I'm not sure what's more insane: that Don King is a Republican ... or that Don King was supposed to speak at a political convention.  I mean, are you serious?  How awesome would that have been?  I mean, usually it's the DNC that gives us the ridiculousness ***.  Don King on stage would have been the mic-drop moment of American political history.  Bar none.)

(**: for those who think this week is going to be a loony tunes carnival, I remind you, it wasn't even four years ago when Clint Eastwood spoke to a chair for twenty minutes.  Other than Don King miraculously being re-inserted into the speaking lineup, the Republicans aren't topping that beauty from Tampa last time around.)

(***: in 2000, Reverend Jackson urged us to "stay out the Bush!  Stay out the Bush!" ... mere days before it was revealed that he failed to adhere to his own advice, and had knocked a chick up who wasn't Mrs. Reverend Jackson.  In 2004, Vice President Biden was booed off the stage for quoting a verse from the Bible.  Also in 2004, the floor nearly rioted when the Boy Scouts performed the National Anthem.  And as if that wasn't great enough, 2004 also gave us Reverend Sharpton railing for twelve minutes about how President Bush had taken his "40 acre and mule" from him.  Uuh, Al?  I don't know how to tell you this ... but the government hasn't handed out "40 acre and mule" in 150 years.  And of course, anything with Senator Edward M. Kennedy (D-MA ... as in Drunk - Massachusetts).  Who can forget in 2000, when poor "Sweet" Caroline had to literally help him off the podium in Los Angeles because he was not only too intoxicated to walk, he was too intoxicated to coherently talk.  Now that's what I'm talkin' 'bout, Willis!  Then again, three of the five best political speeches I've ever heard were delivered at the DNC -- President Obama's keynote speech in 2004, Al Gore's acceptance speech in 2000, and President Clinton in Charlotte four years ago, so it's not all fun and games, I guess.)

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For the record, I plan to do the same thing for the DNC next week -- at least recap every day, and the major speeches: Secretary Clinton, her Vice Presidential choice (who I'm betting will be Senator Kaine), plus anything Presidents Clinton and Obama have to say.  And God bless, do I truly hope and pray that for the first time since 2004, the "Justice Brothers", Reverends Jackson and Sharpton, will be welcomed back onto the stage.  Damned Barry not wanting to get upstaged the last two conventions ...

And of course, keep in mind -- next week is likely the last national speech Joseph Robinette Biden will ever give.  One last time, for old times sake:

  
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Now, having gotten the necessities out of the way, here's my thoughts (in case you care) headed into the Conventions:

1. I think this race is going to be very, very close.  Both with the popular vote and the electoral.  If you go to Real Clear Politics, and simply take the "Lock and Lean" Clinton against the "Lock and Lean" Trump, it's already 209-164 HRC.  Or basically where President Obama was at this point four years ago.  But consider this: if "House of Wings" **** manages to win the three vital swing states he currently leads in -- Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania -- that puts him at 228.  I know they aren't in the lean category and are still officially toss-ups, but Mr. Trump is going to win Georgia and Arizona, another 27 electoral votes to put him at 255.  You know what that means? 

North Carolina would put him over the top. 

Virginia would all but get him there. 

Anyone who thinks this is going to be a cakewalk for Secretary Clinton, is nuts. 

(****: gun to my head, "Donald J. Trump's House of Wings" is one of the ten best SNL sketches ever.)

2. The person with the most pressure on them the next two weeks?  Easy -- Hillary. 

Look it, love or hate "House of Wings" (I feel neither ... but there's no way I'll vote for him), the man can speak.  Thursday night is going to be the most watched political speech in a generation, and The Donald will deliver.  It will be entertaining.  It will be engaging.  It will be utter bullsh*t and lies, but hey, so was hope and change, and 50 plus percent of the idiot electorate bought it up -- twice.  I've seen Hillary give a truly quality speech once in my life: the concession speech to end her 2008 campaign.  That's it.  She's not a natural entertainer or comedian.  Trump is.

And as if not being a natural salesman / politician isn't enough of a handicap ... who isn't going to overshadow her next week?  

And more to the point -- can she afford for Bill to be corralled?  Can she afford to not give a night to Bernie and his bat sh*t crazy supporters?  Can she afford to not turn over a night to the Senator Warren crowd?  For all the talk about how "House of Wings" has to unify a broken party?  So does the Madam Secretary.  And if anything, her task might be tougher, if only because at the end of the day, the far right will rally to "House of Wings" to avoid a Hillary administration.  Bernie's bat sh*t crazy supporters might be angry enough to stay home or switch.

Put it this way: she has nowhere to go but down.  He has nowhere to go but up.

3. Am I the only one frightened by the fact that "House of Wings" has literally spent $0.00 in the last six weeks on advertising ... and he's still within the margin for error?  By this point in 2012, President Obama's team had brilliantly painted Willard as an uncaring asshole who threw his dog on the roof of the car for a cross-country drive.  The ad I liked too, way up at the top, that's just brilliant.  And it's not even making a dent!

4. I thought the selection of Governor Pence was the only sane option "House of Wings" had.  Chris Christie would have been a disaster -- if you're trying to unify the party, you sure as hell do not put on the ticket a man whose embrace of President Obama after Hurricane Sandy enraged two thirds of the base.  Newt Gingrich would have been worse -- if you're trying to unify the party, sure as as all hell do not put on the ticket a man who left his wife for a staffer ... and announced he was leaving as she was fighting cancer.  Governor Pence is on the wrong side of history when it comes to true equality, but other than that, I don't have an issue with him.  And even on gay rights?  Let's be honest here folks: DOMA was signed into law by a Democrat, and it took President Obama decades to "evolve" on the issue.  It's not like Democrats "own" being on the right side of history here either.

And finally …


5. I'm getting godd*mned sick and tired of having to text my great friend Jasson every morning "be safe today dude", because yet another law enforcement officer was shot overnight.  I'm getting really godd*mned sick and tired of it.  Stop shooting cops, people.  They're our ONLY line of defense between civilization and anarchy.  (Unless you want martial law.  In the words of Bartleby in Herman Melville's classic: "I'd prefer not to".)

Stop.  Shooting.  Cops.

Period.

No matter what your grievances with law enforcement may be -- and trust me, I've spent a night or six dealing with them -- they're not waking up in the morning looking to kill you, Black Lives Matter.

Yet you wake up, seeking to kill them.

Just stop already.

If only for Jasson's sake ...

week twelve picks

The Statisticals. Last Week SU: 8-6-0. Season to Date SU: 98-62-1. Last Week ATS: 7-7-0. Season to Date ATS: 75-80-6. Last Week Upset / ...