"Well if you wanna drink?
Go baby! Just do your thing!
But give up your keys --
Hell, why drive when you can stay with me!
And then after awhile?
We'll sneak away from the bonfire.
Walk by the moonlight,
And down to the riverside.
Gotcha sippin' on some moonshine --
Baby, if you're in the mood
And you can settle
For a one night rodeo?
You could be my tan-legged Juliet,
And I'll be your redneck Romeo!
Oh baby! You can find me
In the back of a jacked up tailgate!
Sittin' 'round watching all these pretty things?
Get down in that Georgia clay!
And I'll find peace,
At the bottom of a real tall cold drink!
Chillin' with some Skynyrd
And some old Hank!
Let's get this thing started!
It's my kind of party!!! ..."
-- "My Kind of Party", made famous by Jason Aldean, but written (and performed much better) by Brantley Gilbert.
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The Statisticals.
(Note: no Week Ten Picks were submitted due to real-life issues that trumped posting them.)
Last Week SU: 7-9-0. An average finish to an average season of prognosticating.
Final Season to Date SU: 139-100-1. Above .500!
Last Week ATS: 8-8-0. An average finish to an average season of prognosticating.
Final Season to Date ATS: 123-111-6. Above .500!
Last Week Upset / Week: a gigantic bleeping catastrophe.
Final Season to Date Upset / Week SU: 7-11-0. Where I'll be working to pay off my gambling debt from this season, I'm sure. (vice president biden voice) The hell you will, pal ...
Final Season to Date Upset / Week ATS: 9-9-0. A loser with the vig factored in.
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The Wild Card Picks.
I should note up front, I think picking the Wild Card round, is the hardest week of the season for NFL predictions. Your worst team left standing (and (mitch holtgus voice) for all intents and purposes, that is your Philadelphia Eagles this season), is still better than at least 62.5% of the NFL by definition (since twenty of thirty two teams fail to get this far). And most seasons -- especially this one -- there's at least two or three teams that have no business being in this round ... because they're far too good for it. (I'm looking at you, Saints, Patriots, and Texans ... and possibly Seahawks.)
Consider, the last four years in the Wild Card round:
* 2018: road teams (Colts at Texans, Seahawks at Cowboys, "Super" Chargers at Ravens, Eagles at Bears) went 3-1 outright, and you'd have won all four had you bet the spread on the road team. Only Dallas won, and that took a last second drive, to make that outcome occur.
* 2017: road teams (Titans at Chiefs, "Shane" Falcons at Rams, Bills at Jaguars, Panthers at Saints) went 2-2 outright, and no home team covered.
(Note: as John Breech at cbssports.com points out, and I suppose I just inadvertently noted, home teams are 0-8 ATS the last two years. ZERO AND EIGHT! That ... (john davidson voice) That's incredible!)
* 2016: the outlier. Road teams (raiders at Texans, Lions at Seahawks, Dolphins at Steelers, Giants at Packers) went 0-4, with no covers. To be fair, those are four of the worst road wild card teams in modern history, if you remember the raiders had to start Connor Cook. But stlll.
* 2015: road teams (Chiefs at Texans, Steelers at Bengals, Seahawks at Vikings, Packers at Redskins) went undefeated, with three of the four (all but the Steelers) being outright favorites on the road.
If you had bet solely on the road teams the last four years, you'd have gone 9-7 overall, and 11-5 against the spread. For all the talk about how "unfair" it is for a lesser-win team to host a team with a superior record? The facts show there's virtually no advantage whatsoever, for a home team in the Wild Card round.
Anyways, with that out of the way -- that this is a total crapshoot of a week to predict -- let's predict it, shall we?
* 5 Bills at 4 Texans (Saturday, 3:30pm CT, ABC / ESPN). OK, peoples and peepettes, be scared about this: I accurately called this as the playoff opener -- in this slot! -- four months ago. Did I get the seeding wrong? Of course. But tell me this isn't something to be proud of!
As for the game itself, my God, what an apparent mismatch ... on paper. The Bills have failed to top seventeen points in a game in December, and the only two times they topped thirty this year? Were against the Miami Dolphins.
They closed 1-3, the only win down the stretch coming at the Steelers, who themselves dropped three straight to p*ss away the second Wild Card. They're a run-heavy offense in a league that rewards deep balls and taking chances. And if there are two things Josh Allen is not accused of having a grasp on, it is deep balls and taking chances.
(Note: does that deserve a (rimshot!)? It doesn't? Damn. (florida evans voice) Damn, damn, damn!)
(Also: you're damned right I intentionally asked that question, to drop a "Good Times" reference into this post.)
Conversely, the Texans have closed fairly solidly since their debacle of a defeat in Crab Cake City. They throttled the Patriots, won in Nashville, and beat a Bucs team that had won four straight, to clinch the division. (We're ignoring the indefensible ass-kicking those people delivered to them a couple weeks ago, on purpose.)
Deshaun Watson can bomb it with anyone; Carlos Hyde gives them a solid back to gain the tough yardage, and the Texans will be at home, in front of a highly underrated crowd. (I've been to Reliant enough to respect their fans, tremendously. They're not Arrowhead, but they're in the upper 25% of home field crowds in the NFL, for sure.)
Throw in JJ Watt's likely return to bolster an already better than average defense, and on paper, the Texans should easily cover, and cruise to their first playoff victory since Connor Cook and "Brave" Brock Osweiler were engaged in a Jerry "The King" Lawler Memorial "Bras and Panties" match four years ago.
And usually, those two key words -- "on paper" -- would give me pause. Because I can absolutely see the Bills get off to a solid 7-0, 10-0 start, then release the hounds to try to tee off on Deshaun Watson (whose offensive line is nowhere near as good as it should be, for the talent they have).
Only ... I find it far easier to envision the opposite occurring: the Texans scoring on their first two drives to get up a couple scores, and then sending the house after Josh Allen, with a raucous NRG Reliant crowd urging them on.
And that's what I'm betting to happen. At Texans (-3) 31, Bills 13.
* 6 Titans at 3 Patriots (Saturday, 7pm CT, CBS).
True story time, boys and girls: I lived in the D/FW Metroplex for four years, to end the 1990s, as I was conning the fine folks at TCU into graduating me with not one, but two -- two! -- degrees, neither of which I have used a day in my life for my career, so far. (TCU: only $300 / credit hour back then, nearly $500 / credit hour today!)
And as a resident of that fine metropolitan area * , for the better part of those three, four years, you heard the phrase "end of the dynasty" a number of times. Hell, even the one time I conceded the Cowboys dynasty might be truly once and for all dead (after a disasterous defeat to the Panthers in Week Fifteen 1997), the Cowboys still (a) controlled their own destiny for that disasterous 1997 season, (b) went undefeated in the division and won the NFC East in 1998, and (c) earned a Wild Card berth in 1999.
That's why I question people who think one outlier (last week vs. Dolphins) means the Patriots run is about to come to a close Saturday night, or next Sunday at Arrowhead. Proud, proven veteran teams don't usually completely implode unless there's a drastic reason why. (Example: the 1999 49ers, who after eighteen straight double digit win seasons, collapsed to 4-12 because Steve Young was concussed into retirement.)
Unless you can guarantee me this is Tom Brady's final game (or final season), the Patriots run won't be over, win or lose. (No draw is possible in the postseason.)
As for the Titans, I was thoroughly impressed with them when I went to Nashville two months ago. That stadium was 60% Chiefs fans, the Chiefs got up 10-0 before the Titans knew what hit them ... and the Titans never quit fighting, to earn a three point victory over our AFC West Champions. Ryan Tannehill is finally playing like he did for the 2016 Dolphins, Derrick Henry is a f*cking beast, and Corey Davis is finally developing into the receiver the Titans always thought he would be.
(Doubt me on the 60% Chiefs fan comment? Here's a snapshot of the other side of the field:
And the side of the field I sat on:
(image credits: me, via my iPhone X something.)
This is the toughest game on the board for me to guess. It also will probably be the most entertaining game of the weekend, as every American who isn't a Patriots fan is suddenly shouting "Titan Up!" at their TV's for four hours Saturday night. (Circle me amongst those doing the shouting.)
All our screams? Aren't gonna matter. The Titans are on the rise. The Patriots are on the decline. But their X and Y coordinates haven't met -- yet -- on the grid.
Let alone passed each other, in descent and upswing. At Patriots 28, Titans (+4 1/2) 24.
(*: my favorite cities / communities in this fine country I would love to live in (and/or already have and/or currently do): 5) Tampa / St. Pete (seems obvious -- on the Gulf, in a purple state), 4) Sioux Falls (don't knock it until you've done it ... although the cold is f*cking brutal from late November to early March), 3) D/FW (never imagined this would be anywhere but numero uno), 2) Kansas City (I love my hometown), 1) Houston. If anything, my absolute love for that city only grows every time I am lucky enough to visit it. Which, sadly, won't be before January 2021, at the earliest ... for football purposes anyway.)
* 6 Vikings at 3 Saints (Sunday, noon CT, FOX). I am having brunch with my mom for our birthday's during this game. That should tell you what I think about how competitive it will be. Only one more year of Kirk Cousins, Vikings fan. Only one more year. At Saints (-8) 45, Vikings 16.
* 5 Seahawks at 4 Eagles (Sunday, 3:30pm CT, NBC). This is the game I am most looking forward to. I cannot wait to see what Doug Pederson comes up with to keep his team in this game. Because again, those two magical little words -- "on paper" -- on paper, the Seahawks should win this game easily. (They are the only road favorite in this year's Wild Card round, and deservedly so.)
The Eagles enter this one having won their last four, and clearly, whatever was said to enter that fourth quarter against the Giants, is still doing its' job, as each win for these guys keeps getting more impressive.
The Seahawks enter this one having lost two straight (at home!), and three of four overall. If momentum matters to you, then the Eagles have it.
Only ... the Eagles four wins have come against the Giants (twice), the Redskins, and the Cowboys. Not exactly murderer's row. Conversely, the Seahawks lost to the Rams in a "kitchen sink" game, a rising Cardinals squad, and the team with home field advantage throughout the postseason (49ers) -- a game that was literally a half inch from going their way.
I'd argue betting December momentum on this contest, is as useless as betting on any of the Democratic Presidential candidates at this point -- no matter what you think at this point?
None of it matters when you get down to two "teams", on a level playing field.
To bring this post full circle, think back to my thoughts on the Bills and Texans game, only flip my thoughts. I can absolutely envision the Eagles getting out to a two score lead after a quarter, and then going gangbusters after Russell Wilson, en route to a 21-10 victory that is far more comfortable for Philly than it looks on paper. That is absolutely a realistic view of this contest.
But the far more realistic view, is what happened when these two teams met in Philly six weeks ago: the Seahawks get out to a quick two score lead, then ride the defense to a tight, hard fought victory, to survive and advance. Doug Pederson is so good of a coach, he'll find a way to keep this game far, far closer than it has any reason to be. But Pete Carroll is a good enough head coach, Mr. Pederson's efforts won't matter. Seahawks (-1 1/2) 20, at Eagles 13.
Enjoy the games everyone! And in case my next post isn't up before the stroke of midnight tonight, all the best in this New Year (and new decade!) to you and yours.
... where 2015 is going to be a year to remember for the rest of our lives, and 2020 is off to one helluva start ... and our thursday night pick is "super" cardinals (+3) 28, at seahawks 24 ...
Tuesday, December 31, 2019
Friday, December 27, 2019
week seventeen: desperado! no, wait! -- despacito! ...
"Coming over in my direction!
So thankful for that --
It's such a blessing, yeah;
Turn every situation into heaven!
Oh! You are my sunrise on the darkest day!
Got me feeling some kind of way!
Make me wanna savor every moment
Slowly! Slowly!
You fit me tailor made!
Love how you put it on!
You've got the only key;
And know how to turn it on!
The way you nibble on my ear?
The only words I wanna hear!
Baby, take it slow?
So we can last long ..."
-- "Despacito" by Luis Fonsi, Daddy Yankee, and Justin Bieber. Y'all can interpret the rest of the song ... if only so that this post won't require an age of consent agreement, before y'all can view it.
Because damn, it's been two summers since this song was everywhere when I was down in Puerto Rico, and I'm still (evan and jaron voice) crazy for this girl * ... I mean, this song ...
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(*: dudes and dudettes! It's the chica from "Spaceballs"! It's Jo from "Melrose Place"! It's Brooke's mom from "One Tree Hill"! (damien voice) F*ck yeah she is! That's so f*cking awesome!)
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The Statisticals.
(Note: no Week Ten Picks were submitted due to real-life issues that trumped posting them.)
Last Week SU: 8-8-0.
Season to Date SU: 132-94-1.
Last Week ATS: 8-6-2.
Season to Date ATS: 119-102-6.
Last Week Upset / Week: looked good for the first twenty eight minutes!
Season to Date Upset / Week SU: 7-10-0.
Season to Date Upset / Week ATS: 9-8-0.
This Week Upset / Week: Giants (+4 1/2) over Eagles.
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The Non-Chiefs Picks.
Let's start with the NFC, where we know who five of the six playoff teams will be ... but only know where one of those five, will be slotted.
* at Vikings (-1) 24, Bears 20. The Vikings are the six seed, win lose or draw on Sunday. Personally I'm rooting for a draw, because that means fifteen more minutes of football than we pay to witness. But that might just be me. Also, the Vikings are going to get abused worse than a red-headed stepchild next weekend, wherever they open at.
* Packers 30, at Lions (+12) 20. I still think Matt Patricia is getting his walking papers on Monday, statements from Martha Ford to the contrary. It will arguably be the most deserved firing on Black Monday, perhaps topped only by a potential opening in Dallas.
* "Shane" Falcons (+1 1/2) 31, at Bucs 24. Could be a sneaky good finale between two teams that were eliminated by Halloween this season.
* Saints (-13) 41, at Panthers 7. This one, on the other hand, will not be sneaky, nor will it be good. The Saints at least temporarily keep hope for at least a bye, if not home field advantage, alive.
* at Giants (+4 1/2) 26, Eagles 23. This just seems too obvious. Also, who knew Eli Manning was a closet alcoholic? Fist bump dude! (Pause). What? (Pause). Well of course I'm not a closet alcoholic! I'm not a closeted anything! (Saturday night in Nashville to the contrary ... and man, I still gotta finish that recap. That Saturday night last month was crazy fun!)
But still, mad props to Eli being a (now) uncloseted member of Drunk Nation!
* at Cowboys 13, Redskins (+11) 10 (OT). Again, seems too obvious of a finale. Six million "cardiac events" across the Metroplex, only to see the Cowboys somehow, some way, emerge from the sewage that is the NFC East.
* "Super" Cardinals (+5 1/2) 34, at Rams 13. The Rams have nothing to play for. And it will show in their "effort" on Sunday afternoon.
* at Seahawks (+3 1/2) 24, 49ers 21. I'm not betting against Russell Wilson at home, in prime time, no matter how badly beat up the Seahawks are.
Which means I project the NFC seedings to be ...
1. Green Bay Packers.
2. New Orleans Saints.
3. Seattle Seahawks.
4. Dallas Cowboys.
5. San Francisco 49ers.
6. Minnesota Vikings.
Now for the AFC contests ...
* Browns (-3) 38, at Bengals 13. At least one of these two coaches is getting fired on Monday. Arguably, they both deserve to start drawing unemployment on our dimes. But Bengals gonna bengal, and keep their incompetent leader.
* at Bills (-1 1/2) 24, Jets 20. #firegase #now
* at Patriots 31, Dolphins (-15 1/2) 24. I don't think the Patriots are capable of beating anybody by fifteen plus points right now. (Pause). Well, other than the Jets. The Patriots could be 0-15, and still be more than capable of beating the Jets by three touchdowns.
* at Texans (+3 1/2) 24, Titans 14. C'mon Strength of Victory tiebreaker! C'mon Operation Chaos!
* Colts (-4) 31, at Jaguars 13. Four months ago, most Colts fans would have happily taken a .500 season. Four months later, it seems like a gigantic letdown. From 5-2 with a dominant win at Arrowhead, to playing for nothing but pride the last month of the season.
* at Ravens (+1 1/2) 17, Steelers 3. Can we just be honest here? Robert Griffin III is better than any quarterback available to the Steelers on Sunday. (Which are, in order, a dude named Duck, the epic failure that is Paxton Lynch, and a dude in Mason Rudolph who has no clue where he is right now.)
The Steelers defense will put up an admirable effort. But how the hell are they going to overcome the gigantic talent deficiency at the most important position? I don't think they can, or they will.
* at those people 31, raiders (+3 1/2) 28 (OT). It will be there for them. Every single outcome they need to somehow, some way, sneak in, will occur ... except for the only one they can control.
Themselves.
Because raiders gonna raider.
So, at the risk of giving away the Chiefs Prediction a few sections early, that means I project the AFC Field to be ...
1. Baltimore Ravens.
2. New England Patriots.
3. Kansas City Chiefs.
4. Houston Texans.
5. Buffalo Bills.
6. Tennessee Titans.
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And I'll project this is your Wild Card Weekend lineup:
* Saturday, January 4th, 3:30pm CT (ABC / ESPN): Bills at Texans.
* Saturday, January 4th, 7pm CT (NBC): 49ers at Cowboys.
* Sunday, January 5th, noon CT (CBS): Titans at Chiefs.
* Sunday, January 5th, 3:30pm CT (FOX): Vikings at Seahawks.
Here's my reasoning / rationale: Usually NBC gets first pick, and there's no way in hell they'd pass up Dallas / San Francisco. Too huge of ratings.
NBC making this pick defaults Vikings at Seahawks to FOX, and given the game would be in Seattle, locks up the late Sunday window.
That leaves CBS to pick which AFC game they want, and I would project they'd grab a Patrick Mahomes-led Chiefs team over the Deshaun Watson-led Texans. But that's just a guess. Which plugs Titans / Chiefs into the early Sunday window, and leads to poor ABC / ESPN once again broadcasting a Texans playoff game * that more than half the nation won't pay attention to.
(*: a word of advice to any Bills fans flocking to my favorite city in America next weekend: avoid the Wild Wings on the edge of Rice University. The waitresses there will not seat you. You will have to take matters into your own hands ... especially if you all beat the sh*t out of the Texans, like the Chiefs did five years ago, 30-0.)
Projecting ahead one more week, since I believe NBC will have prime time in the wild card round, that means CBS has it for the Divisional Round. (FOX has the prime time game for the Conference Championship round, since CBS had it last year, so whichever round NBC opts for prime-time coverage in -- Wild Card or Divisional -- CBS gets the other.)
In this scenario, I'd project that of the four teams that will be hosting, CBS will grab New England for that Saturday night, and FOX will grab Green Bay for the late Sunday window (which this year, is effectively prime time, with a 5:30pm CT kickoff). I'll then project NBC takes Baltimore for the late Saturday window (3:30pm CT start), and that leaves FOX with the Saints in the Sunday afternoon window (2pm CT start).
(This also works because NBC can poach one game from CBS, and one from FOX, but not two from the same network, if I read the broadcasting rights, uuh, right.)
In any event, we'll know the Wild Card round matchups less than sixty hours from now. Man, this season flew by fast!
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The "Klassy" Kevin Kietzman Tweet O' The Week.
(stevo sighing in disgust). Yeah, gotta.
Kids? It doesn't matter if it's for a kanine or a kollege kid, Kaptain Klassy never fails to konfidently and klassily give a bone out, for the recipient to knaw on.
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The Watching Party Plans.
There are no The Watching Party Plans, as this is a Chiefs game I will be in attendance for.
The Tailgating Plans.
A game against the Chargers means one thing, and one thing only: Charger Chicken. (Or, as Kapitan Khaki above would knote: Kharger Khicken!)
The boobs will be marinating by late day Friday, to allow for maximum flavor. Usually we do about 5-6 different flavors, from the obvious Italian dressing, to the merlot doused (my favorite), to plain, to buffalo, to teriyaki, and usually an odd-ball thrown in just to try it out and see what people think.
We'll have other assorted side dishes to go with the main event, and as always, there'll be plenty of beer, champagne, vodka, and other assorted libations to cleanse the pallet with.
The STM email says the gates open at 7am; for once, I actually believe the STM email's gate time. The forecast looks f*cking miserable this weekend, so who other than us mentally challenged die-hards would leave by 5:30am to ensure we continue to occupy our spot (the grassy knoll just north of the G30 sign)?
As always, anyone and everyone who wishes to join us, will be welcomed and wanted as the invited guest(s) or friend(s) you are. Hope to see ya Sunday, for the sixth of either nine or ten straight wins!
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Stevo Drink O' The Week.
When the weather turns colder (as it sadly did Thursday here in Kansas City, after near record-high mid 60 temperatures for Christmas Day), I tend to switch up what I enjoy, while curled up on the couch watching a Stars or Bucks game. (Or a random bowl game. It's all good.)
In the summer, I go for lighter stuff. I prefer pinot grigio with my dinner. I prefer vodka and (insert mixer here) while floating in the pool.
In the winter, I go for heavier stuff. I'll never turn down a healthy merlot or shiraz, and I tend to stick to whiskey of some kind.
Which is this week's Drink O' The Week: Windsor and Cherry Dr. Pepper.
Is Windsor the best bourbon on the market? Hell no. Does Cherry Dr. Pepper make any sense as a mixer? Hell no. Does this sound like a drink even remotely worth your taste-testing of?
Hell yes.
Give it a try. A couple two liters and a handle won't even set you back $15 right now at Harry's, and doesn't cross the $20 threshold at Mike's. Trust me peoples and peepettes -- you can do far, far worse for a cocktail on a cold night, than Windsor and Pepper.
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Stevo Neighborhood Update:
You know winter is fast approaching when McGonigle's takes the tent down and puts the smoker away ... and they apparently did that at some point, between Thanksgiving and last Saturday, when I stopped in to buy a couple gift cards for a couple in our tailgating group.
It was the least we could do; after all, they bought us two new tents to open the season, as their token of appreciation for our friendship and Chiefs fandom ... and damned, if those tents haven't been put to use four freaking times already, with a fifth looming this weekend, and a sixth probably on the horizon next weekend.
(Seriously, weather gods -- uuh, God forbid, you give us one 72 and sunny afternoon in that stadium. It rained for the whole Ravens tailgate, was sneaky cold for the Vikings, was insanely windy and cold for the raiders, and snowed the whole time for those people. At least the two best weather tailgates -- so far -- were for the two prime time home games in October. And go figure -- we lost both games. Because Chiefs gonna Chief ... sometimes.)
I know I tend to pimp the places I love, especially the local ones, but trust me kids -- McGonigle's, if anything, is underrated.
Which given that I would reckon every person living in KC over the age of twenty knows what and where McGonigle's is?
Is saying something.
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The Flashback.
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"Disreputable" Mexican Food Truck Update.
We've all heard of Judge Judy. I mean, hell, if I'm working from home or off on PTO, I can usually manage to catch one or both of the episodes that FOX4 airs every weekday afternoon.
But did you know there's such a thing ... as Judge Jerry?
I did not ... until I was flipping through the channels on Monday morning, and lo and behold, there's the former Mayor of Cincinnati, adjudicating cases on my television screen:
(image credit: me, via my iPhone X something.)
I mean, how? How did this happen? How in God's name is Jerry Effing Springer now an enforcer of the law? This is as "mentally challenging" ** as putting me in charge of enforcing the county's blue laws! This is as indefensible as leaving "Klassy Kev" (allegedly) alone with an (alleged) intern in an (allegedly) parked car on an (alleged) side street in (alleged) Perfect Village! Nothing good can (allegedly) come from this *** !
Judge Jerry Springer! In the words of my brother: "Sweet Jesus!"
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(**: if Janoris Jenkins can get fired for dropping what I guess is now the "r bomb", I suppose I should probably refrain from dropping it. Although in fairness to Mr. Jenkins, if he had described the Giants entire organization as "mentally (r-bombed)", every Giants fan in America would have praised him.)
(***: to be fair, "K"KK might argue that a lot of, uuh, good, could "come" from that (alleged) encounter (rimshot)! (Pause). Holy sh*tballs, Batman! We might earn a XXX rating for this post yet!)
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The Chiefs Pontification and Prognostication.
--------------------
Predicting the Chiefs This Season.
Straight Up: 10-5-0 (L at Jaguars, W at raiders, W vs Ravens, W at Lions, L vs Colts, L vs Texans, W vs those people, L vs Packers, W vs Vikings, L at Titans, W at "Super" Chargers, W vs raiders, W at Patriots, W vs those people, W at Chicago).
Against the Spread: 9-6-0 (L at Jaguars, W at raiders, W vs Ravens, L at Lions, L vs Colts, L vs Texans, W at those people, L vs Packers, W vs Vikings, L at Titans, W at "Super" Chargers, W vs raiders, W at Patriots, W vs those people, W at Chicago).
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So perhaps -- and depending on your sense of humor, you can choose which one applies -- perhaps the single most appropriate moment of the 2019 Chiefs season, occurred two weeks ago, the day after the Patriots game.
I headed to Arrowhead at lunch to hit up The Team Store, to buy my Division Champion merchandise that (hallelujah!) I've had to buy every season for the last four and counting: a hat, a t-shirt, a pin, and a pennant.
So I step into the store, say hello to the nice lady manning the door, and head over to where I would expect the Division Champion merch to be, based on (a) past seasons, and (b) my knowledge of the layout of that place.
I run into Smokey (who runs the joint) after looking for a bit, and flat out ask him "hey, where's the (Division Champion) merchandise at?)
Before answering, Smokey pauses, and simply says "Steve ... I got nothing."
And before I can respond, explains why: "We didn't think (the Chiefs) would clinch this soon".
The head of the Chiefs Official Team Store, admitting they didn't order Division Champion merchandise, because they believed that either (a) the Chiefs wouldn't win in New England, (b) the Titans wouldn't win in oakland, or (c) some combination of the two?
I started laughing.
It was that ... or cry.
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For the second time in this four straight division championship run, the Chiefs have virtually nothing to play for, in their regular season finale. And for the fourth time in "Fat" Andy's remarkable seven year run as head of the Chiefs, they have virtually nothing to play for, in the regular season finale -- a remarkable four out of seven of which, will have occurred against your "Super" Chargers, come 3:30ish Central Time on Sunday.
Consider:
* 2013: Chiefs at "Super" Chargers. The Chiefs were locked into the five seed; the Chargers needed to win, to clinch the sixth seed. Chargers 27, Chiefs 24, in overtime -- in a game that Chase Daniel (the backup) started, to preserve "Sir" Alex Smith's health.
* 2014: "Super" Chargers at Chiefs. Both teams were technically alive for the six seed, but basically drawing dead. Once again, Chase Daniel started. This time, the Chiefs won, 19-7.
(Note: this is the only season under "Fat" Andy Reid, in which the Chiefs have failed to reach the postseason. I have a post on this coming early next week (with sweet ass spreadsheets I may or may not have spent today concocting while "working from home"!), comparing the seven years under "Fat" Andy, to the previous seven years. I think the results will either (a) shock you, (b) drive you to drink heavily, or (c) some combination of the two.)
* 2015: raiders at Chiefs. My 39th Birthday! The Chiefs won 23-17 ... but sadly, those people also won, 24-17, over your "Super" Chargers. Had your "Super" Chargers won at fake mile high, the Chiefs would now be a five-time defending division champion, and would have had home-field advantage throughout the AFC Playoffs. Instead, they settled for a wild card, eleven straight wins, and a tough seven point loss at the Patriots in the Divisional Round, to end the season.
* 2016: Chiefs at "Super" Chargers. The final game at The Murph, The Q, The "Place The "Super" Chargers Never Should Have Left" **** . Chiefs won 37-27 to clinch the AFC West over the raiders, who would have won the division, had they not lost at those people. Sadly, the Division Title was wasted; the Steelers beat the Chiefs 18-16 in the Divisional Round.
* 2017: Chiefs at those people. On paper, and in theory, the Chiefs had literally NOTHING to play for. They were locked into the four seed as the AFC West Champs. Oh, but thank God they don't play games based solely on theories or on paper, because we all know that ten, twelve years from now, all of us Chiefs fans will look back at this game as THE defining moment of the Chiefs franchise for the first fifty years of this century.
Because this 24-17 win is best remembered, as Patrick Mahomes "Of The Chiefs" first regular season start. Sadly, this season was wasted too, as the Titans rolled into Arrowhead the following Saturday and rallied to beat the Chiefs 22-21.
* 2018: raiders at Chiefs. Beating your hated rival 35-3 is nice. Clinching home field advantage throughout the playoffs by doing so -- as well as clinching a third straight AFC West championship -- is even nicer. Wasting that designation by losing in overtime in the AFC Title Game? Yeah, not so much.
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(****: the worst part of the San Diego "Super" Chargers move three years ago? No potential annual trip to San Diego anymore! F*ck Dean Spanos for all of eternity, for ripping that roadie away forever! I mean, Jesus, at least Stan Kroenke fled St. Louis. That's a completely justifiable and defensible decision. Fleeing San Diego? That should get you set up in front of a firing squad, with all active bullets. I mean, if San Diego is good enough for "Simon and Simon" -- to say nothing of "Three's Company" -- then what the f*ck is Dean Spanos' excuse?
Also -- and for once, I know I'm 100% right -- that is THE greatest sports team theme song ever.)
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And now, come Sunday, the 2019 finale: "Super" Chargers at Chiefs.
The Chiefs have virtually nothing to play for. They have clinched the AFC West for a fourth straight season. They can do no worse than hosting the Bills next weekend, and will need the (second) upset of a generation in as many seasons, to secure a bye. There's a solid ninety percent chance per Five Thirty Eight, that the Chiefs will be the three seed when the playoffs begin in seven days.
(Odds that, if anything, probably oversell the Chiefs' odds, of getting a bye, if we're being fair and honest here. And in the interest of fairness and honesty, I'm usually only accused of being one, of those two things, on a usual basis.)
Gun to my head, if we have to open next weekend, I want it to be against the raiders. I remember the 1991 Wild Card Game so clearly, it's like it happened yesterday, not three decades ago. I remember the Thursday Night de-facto division championship game from 2016 so vividly, it's like it happened yesterday, not three years ago.
And (jimmy buffett voice) come Sunday? I'll be content to sit back, and watch this sh*t play out, because again, the worst case scenario is Buffalo here at 3:30 on Saturday, and given that there are two of us in my tailgating group whose birthday will be next weekend (myself, and the lovely Alyssa), I'm cool with that. You can celebrate my not being pregnant ... and that I didn't knock her up! (Hey yo! Seriously, all the best to Ryan and Alyssa, expecting their first (a son!) come late June.)
But with all actual sincerity? I'm gonna enjoy the hell out of Sunday, because the Chiefs are the rare NFL team that hasn't clinched their seed and/or slot yet?
That won't be "desperado" on Sunday.
They can afford to be "despacito".
Namely -- be slow ... and be great, at how, uuh, great you are?
At going slow.
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(And Dios con Mio, can you imagine how epic it would be, if "Andres de Gordo" entered the victorious locker room, bailando a "Despacito"? That might destroy the internet, the moment would be so great, if we're being justo y honesto aqui!
And for once? I might be being, uuh, ambos!)
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My pick for Sunday is * at Chiefs (-9) 38, "Super" Chargers 9.
I hope to see everyone reading this, on Sunday.
This is going to be a lazy, laid back, slow Sunday. (I only wish it was going to be 72 and sunny. Oh well. Sh*t happens.)
The Chiefs will likely have nothing to play for by the end of the first quarter, and no later than halftime.
And that's OK! That is perfectly fine and acceptable!
Because this team wasn't built to just survive the regular season.
It was built to dominate the post season.
The Chiefs have done the first.
It's now time, to do the second.
The real season begins as soon as the 49ers and Seahawks are done deciding the NFC seeding Sunday night, and the postseason matchups are announced.
And how awesome is it, that for the fifth straight season, it's a "Domingo de Despacito" for our Los Jefes ... with their postseason berth already clinched, no matter what happens on the field, in forty some odd hours ...
So thankful for that --
It's such a blessing, yeah;
Turn every situation into heaven!
Oh! You are my sunrise on the darkest day!
Got me feeling some kind of way!
Make me wanna savor every moment
Slowly! Slowly!
You fit me tailor made!
Love how you put it on!
You've got the only key;
And know how to turn it on!
The way you nibble on my ear?
The only words I wanna hear!
Baby, take it slow?
So we can last long ..."
-- "Despacito" by Luis Fonsi, Daddy Yankee, and Justin Bieber. Y'all can interpret the rest of the song ... if only so that this post won't require an age of consent agreement, before y'all can view it.
Because damn, it's been two summers since this song was everywhere when I was down in Puerto Rico, and I'm still (evan and jaron voice) crazy for this girl * ... I mean, this song ...
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(*: dudes and dudettes! It's the chica from "Spaceballs"! It's Jo from "Melrose Place"! It's Brooke's mom from "One Tree Hill"! (damien voice) F*ck yeah she is! That's so f*cking awesome!)
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The Statisticals.
(Note: no Week Ten Picks were submitted due to real-life issues that trumped posting them.)
Last Week SU: 8-8-0.
Season to Date SU: 132-94-1.
Last Week ATS: 8-6-2.
Season to Date ATS: 119-102-6.
Last Week Upset / Week: looked good for the first twenty eight minutes!
Season to Date Upset / Week SU: 7-10-0.
Season to Date Upset / Week ATS: 9-8-0.
This Week Upset / Week: Giants (+4 1/2) over Eagles.
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The Non-Chiefs Picks.
Let's start with the NFC, where we know who five of the six playoff teams will be ... but only know where one of those five, will be slotted.
* at Vikings (-1) 24, Bears 20. The Vikings are the six seed, win lose or draw on Sunday. Personally I'm rooting for a draw, because that means fifteen more minutes of football than we pay to witness. But that might just be me. Also, the Vikings are going to get abused worse than a red-headed stepchild next weekend, wherever they open at.
* Packers 30, at Lions (+12) 20. I still think Matt Patricia is getting his walking papers on Monday, statements from Martha Ford to the contrary. It will arguably be the most deserved firing on Black Monday, perhaps topped only by a potential opening in Dallas.
* "Shane" Falcons (+1 1/2) 31, at Bucs 24. Could be a sneaky good finale between two teams that were eliminated by Halloween this season.
* Saints (-13) 41, at Panthers 7. This one, on the other hand, will not be sneaky, nor will it be good. The Saints at least temporarily keep hope for at least a bye, if not home field advantage, alive.
* at Giants (+4 1/2) 26, Eagles 23. This just seems too obvious. Also, who knew Eli Manning was a closet alcoholic? Fist bump dude! (Pause). What? (Pause). Well of course I'm not a closet alcoholic! I'm not a closeted anything! (Saturday night in Nashville to the contrary ... and man, I still gotta finish that recap. That Saturday night last month was crazy fun!)
But still, mad props to Eli being a (now) uncloseted member of Drunk Nation!
* at Cowboys 13, Redskins (+11) 10 (OT). Again, seems too obvious of a finale. Six million "cardiac events" across the Metroplex, only to see the Cowboys somehow, some way, emerge from the sewage that is the NFC East.
* "Super" Cardinals (+5 1/2) 34, at Rams 13. The Rams have nothing to play for. And it will show in their "effort" on Sunday afternoon.
* at Seahawks (+3 1/2) 24, 49ers 21. I'm not betting against Russell Wilson at home, in prime time, no matter how badly beat up the Seahawks are.
Which means I project the NFC seedings to be ...
1. Green Bay Packers.
2. New Orleans Saints.
3. Seattle Seahawks.
4. Dallas Cowboys.
5. San Francisco 49ers.
6. Minnesota Vikings.
Now for the AFC contests ...
* Browns (-3) 38, at Bengals 13. At least one of these two coaches is getting fired on Monday. Arguably, they both deserve to start drawing unemployment on our dimes. But Bengals gonna bengal, and keep their incompetent leader.
* at Bills (-1 1/2) 24, Jets 20. #firegase #now
* at Patriots 31, Dolphins (-15 1/2) 24. I don't think the Patriots are capable of beating anybody by fifteen plus points right now. (Pause). Well, other than the Jets. The Patriots could be 0-15, and still be more than capable of beating the Jets by three touchdowns.
* at Texans (+3 1/2) 24, Titans 14. C'mon Strength of Victory tiebreaker! C'mon Operation Chaos!
* Colts (-4) 31, at Jaguars 13. Four months ago, most Colts fans would have happily taken a .500 season. Four months later, it seems like a gigantic letdown. From 5-2 with a dominant win at Arrowhead, to playing for nothing but pride the last month of the season.
* at Ravens (+1 1/2) 17, Steelers 3. Can we just be honest here? Robert Griffin III is better than any quarterback available to the Steelers on Sunday. (Which are, in order, a dude named Duck, the epic failure that is Paxton Lynch, and a dude in Mason Rudolph who has no clue where he is right now.)
The Steelers defense will put up an admirable effort. But how the hell are they going to overcome the gigantic talent deficiency at the most important position? I don't think they can, or they will.
* at those people 31, raiders (+3 1/2) 28 (OT). It will be there for them. Every single outcome they need to somehow, some way, sneak in, will occur ... except for the only one they can control.
Themselves.
Because raiders gonna raider.
So, at the risk of giving away the Chiefs Prediction a few sections early, that means I project the AFC Field to be ...
1. Baltimore Ravens.
2. New England Patriots.
3. Kansas City Chiefs.
4. Houston Texans.
5. Buffalo Bills.
6. Tennessee Titans.
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And I'll project this is your Wild Card Weekend lineup:
* Saturday, January 4th, 3:30pm CT (ABC / ESPN): Bills at Texans.
* Saturday, January 4th, 7pm CT (NBC): 49ers at Cowboys.
* Sunday, January 5th, noon CT (CBS): Titans at Chiefs.
* Sunday, January 5th, 3:30pm CT (FOX): Vikings at Seahawks.
Here's my reasoning / rationale: Usually NBC gets first pick, and there's no way in hell they'd pass up Dallas / San Francisco. Too huge of ratings.
NBC making this pick defaults Vikings at Seahawks to FOX, and given the game would be in Seattle, locks up the late Sunday window.
That leaves CBS to pick which AFC game they want, and I would project they'd grab a Patrick Mahomes-led Chiefs team over the Deshaun Watson-led Texans. But that's just a guess. Which plugs Titans / Chiefs into the early Sunday window, and leads to poor ABC / ESPN once again broadcasting a Texans playoff game * that more than half the nation won't pay attention to.
(*: a word of advice to any Bills fans flocking to my favorite city in America next weekend: avoid the Wild Wings on the edge of Rice University. The waitresses there will not seat you. You will have to take matters into your own hands ... especially if you all beat the sh*t out of the Texans, like the Chiefs did five years ago, 30-0.)
Projecting ahead one more week, since I believe NBC will have prime time in the wild card round, that means CBS has it for the Divisional Round. (FOX has the prime time game for the Conference Championship round, since CBS had it last year, so whichever round NBC opts for prime-time coverage in -- Wild Card or Divisional -- CBS gets the other.)
In this scenario, I'd project that of the four teams that will be hosting, CBS will grab New England for that Saturday night, and FOX will grab Green Bay for the late Sunday window (which this year, is effectively prime time, with a 5:30pm CT kickoff). I'll then project NBC takes Baltimore for the late Saturday window (3:30pm CT start), and that leaves FOX with the Saints in the Sunday afternoon window (2pm CT start).
(This also works because NBC can poach one game from CBS, and one from FOX, but not two from the same network, if I read the broadcasting rights, uuh, right.)
In any event, we'll know the Wild Card round matchups less than sixty hours from now. Man, this season flew by fast!
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The "Klassy" Kevin Kietzman Tweet O' The Week.
When you don’t have little kids around to get excited about what Santa left. pic.twitter.com/yfC5rqmRtb— kevin kietzman (@kkwhb) December 25, 2019
(stevo sighing in disgust). Yeah, gotta.
Kids? It doesn't matter if it's for a kanine or a kollege kid, Kaptain Klassy never fails to konfidently and klassily give a bone out, for the recipient to knaw on.
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The Watching Party Plans.
There are no The Watching Party Plans, as this is a Chiefs game I will be in attendance for.
The Tailgating Plans.
A game against the Chargers means one thing, and one thing only: Charger Chicken. (Or, as Kapitan Khaki above would knote: Kharger Khicken!)
The boobs will be marinating by late day Friday, to allow for maximum flavor. Usually we do about 5-6 different flavors, from the obvious Italian dressing, to the merlot doused (my favorite), to plain, to buffalo, to teriyaki, and usually an odd-ball thrown in just to try it out and see what people think.
We'll have other assorted side dishes to go with the main event, and as always, there'll be plenty of beer, champagne, vodka, and other assorted libations to cleanse the pallet with.
The STM email says the gates open at 7am; for once, I actually believe the STM email's gate time. The forecast looks f*cking miserable this weekend, so who other than us mentally challenged die-hards would leave by 5:30am to ensure we continue to occupy our spot (the grassy knoll just north of the G30 sign)?
As always, anyone and everyone who wishes to join us, will be welcomed and wanted as the invited guest(s) or friend(s) you are. Hope to see ya Sunday, for the sixth of either nine or ten straight wins!
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Stevo Drink O' The Week.
When the weather turns colder (as it sadly did Thursday here in Kansas City, after near record-high mid 60 temperatures for Christmas Day), I tend to switch up what I enjoy, while curled up on the couch watching a Stars or Bucks game. (Or a random bowl game. It's all good.)
In the summer, I go for lighter stuff. I prefer pinot grigio with my dinner. I prefer vodka and (insert mixer here) while floating in the pool.
In the winter, I go for heavier stuff. I'll never turn down a healthy merlot or shiraz, and I tend to stick to whiskey of some kind.
Which is this week's Drink O' The Week: Windsor and Cherry Dr. Pepper.
Is Windsor the best bourbon on the market? Hell no. Does Cherry Dr. Pepper make any sense as a mixer? Hell no. Does this sound like a drink even remotely worth your taste-testing of?
Hell yes.
Give it a try. A couple two liters and a handle won't even set you back $15 right now at Harry's, and doesn't cross the $20 threshold at Mike's. Trust me peoples and peepettes -- you can do far, far worse for a cocktail on a cold night, than Windsor and Pepper.
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Stevo Neighborhood Update:
You know winter is fast approaching when McGonigle's takes the tent down and puts the smoker away ... and they apparently did that at some point, between Thanksgiving and last Saturday, when I stopped in to buy a couple gift cards for a couple in our tailgating group.
It was the least we could do; after all, they bought us two new tents to open the season, as their token of appreciation for our friendship and Chiefs fandom ... and damned, if those tents haven't been put to use four freaking times already, with a fifth looming this weekend, and a sixth probably on the horizon next weekend.
(Seriously, weather gods -- uuh, God forbid, you give us one 72 and sunny afternoon in that stadium. It rained for the whole Ravens tailgate, was sneaky cold for the Vikings, was insanely windy and cold for the raiders, and snowed the whole time for those people. At least the two best weather tailgates -- so far -- were for the two prime time home games in October. And go figure -- we lost both games. Because Chiefs gonna Chief ... sometimes.)
I know I tend to pimp the places I love, especially the local ones, but trust me kids -- McGonigle's, if anything, is underrated.
Which given that I would reckon every person living in KC over the age of twenty knows what and where McGonigle's is?
Is saying something.
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The Flashback.
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"Disreputable" Mexican Food Truck Update.
We've all heard of Judge Judy. I mean, hell, if I'm working from home or off on PTO, I can usually manage to catch one or both of the episodes that FOX4 airs every weekday afternoon.
But did you know there's such a thing ... as Judge Jerry?
I did not ... until I was flipping through the channels on Monday morning, and lo and behold, there's the former Mayor of Cincinnati, adjudicating cases on my television screen:
(image credit: me, via my iPhone X something.)
I mean, how? How did this happen? How in God's name is Jerry Effing Springer now an enforcer of the law? This is as "mentally challenging" ** as putting me in charge of enforcing the county's blue laws! This is as indefensible as leaving "Klassy Kev" (allegedly) alone with an (alleged) intern in an (allegedly) parked car on an (alleged) side street in (alleged) Perfect Village! Nothing good can (allegedly) come from this *** !
Judge Jerry Springer! In the words of my brother: "Sweet Jesus!"
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(**: if Janoris Jenkins can get fired for dropping what I guess is now the "r bomb", I suppose I should probably refrain from dropping it. Although in fairness to Mr. Jenkins, if he had described the Giants entire organization as "mentally (r-bombed)", every Giants fan in America would have praised him.)
(***: to be fair, "K"KK might argue that a lot of, uuh, good, could "come" from that (alleged) encounter (rimshot)! (Pause). Holy sh*tballs, Batman! We might earn a XXX rating for this post yet!)
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The Chiefs Pontification and Prognostication.
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Predicting the Chiefs This Season.
Straight Up: 10-5-0 (L at Jaguars, W at raiders, W vs Ravens, W at Lions, L vs Colts, L vs Texans, W vs those people, L vs Packers, W vs Vikings, L at Titans, W at "Super" Chargers, W vs raiders, W at Patriots, W vs those people, W at Chicago).
Against the Spread: 9-6-0 (L at Jaguars, W at raiders, W vs Ravens, L at Lions, L vs Colts, L vs Texans, W at those people, L vs Packers, W vs Vikings, L at Titans, W at "Super" Chargers, W vs raiders, W at Patriots, W vs those people, W at Chicago).
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So perhaps -- and depending on your sense of humor, you can choose which one applies -- perhaps the single most appropriate moment of the 2019 Chiefs season, occurred two weeks ago, the day after the Patriots game.
I headed to Arrowhead at lunch to hit up The Team Store, to buy my Division Champion merchandise that (hallelujah!) I've had to buy every season for the last four and counting: a hat, a t-shirt, a pin, and a pennant.
So I step into the store, say hello to the nice lady manning the door, and head over to where I would expect the Division Champion merch to be, based on (a) past seasons, and (b) my knowledge of the layout of that place.
I run into Smokey (who runs the joint) after looking for a bit, and flat out ask him "hey, where's the (Division Champion) merchandise at?)
Before answering, Smokey pauses, and simply says "Steve ... I got nothing."
And before I can respond, explains why: "We didn't think (the Chiefs) would clinch this soon".
The head of the Chiefs Official Team Store, admitting they didn't order Division Champion merchandise, because they believed that either (a) the Chiefs wouldn't win in New England, (b) the Titans wouldn't win in oakland, or (c) some combination of the two?
I started laughing.
It was that ... or cry.
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For the second time in this four straight division championship run, the Chiefs have virtually nothing to play for, in their regular season finale. And for the fourth time in "Fat" Andy's remarkable seven year run as head of the Chiefs, they have virtually nothing to play for, in the regular season finale -- a remarkable four out of seven of which, will have occurred against your "Super" Chargers, come 3:30ish Central Time on Sunday.
Consider:
* 2013: Chiefs at "Super" Chargers. The Chiefs were locked into the five seed; the Chargers needed to win, to clinch the sixth seed. Chargers 27, Chiefs 24, in overtime -- in a game that Chase Daniel (the backup) started, to preserve "Sir" Alex Smith's health.
* 2014: "Super" Chargers at Chiefs. Both teams were technically alive for the six seed, but basically drawing dead. Once again, Chase Daniel started. This time, the Chiefs won, 19-7.
(Note: this is the only season under "Fat" Andy Reid, in which the Chiefs have failed to reach the postseason. I have a post on this coming early next week (with sweet ass spreadsheets I may or may not have spent today concocting while "working from home"!), comparing the seven years under "Fat" Andy, to the previous seven years. I think the results will either (a) shock you, (b) drive you to drink heavily, or (c) some combination of the two.)
* 2015: raiders at Chiefs. My 39th Birthday! The Chiefs won 23-17 ... but sadly, those people also won, 24-17, over your "Super" Chargers. Had your "Super" Chargers won at fake mile high, the Chiefs would now be a five-time defending division champion, and would have had home-field advantage throughout the AFC Playoffs. Instead, they settled for a wild card, eleven straight wins, and a tough seven point loss at the Patriots in the Divisional Round, to end the season.
* 2016: Chiefs at "Super" Chargers. The final game at The Murph, The Q, The "Place The "Super" Chargers Never Should Have Left" **** . Chiefs won 37-27 to clinch the AFC West over the raiders, who would have won the division, had they not lost at those people. Sadly, the Division Title was wasted; the Steelers beat the Chiefs 18-16 in the Divisional Round.
* 2017: Chiefs at those people. On paper, and in theory, the Chiefs had literally NOTHING to play for. They were locked into the four seed as the AFC West Champs. Oh, but thank God they don't play games based solely on theories or on paper, because we all know that ten, twelve years from now, all of us Chiefs fans will look back at this game as THE defining moment of the Chiefs franchise for the first fifty years of this century.
Because this 24-17 win is best remembered, as Patrick Mahomes "Of The Chiefs" first regular season start. Sadly, this season was wasted too, as the Titans rolled into Arrowhead the following Saturday and rallied to beat the Chiefs 22-21.
* 2018: raiders at Chiefs. Beating your hated rival 35-3 is nice. Clinching home field advantage throughout the playoffs by doing so -- as well as clinching a third straight AFC West championship -- is even nicer. Wasting that designation by losing in overtime in the AFC Title Game? Yeah, not so much.
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(****: the worst part of the San Diego "Super" Chargers move three years ago? No potential annual trip to San Diego anymore! F*ck Dean Spanos for all of eternity, for ripping that roadie away forever! I mean, Jesus, at least Stan Kroenke fled St. Louis. That's a completely justifiable and defensible decision. Fleeing San Diego? That should get you set up in front of a firing squad, with all active bullets. I mean, if San Diego is good enough for "Simon and Simon" -- to say nothing of "Three's Company" -- then what the f*ck is Dean Spanos' excuse?
Also -- and for once, I know I'm 100% right -- that is THE greatest sports team theme song ever.)
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And now, come Sunday, the 2019 finale: "Super" Chargers at Chiefs.
The Chiefs have virtually nothing to play for. They have clinched the AFC West for a fourth straight season. They can do no worse than hosting the Bills next weekend, and will need the (second) upset of a generation in as many seasons, to secure a bye. There's a solid ninety percent chance per Five Thirty Eight, that the Chiefs will be the three seed when the playoffs begin in seven days.
(Odds that, if anything, probably oversell the Chiefs' odds, of getting a bye, if we're being fair and honest here. And in the interest of fairness and honesty, I'm usually only accused of being one, of those two things, on a usual basis.)
Gun to my head, if we have to open next weekend, I want it to be against the raiders. I remember the 1991 Wild Card Game so clearly, it's like it happened yesterday, not three decades ago. I remember the Thursday Night de-facto division championship game from 2016 so vividly, it's like it happened yesterday, not three years ago.
And (jimmy buffett voice) come Sunday? I'll be content to sit back, and watch this sh*t play out, because again, the worst case scenario is Buffalo here at 3:30 on Saturday, and given that there are two of us in my tailgating group whose birthday will be next weekend (myself, and the lovely Alyssa), I'm cool with that. You can celebrate my not being pregnant ... and that I didn't knock her up! (Hey yo! Seriously, all the best to Ryan and Alyssa, expecting their first (a son!) come late June.)
But with all actual sincerity? I'm gonna enjoy the hell out of Sunday, because the Chiefs are the rare NFL team that hasn't clinched their seed and/or slot yet?
That won't be "desperado" on Sunday.
They can afford to be "despacito".
Namely -- be slow ... and be great, at how, uuh, great you are?
At going slow.
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(And Dios con Mio, can you imagine how epic it would be, if "Andres de Gordo" entered the victorious locker room, bailando a "Despacito"? That might destroy the internet, the moment would be so great, if we're being justo y honesto aqui!
And for once? I might be being, uuh, ambos!)
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My pick for Sunday is * at Chiefs (-9) 38, "Super" Chargers 9.
I hope to see everyone reading this, on Sunday.
This is going to be a lazy, laid back, slow Sunday. (I only wish it was going to be 72 and sunny. Oh well. Sh*t happens.)
The Chiefs will likely have nothing to play for by the end of the first quarter, and no later than halftime.
And that's OK! That is perfectly fine and acceptable!
Because this team wasn't built to just survive the regular season.
It was built to dominate the post season.
The Chiefs have done the first.
It's now time, to do the second.
The real season begins as soon as the 49ers and Seahawks are done deciding the NFC seeding Sunday night, and the postseason matchups are announced.
And how awesome is it, that for the fifth straight season, it's a "Domingo de Despacito" for our Los Jefes ... with their postseason berth already clinched, no matter what happens on the field, in forty some odd hours ...
Monday, December 23, 2019
chiefs week seventeen rooting interests
"Oh come, all ye faithful,
Joyful and triumphant.
Oh come ye, oh come ye
To Bethlehem.
Come and behold Him!
Born the King of Angels!
Oh come let us adore Him!
Oh come let us adore Him!
Oh come let us adore Him!
Christ! The Lord!!! ..."
-- "O Come, All Ye Faithful". If I've said it once, I've said it at least four thousand times: Indy will never be the same, without Jim and Flo ...
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In the AFC, the only seeds locked in are the first (Ravens) and the fifth (Bills). Our Chiefs can finish anywhere from second to fourth. The Patriots can finish second or third. The Texans can finish third or fourth.
And barring something unforeseen at this point, the sixth seed (and hopeful likely possible sacrificial lamb to the Chiefs to open the postseason) will be earned not on the field ... but via strength of victory tiebreaker. Not even I could have drawn up something so spectacular for Week Seventeen, like what we've got: a very realistic four team parlay to get the raiders into the playoffs.
In the words of the Zac Brown Band: "life is good today. Life is good today!"
Here is where we stand entering the regular season finale:
And here, for the final time in 2019, are your Chiefs Rooting Interests.
* Biggest Game: Dolphins at Patriots (Sunday, noon CT, CBS). I really thought the Bills were gonna do it Saturday night. Alas, they fell one score short, keeping the Patriots locked into the two slot, and the bye that comes with it ... for now.
To clinch the two seed and the bye, all the Patriots have to do, is something they have done every season for ten years and counting: score (at least) one more point in Foxboro, than the Dolphins do.
Look it, I'm not optimistic the Dolphins can do this. For cocktails, the Patriots have already beaten the Dolphins by forty three points in Miami. For appetizers, the Dolphins haven't beaten a team with a winning record (whoops: Philly is now 8-7!), and nearly p*ssed away a twenty five point lead with seven minutes to play yesterday to the worst team in football. For the main course, the Patriots never lose divisional games at home. And for dessert, the last time the Dolphins won in Foxboro, Matt Effing Cassel started for the Patriots.
I see no sane, rational reason to hope for anything positive to happen here.
And yet, this is the first domino that has to fall, to sort out the AFC. Because if the Patriots do what anyone with an IQ above that of a corpse expects them to do on Sunday (namely, get up 24-0 at halftime), then decisions have to be made at Arrowhead (in real time) and NRG Reliant (an hour or so later), regarding Patrick "Mahomes" of the Chiefs and Deshaun Watson. And those decisions -- especially the one Bill O'Brien will be making shortly after 3pm Sunday -- are going to affect a lot of team's playoff hopes and chances. To say nothing of their own team's seeding hopes and chances.
Root For: Dolphins. Duh. Just don't get your hopes up. Remember, the Chiefs absolute rock-bottom, worst case scenario, is hosting Buffalo next week. (Well, actually, our absolute rock-bottom, worst case scenario is hosting Buffalo next week with Chad Henne under center, but let's all hope and pray that doesn't happen.)
We're playing at least once in January for the fifth straight year, and playing at least once in January at home, for the fifth straight year as well. (Assuming you count the 2015 regular season finale as a January home game, and since it was played on my 39th birthday, you're damned right I count it. Also, my 44th birthday will be the regular season finale next season. Let's all hope and pray it's against those people at Arrowhead.)
* Second Biggest Game: Titans at Texans (Sunday, 3:25pm CT, CBS). This game has huge ramifications for the Chiefs, no matter what happens in our game. If the Chiefs win Sunday, then they can do no worse than the three seed, leaving the Texans with nothing to play for but pride ... and to knock Tennessee out of the playoffs, which matters because if the playoffs started today, the kryptonite known as the Titans would be our first opponent. The Chiefs have lost five straight to the Titans, most in embarrassing fashion (including six weeks ago in Nashville).
Conversely, if the Chiefs lose on Sunday, then Houston is playing for the three seed, and a chance to avoid the vs Buffalo / at Baltimore draw that they have little shot of surviving. (The Ravens already destroyed the Texans by five touchdowns last month ... although for what it's worth, I think Buffalo is a paper tiger, a 1995 Detroit Lions. Teams are fearing them for no credible reason.)
* Root For: Texans. I think. I'm basing that on my belief that the Chiefs will take care of business against the Chargers on Sunday * . That, and the only team in the entire AFC field that truly terrifies me is the Texans ** . I'd rather host them in the Title Game, than have to go down there, should we meet up on MLK Weekend.
(*: how weird is it, that if the Chiefs lose Sunday, they'll finish 4-4 at home? For all the talk about Terrorhead, it's been very, very ordinary this season. (Pause). Of course, the flip is that the Chiefs went 7-1 on the road (the only loss by three in Nashville), which is probably a good thing when you'll likely have to win twice on the road, to get to Miami *** .)
(**: yes, I mean that. The ONLY playoff (or possible playoff) team the AFC has to offer that scares me, is the Texans. Because we know they can win at Arrowhead. They did it two months ago. We know Lamar Jackson can't handle us in peak bat-sh*t crazy crowd form. We know we can beat Tom Brady anywhere. (Or lose to him anywhere as well, but whatever.) The ONLY AFC squad that terrifies me, is Houston ... because Deshaun Watson is that damned good.)
(***: go ahead, sing it. "Pat Mahomes! Take Me Home! To the Place! We Belong! Kansas City! To Miami! Take Me Home! Pat Mahomes!" Whoever wrote this is a f*cking genius. "Franchise QBs? Changing Like the Leaves! Huddled At the Goalline? Shouting "Let's Go Chiefs!" Pat Mahomes! Oh Take Me Home! To the Place! We Belong! Kansas City! To Miami! **** Take Me Home! Pat Mahomes!" Absolute genius.)
(****: also, if the Royals victory parade drew 800,000 people (or one out of every three that live in the KC Metro area), then brace for three million, come the first Tuesday in February, 2020, to flood Penn Valley Park and every available inch of space surrounding it, if the Chiefs win up winning their final ten games this season. (Pause). What? (Pause). Good point -- their final nine games, if the Dolphins pull off the impossible on Sunday.)
(**: yes, I mean that. The ONLY playoff (or possible playoff) team the AFC has to offer that scares me, is the Texans. Because we know they can win at Arrowhead. They did it two months ago. We know Lamar Jackson can't handle us in peak bat-sh*t crazy crowd form. We know we can beat Tom Brady anywhere. (Or lose to him anywhere as well, but whatever.) The ONLY AFC squad that terrifies me, is Houston ... because Deshaun Watson is that damned good.)
(***: go ahead, sing it. "Pat Mahomes! Take Me Home! To the Place! We Belong! Kansas City! To Miami! Take Me Home! Pat Mahomes!" Whoever wrote this is a f*cking genius. "Franchise QBs? Changing Like the Leaves! Huddled At the Goalline? Shouting "Let's Go Chiefs!" Pat Mahomes! Oh Take Me Home! To the Place! We Belong! Kansas City! To Miami! **** Take Me Home! Pat Mahomes!" Absolute genius.)
(****: also, if the Royals victory parade drew 800,000 people (or one out of every three that live in the KC Metro area), then brace for three million, come the first Tuesday in February, 2020, to flood Penn Valley Park and every available inch of space surrounding it, if the Chiefs win up winning their final ten games this season. (Pause). What? (Pause). Good point -- their final nine games, if the Dolphins pull off the impossible on Sunday.)
* Third Biggest Game: Steelers at Ravens (Sunday, noon CT, CBS). John Harbaugh came out today and said he was resting his starters. I still don't think it'll matter. They'll easily handle the Steelers, to eliminate them from postseason consideration ***** .
(*****: of the three wild card contenders, I believe the Titans are the only one who can lose, and still get in (if everybody else loses too). If the raiders lose, they are officially done. (Ditto if the Colts lose -- more on them momentarily.) If the Steelers lose, I believe they're also toast, because the Titans and raiders both hold Strength of Victory tiebreaker over them.
Oh, and as for the "wait, how are the Colts out of it at 7-8 but the raiders are in it at 7-8" question, this one I do know, because it is essentially how the Chiefs got in, in 2006, via the Immaculate Fourfecta in Week Seventeen. The Colts reaching 8-8 and tying the Titans at 8-8 eliminates Tennessee via divisional record (you eliminate within the division first). It's why the Colts have to win, to get the raiders in; otherwise, the Titans would finish a game ahead of Indy, and render a divisional tiebreaker meaningless. Also, how f*cking awesome are NFL tiebreakers!!!! Not even fifteen year old me had this (brett voice) vivid of an imagination.)
Oh, and as for the "wait, how are the Colts out of it at 7-8 but the raiders are in it at 7-8" question, this one I do know, because it is essentially how the Chiefs got in, in 2006, via the Immaculate Fourfecta in Week Seventeen. The Colts reaching 8-8 and tying the Titans at 8-8 eliminates Tennessee via divisional record (you eliminate within the division first). It's why the Colts have to win, to get the raiders in; otherwise, the Titans would finish a game ahead of Indy, and render a divisional tiebreaker meaningless. Also, how f*cking awesome are NFL tiebreakers!!!! Not even fifteen year old me had this (brett voice) vivid of an imagination.)
Root For: Ravens. Chaos, kids. Chaos. Also, there's a high likelihood we're going to get a Paxton Lynch sighting on Sunday afternoon for the Steelers. Remember kids -- those people traded up to get him four years ago, and he couldn't beat out trevor siemian, who couldn't beat out "Brave" Brock Osweiler.
(Please, those people -- never fire the antichrist. So long as horse face is running your franchise, the only place you're going, is to a deeper layer of hell itself.)
Other Rooting Interests.
* Jets at Bills (Sunday, noon CT, CBS): Jets. #firegase #righteffingnow Also, allow me to say, Buffalo does not frighten me, like it does a lot of people. I would much rather face the Bills than the Titans. But man, am I hoping and praying the opener is the raiders (if we have to play on Wild Card weekend).
* Browns at Bengals (Sunday, noon CT, CBS): riots in the stands amongst the fans ****** Browns. The Bengals have already clinched the top pick in each round of The Draft.
(******: Sam Wyche is the best.)
(******: Sam Wyche is the best.)
* Colts at Jaguars (Sunday, 3:25pm CT, CBS): Colts. If Indy loses, the dream of raiders at Chiefs next Saturday night drops dead. And I'm not going to be happy, if the only reason I'm deprived of my dream playoff match up, is because a Jags team that quit in training camp rallies to "win one for Marrone". (Pause). Oh who am I kidding. Colts big, peoples and peepettes. The Colts won't screw this up.
* raiders at those people (Sunday, 3:25pm CT, CBS): terrorist attack raiders. It's all there for you oakland. You will take the field -- no matter what happens in the noon window -- still alive for the playoffs. Just do your part, and trust the rest to work itself out.
After all, in the words of Stevo's Site Numero Dos' Official Color Commentator (Emeritus), the legendary Dan Dierdorf: "we've seen it before!"
(Well, not quite -- the Chiefs only needed eight outcomes across two weeks to reach the playoffs thirteen years ago. The raiders need nine. We got our eight. They've gotten the first five. C'mon raider nation -- you can do this!)
--------------------
And with that, the rooting interests posts for 2019 are over. This season went by way too fast. (Then again, all of 2019 went by way too fast.)
To everyone reading this: all the best this Chrismukkah season to you and yours, whoever and wherever you are. Hug the hell out of those you love; smile politely and chug that pinot grigio as you tolerate those you don't.
And spoil the hell out of the kids -- naughty, nice, or (like me) straddling the line between the two on a daily basis.
Take a few minutes to remember why this amazing holiday exists.
(Other than Woodstock, Linus was always my favorite.)
And above all -- hey!
(sgt. esterhaus voice) Let's be careful out there ...
(Well, not quite -- the Chiefs only needed eight outcomes across two weeks to reach the playoffs thirteen years ago. The raiders need nine. We got our eight. They've gotten the first five. C'mon raider nation -- you can do this!)
--------------------
And with that, the rooting interests posts for 2019 are over. This season went by way too fast. (Then again, all of 2019 went by way too fast.)
To everyone reading this: all the best this Chrismukkah season to you and yours, whoever and wherever you are. Hug the hell out of those you love; smile politely and chug that pinot grigio as you tolerate those you don't.
And spoil the hell out of the kids -- naughty, nice, or (like me) straddling the line between the two on a daily basis.
Take a few minutes to remember why this amazing holiday exists.
(Other than Woodstock, Linus was always my favorite.)
And above all -- hey!
(sgt. esterhaus voice) Let's be careful out there ...
Friday, December 20, 2019
the week sixteen picks
"Oh Holy Night.
The stars are brightly shining.
It is the night?
Of our Dear Savior's birth.
Long lay the world,
In sin and error pining.
'Til He appeared,
And the soul? Felt its' worth.
The thrill of hope!
A weary world rejoices!
For yonder breaks?
A new and glorious morn'!
Fall on your knees!
Oh hear the angels' voices!
Oh Night Divine!
Oh Night! When Christ was born!
Oh Night!
Divine!
Oh Night!
Oh Night Divine! ..."
-- "O Holy Night", my favorite religious Christmas song, and nothing else comes within a manger's distance of it, for that distinction ...
--------------------
(Note up front: this week's picks are going to be the picks, the picks, and (almost) nothing but the picks, pontification, and prognostication.
There's still a (not very) solid 22.56% chance I will make Soldier Field Sunday night. So I'm trying to ram these through in the hopes that my Monday looks better come Saturday by lunchtime, than it currently does on Friday night, at dinner time.
(Pause).
I swear, I miss the good ol' days, when my former boss Mary would just blindly sign off on any Chiefs related PTO, under the "hey, you wanna waste your money on worthless sh*t, be my guest! Just so long as I get to laugh at you after your Chiefs lose!" policy we had in place for the first half, of the 2000s.
(Pause).
Rams fans. Still annoying as hell itself, twenty years and a return to LA, later ...)
--------------------
The Statisticals.
(Note: no Week Ten Picks were submitted due to real-life issues that trumped posting them.)
Last Week SU: 10-6-0.
Season to Date SU: 124-86-1. Clinched a winning season!
Last Week ATS: 6-9-1.
Season to Date ATS: 111-96-4. Almost cliched a profitable season!
Last Week Upset / Week: three and a half points short of a cover!
Season to Date Upset / Week SU: 7-9-0. (Pause). Yeah, gotta pull a Chris Berman, and load up on as many underdogs as it takes next week, to reach .500!
Season to Date Upset / Week ATS: 9-7-0. (Pause). On second thought, I might not pull a Chris Berman, as I've already loaded up on enough underdogs, to secure .500!
This Week Upset / Week: Browns (+10) over Ravens.
--------------------
The Non-Chiefs Picks.
* at Bucs (+3) 31, Texans 24. Root for abject chaos for the six seed kids. Abject chaos.
* Bills (+6 1/2) 24, at Patriots 13. This line is drunker than a whore house rat when half of the Navy is on leave. (Pause). What? (Sighing in disgust). Fine -- this line is drunker than me on a typical Tuesday.
Seriously, Vegas -- you're saying this Patriots team, right now, would be favored IN Buffalo?
A Patriots team that barely survived the Eagles, should have lost to the Cowboys, and has been taken the woodshed, bent over, and given the business up the poop chute by the Ravens, Chiefs, and Texans in the last six weeks?
In the words of the late, (not) great Nell Carter: "gimme a break!"
* Rams (+6 1/2) 31, at 49ers 20. 2019 49ers = 2013 Chiefs. Enjoy losing to an inferior team on the road, because you drop five of seven to end the season, guys. As ... wow, and I picked this song as the theme back then for part dos heaven's sake! ...
... as Luke Bryan would note: "been there, done that".
* at "Shane" Falcons (-7) 24, Jaguars 14. I wouldn't fire Dan Quinn. Then again, the Chiefs play the "Shane" Falcons in Arrowhead last year ... so absolutely, I wouldn't fire Dan Quinn, if I was Arthur Blank.
* at Titans (+2) 34, Saints 31 (OT). Titans at Texans ... or 49ers at Seahawks for your Week Seventeen finale?
Either way, as Nick Bakay would note: we're all winners here.
* at Redskins (-1) 3, Giants 0. Only two more weeks of "Sur" William Callahan guaranteed to be a part of our lives. Here's hoping Bruce Allen brings in Jim "Cock O' The Walk!at" Rose to conduct the exit interview.
* at Jets (+3 1/2) 31, Steelers 20. This is going to finally be the game that justifies my drafting Le'Veon Bell with my first non-keeper pick.
Unfortunately for team tito, it comes at least five weeks too late to matter.
(Seriously -- that team went 5-8-0! How? How?)
* at Dolphins (+1) 13, Bengals 10. How in the name of everything considered to be holy, are the Bengals FAVORED? On the road to boot? (Pause). Yeah, I'm not laying out a cent on this one.
* at Colts (-6 1/2) 31, Panthers 20. Abject chaos for the six seed only happens if Indy wins out. You can do it Colts! Beat a crappy Panthers team starting Will Grier, then beat a Jags team that is cleaning house! You can do it Colts!
* at Browns (-10) 34, Ravens 21. Why the NFL is so awesome -- both current one seeds (Seahawks, Ravens), face the very real possibility they made slide as low as the three (Ravens) or the five (Seahawks) over the next ten days. (tony bruno voice) Beautiful.
* at those people (-7) 24, Lions 14. Patrick "Mahomes" of the Chiefs is now 5-0 against those people. Including 3-0 inside the eighth layer of hell itself. (robert wagner voice) Spectacular.
* raiders (+7 1/2) 31, at "Super" Chargers 21. This one is a pick of the heart ... and the head.
The heart, because I have enough friends that are raiders fans, that I want them to have a glimmer of hope for Week Seventeen.
The head ... because a raiders win, coupled with Colts and Jets wins, would keep the raiders alive entering Week Seventeen, which means "Super" Chargers at Chiefs would get moved back to 3:25pm (to sync up with raiders at those people), ensuring an extra three, four hours of sleep next Saturday night for this rapidly aging dude.
I'm all about the 3:25 or 7:20 kickoffs at this point, kids. Sleep is a good thing!
* Cowboys (-2) 34, at Eagles 31 (OT). FOX had to have protected this game. That's the sole and only justification, for not flexing Chiefs at Bears out of prime time, and putting this one in.
FOX had to have protected this one. And justifiably so! The winner of this game is going to beat whatever unlucky team loses the NFC West, probably on Saturday night of Wild Card weekend. This should be the best game of the weekend. The rare one that lives up to the hype.
* at Seahawks 31, "Super" Cardinals (+9 1/2) 24. Could be a sneaky good late afternoon alternative to America's Game O' The Week from the Fake Vet.
* Packers (+5 1/2) 38, at Vikings 24. Are you sh*tting me? Kirk Cousins -- 0-8 all time on "Monday Night Football", is nearly a touchdown favorite, without Dalvin Cook?
I'm not sure what makes me laugh more: Aaron Rodgers' State Farm commercials with Patrick Mahomes "Of The Chiefs", or Aaron Rodgers looking at this line, and contemplating wagering a game check on the absurdity of it.
(Note: I have no proof Mr. Rodgers would do that ... but if I was Mr. Rodgers, I would. This line is indefensible. You mean to tell me Aaron Rodgers can't keep this within a field goal, against a quarterback who has no business leading a credible Super Bowl contender? (keyshawn johnson voice) C'mon Man!)
--------------------
Normal (and Occasional) Blurbs Skipped This Week.
* The "Klassy" Kevin Kietzman Tweet O' The Week.
* Stevo Neighborhood Update.
* Stevo Drink O' The Week.
* "The Flashback".
* "The Poem".
* "Disreputable" Mexican Food Truck Update.
--------------------
The Tailgating Plans.
If I am able to attend Sunday night, the tailgate will occur on my cousin Juli's front porch, before we all head way too close to Lake Michigan after the sun goes down, to take in the game.
I can live with that.
(Note: my cousin, her husband, and their two kids are all Bears Season Ticket Holders. Much respect to them.)
The Watching Party Plans.
If I am not able to attend Sunday night, the Watching Party will occur at McFadden's, with the usual crew, and the usual cash allotment from those fine folks.
--------------------
The Chiefs Pontification and Prognostication.
Picking the Chiefs This Season:
* Straight Up: 9-5-0 (L at Jaguars, W at raiders, W vs Ravens, W at Lions, L vs Colts, L vs Texans, W at those people, L vs Packers, W vs Vikings, L at Titans, W at "Super" Chargers, W vs raiders, W at Patriots, W vs those people).
* Against the Spread: 8-6-0 (L at Jaguars, W at raiders, W vs Ravens, L at Lions, L vs Colts, L vs Texans, W at those people, L vs Packers, W vs Vikings, L at Titans, W at "Super" Chargers, W vs raiders, W at Patriots, W vs those people).
--------------------
Again -- it's Chrismukkah, so every post on this site has a Christmas theme to it at this time of the year ... but come on.
If we're playing in Chicago?
There's only one true theme, a kid my age can pick.
And please -- sing along. Because God knows I'm going to:
--------------------
"Standing Tall!
On the wings of my dream!
(I'll) Rise and fall!
On the wings of my dream!"
--------------------
This has been one crazy ass month for me.
I've seen my dad survive his (at last count) fourth "cardiac event" of this millennium. (This one with a guarantee another one won't happen for ten years! (Pause). Yeah, right. Also, this is why you got no Week Ten picks.)
I spent one amazing night of friendship with four friends who have (somehow!) never once failed to have my back when I've needed it -- and God knows, I've needed it, over the years. You regulars to this site know who they are -- "The Voice of Reason". "bts". "Jasson".
And whatever the f*ck we have to nickname Tim as.
("Another Brick In The Wall"? Or is that too obvious? I always try to keep the "guilty" around here, as anonymous as I can.)
--------------------
I've spent a weekend (and one long-overdue epic man hug) with my best friend from college, who I hadn't seen in almost a decade, prior to last month. A simple "hey, it's our bye week -- are the Stars in town?" text that exploded over the next fifteen minutes into "the guest room is yours!" plan confirmations.
(Note: if you knew Vineet? You'd get how amazing this reunion was ... and how impossible it once seemed.)
I saw the only hockey team I give a sh*t about, win an overtime shootout against the only hockey team I irrationally hate.
On the way back from that epic roadie to see Vineet and the Stars, I stopped off in H'Ville to see Brett and Shannon, two friends I certainly don't deserve, and haven't seen since the Spring Race at the Speedway back in 2017. Three hours and a few cocktails later, it's like we'd never gone three years between seeing each other.
(Note: so f*cking awesome. (fist pump!))
I welcomed my buddy Drey (who's had the roughest year imaginable) and his new squeeze, along with "Sir" Thomas and his better half, for an epic raider weekend that was incredible.
I had lunch with my former boss from Transamerica, seeing her in person for the first time in pushing twelve years, a couple weeks ago. Twelve years, and it's like nothing had changed. She still mocking what I define as a "work ethic"; me still mocking her infatuation with every hot-as-hell dude who worked in our department other than me.
Oh yeah -- ain't we lucky we got 'em?
Good Times!!!!!!
And then last Sunday ...
--------------------
I spent an epic eight, nine hours in the snow, watching those people get their ass handed to them by the team I irrationally love, five days ago.
(Note: the recap is still coming. Some things, you have to spend quality time on, to get them to come out right. This is one of those things. (Pause). Unlike this post, which is about as half-assed as it gets around here.)
The finality of that epic event, played out on Monday, when "Uncle" Bob, "Cousin" Chase, "Not Sure Who You Are" Pat, my Second Parents, and I, braved the elements (still cold! Still snowing! Still KC in December!) to have a lunch together at Jack Stack down on the Plaza.
The view was so cool -- snow falling, as you look out the window onto North Ward Parkway, staring at the gorgeous Country Club Bank building, and the awesome hotels and apartments across Brush Creek. (Seriously -- Kansas City in the snow -- especially The Plaza -- is so damned beautiful, you'd think Five Seconds of Summer was singing about it.)
And it was as we toasted another successful Chiefs game, another successful season, another successful visit from my Jersey friends, that it finally hit me.
(Pause).
I am the luckiest son of a (not even remotely a) b*tch?
On earth.
Because I deserve?
Nothing that I have, love, and enjoy.
--------------------
So your pick for this week, is * Chiefs (-6) 27, at Bears 3.
But my wish for y'all this week?
Is to realize how amazing this life, God Himself gave us?
Is.
Realize that thousands of years ago, a Higher Power gave enough of a sh*t about us, to send His Son, to take upon Him every f*ck up, failure, mistake, and indefensible decision we've ever made ... and let us get away with it.
Please -- never forget that.
And if you doubt it, or forget it?
Please -- your life is worth it.
Even if you doubt it is.
--------------------
Despite that Holy Night?
Sometimes, the world looks perfect,
With no need to re-arrange.
But because of that Holy Night?
No matter what the odds are this time?
Nothing (has) to stand in your way.
And because of that Holy Night?
Every dark street?
Has a light at the end!
--------------------
To everyone reading this, I wish you nothing but the best, this Chrismukkah season. I hope, and sincerely pray, that God above grants you everything you truly and honestly desire (if not need) in the year to come.
Because if you're reading this?
Then God loves you more, than I ever could.
And given how I feel about most of y'all reading this?
That's saying something.
--------------------
And as always -- please!
(sgt. esterhaus voice) Be careful out there ...
(Pause).
F*ck yeah -- he said "behooves us" ...
The stars are brightly shining.
It is the night?
Of our Dear Savior's birth.
Long lay the world,
In sin and error pining.
'Til He appeared,
And the soul? Felt its' worth.
The thrill of hope!
A weary world rejoices!
For yonder breaks?
A new and glorious morn'!
Fall on your knees!
Oh hear the angels' voices!
Oh Night Divine!
Oh Night! When Christ was born!
Oh Night!
Divine!
Oh Night!
Oh Night Divine! ..."
-- "O Holy Night", my favorite religious Christmas song, and nothing else comes within a manger's distance of it, for that distinction ...
--------------------
(Note up front: this week's picks are going to be the picks, the picks, and (almost) nothing but the picks, pontification, and prognostication.
There's still a (not very) solid 22.56% chance I will make Soldier Field Sunday night. So I'm trying to ram these through in the hopes that my Monday looks better come Saturday by lunchtime, than it currently does on Friday night, at dinner time.
(Pause).
I swear, I miss the good ol' days, when my former boss Mary would just blindly sign off on any Chiefs related PTO, under the "hey, you wanna waste your money on worthless sh*t, be my guest! Just so long as I get to laugh at you after your Chiefs lose!" policy we had in place for the first half, of the 2000s.
(Pause).
Rams fans. Still annoying as hell itself, twenty years and a return to LA, later ...)
--------------------
The Statisticals.
(Note: no Week Ten Picks were submitted due to real-life issues that trumped posting them.)
Last Week SU: 10-6-0.
Season to Date SU: 124-86-1. Clinched a winning season!
Last Week ATS: 6-9-1.
Season to Date ATS: 111-96-4. Almost cliched a profitable season!
Last Week Upset / Week: three and a half points short of a cover!
Season to Date Upset / Week SU: 7-9-0. (Pause). Yeah, gotta pull a Chris Berman, and load up on as many underdogs as it takes next week, to reach .500!
Season to Date Upset / Week ATS: 9-7-0. (Pause). On second thought, I might not pull a Chris Berman, as I've already loaded up on enough underdogs, to secure .500!
This Week Upset / Week: Browns (+10) over Ravens.
--------------------
The Non-Chiefs Picks.
* at Bucs (+3) 31, Texans 24. Root for abject chaos for the six seed kids. Abject chaos.
* Bills (+6 1/2) 24, at Patriots 13. This line is drunker than a whore house rat when half of the Navy is on leave. (Pause). What? (Sighing in disgust). Fine -- this line is drunker than me on a typical Tuesday.
Seriously, Vegas -- you're saying this Patriots team, right now, would be favored IN Buffalo?
A Patriots team that barely survived the Eagles, should have lost to the Cowboys, and has been taken the woodshed, bent over, and given the business up the poop chute by the Ravens, Chiefs, and Texans in the last six weeks?
In the words of the late, (not) great Nell Carter: "gimme a break!"
* Rams (+6 1/2) 31, at 49ers 20. 2019 49ers = 2013 Chiefs. Enjoy losing to an inferior team on the road, because you drop five of seven to end the season, guys. As ... wow, and I picked this song as the theme back then for part dos heaven's sake! ...
... as Luke Bryan would note: "been there, done that".
* at "Shane" Falcons (-7) 24, Jaguars 14. I wouldn't fire Dan Quinn. Then again, the Chiefs play the "Shane" Falcons in Arrowhead last year ... so absolutely, I wouldn't fire Dan Quinn, if I was Arthur Blank.
* at Titans (+2) 34, Saints 31 (OT). Titans at Texans ... or 49ers at Seahawks for your Week Seventeen finale?
Either way, as Nick Bakay would note: we're all winners here.
* at Redskins (-1) 3, Giants 0. Only two more weeks of "Sur" William Callahan guaranteed to be a part of our lives. Here's hoping Bruce Allen brings in Jim "Cock O' The Walk!at" Rose to conduct the exit interview.
* at Jets (+3 1/2) 31, Steelers 20. This is going to finally be the game that justifies my drafting Le'Veon Bell with my first non-keeper pick.
Unfortunately for team tito, it comes at least five weeks too late to matter.
(Seriously -- that team went 5-8-0! How? How?)
* at Dolphins (+1) 13, Bengals 10. How in the name of everything considered to be holy, are the Bengals FAVORED? On the road to boot? (Pause). Yeah, I'm not laying out a cent on this one.
* at Colts (-6 1/2) 31, Panthers 20. Abject chaos for the six seed only happens if Indy wins out. You can do it Colts! Beat a crappy Panthers team starting Will Grier, then beat a Jags team that is cleaning house! You can do it Colts!
* at Browns (-10) 34, Ravens 21. Why the NFL is so awesome -- both current one seeds (Seahawks, Ravens), face the very real possibility they made slide as low as the three (Ravens) or the five (Seahawks) over the next ten days. (tony bruno voice) Beautiful.
* at those people (-7) 24, Lions 14. Patrick "Mahomes" of the Chiefs is now 5-0 against those people. Including 3-0 inside the eighth layer of hell itself. (robert wagner voice) Spectacular.
* raiders (+7 1/2) 31, at "Super" Chargers 21. This one is a pick of the heart ... and the head.
The heart, because I have enough friends that are raiders fans, that I want them to have a glimmer of hope for Week Seventeen.
The head ... because a raiders win, coupled with Colts and Jets wins, would keep the raiders alive entering Week Seventeen, which means "Super" Chargers at Chiefs would get moved back to 3:25pm (to sync up with raiders at those people), ensuring an extra three, four hours of sleep next Saturday night for this rapidly aging dude.
I'm all about the 3:25 or 7:20 kickoffs at this point, kids. Sleep is a good thing!
* Cowboys (-2) 34, at Eagles 31 (OT). FOX had to have protected this game. That's the sole and only justification, for not flexing Chiefs at Bears out of prime time, and putting this one in.
FOX had to have protected this one. And justifiably so! The winner of this game is going to beat whatever unlucky team loses the NFC West, probably on Saturday night of Wild Card weekend. This should be the best game of the weekend. The rare one that lives up to the hype.
* at Seahawks 31, "Super" Cardinals (+9 1/2) 24. Could be a sneaky good late afternoon alternative to America's Game O' The Week from the Fake Vet.
* Packers (+5 1/2) 38, at Vikings 24. Are you sh*tting me? Kirk Cousins -- 0-8 all time on "Monday Night Football", is nearly a touchdown favorite, without Dalvin Cook?
I'm not sure what makes me laugh more: Aaron Rodgers' State Farm commercials with Patrick Mahomes "Of The Chiefs", or Aaron Rodgers looking at this line, and contemplating wagering a game check on the absurdity of it.
(Note: I have no proof Mr. Rodgers would do that ... but if I was Mr. Rodgers, I would. This line is indefensible. You mean to tell me Aaron Rodgers can't keep this within a field goal, against a quarterback who has no business leading a credible Super Bowl contender? (keyshawn johnson voice) C'mon Man!)
--------------------
Normal (and Occasional) Blurbs Skipped This Week.
* The "Klassy" Kevin Kietzman Tweet O' The Week.
* Stevo Neighborhood Update.
* Stevo Drink O' The Week.
* "The Flashback".
* "The Poem".
* "Disreputable" Mexican Food Truck Update.
--------------------
The Tailgating Plans.
If I am able to attend Sunday night, the tailgate will occur on my cousin Juli's front porch, before we all head way too close to Lake Michigan after the sun goes down, to take in the game.
I can live with that.
(Note: my cousin, her husband, and their two kids are all Bears Season Ticket Holders. Much respect to them.)
The Watching Party Plans.
If I am not able to attend Sunday night, the Watching Party will occur at McFadden's, with the usual crew, and the usual cash allotment from those fine folks.
--------------------
The Chiefs Pontification and Prognostication.
Picking the Chiefs This Season:
* Straight Up: 9-5-0 (L at Jaguars, W at raiders, W vs Ravens, W at Lions, L vs Colts, L vs Texans, W at those people, L vs Packers, W vs Vikings, L at Titans, W at "Super" Chargers, W vs raiders, W at Patriots, W vs those people).
* Against the Spread: 8-6-0 (L at Jaguars, W at raiders, W vs Ravens, L at Lions, L vs Colts, L vs Texans, W at those people, L vs Packers, W vs Vikings, L at Titans, W at "Super" Chargers, W vs raiders, W at Patriots, W vs those people).
--------------------
Again -- it's Chrismukkah, so every post on this site has a Christmas theme to it at this time of the year ... but come on.
If we're playing in Chicago?
There's only one true theme, a kid my age can pick.
And please -- sing along. Because God knows I'm going to:
--------------------
"Standing Tall!
On the wings of my dream!
(I'll) Rise and fall!
On the wings of my dream!"
--------------------
This has been one crazy ass month for me.
I've seen my dad survive his (at last count) fourth "cardiac event" of this millennium. (This one with a guarantee another one won't happen for ten years! (Pause). Yeah, right. Also, this is why you got no Week Ten picks.)
I spent one amazing night of friendship with four friends who have (somehow!) never once failed to have my back when I've needed it -- and God knows, I've needed it, over the years. You regulars to this site know who they are -- "The Voice of Reason". "bts". "Jasson".
And whatever the f*ck we have to nickname Tim as.
("Another Brick In The Wall"? Or is that too obvious? I always try to keep the "guilty" around here, as anonymous as I can.)
--------------------
I've spent a weekend (and one long-overdue epic man hug) with my best friend from college, who I hadn't seen in almost a decade, prior to last month. A simple "hey, it's our bye week -- are the Stars in town?" text that exploded over the next fifteen minutes into "the guest room is yours!" plan confirmations.
(Note: if you knew Vineet? You'd get how amazing this reunion was ... and how impossible it once seemed.)
I saw the only hockey team I give a sh*t about, win an overtime shootout against the only hockey team I irrationally hate.
On the way back from that epic roadie to see Vineet and the Stars, I stopped off in H'Ville to see Brett and Shannon, two friends I certainly don't deserve, and haven't seen since the Spring Race at the Speedway back in 2017. Three hours and a few cocktails later, it's like we'd never gone three years between seeing each other.
(Note: so f*cking awesome. (fist pump!))
I welcomed my buddy Drey (who's had the roughest year imaginable) and his new squeeze, along with "Sir" Thomas and his better half, for an epic raider weekend that was incredible.
I had lunch with my former boss from Transamerica, seeing her in person for the first time in pushing twelve years, a couple weeks ago. Twelve years, and it's like nothing had changed. She still mocking what I define as a "work ethic"; me still mocking her infatuation with every hot-as-hell dude who worked in our department other than me.
Oh yeah -- ain't we lucky we got 'em?
Good Times!!!!!!
And then last Sunday ...
--------------------
I spent an epic eight, nine hours in the snow, watching those people get their ass handed to them by the team I irrationally love, five days ago.
(Note: the recap is still coming. Some things, you have to spend quality time on, to get them to come out right. This is one of those things. (Pause). Unlike this post, which is about as half-assed as it gets around here.)
The finality of that epic event, played out on Monday, when "Uncle" Bob, "Cousin" Chase, "Not Sure Who You Are" Pat, my Second Parents, and I, braved the elements (still cold! Still snowing! Still KC in December!) to have a lunch together at Jack Stack down on the Plaza.
The view was so cool -- snow falling, as you look out the window onto North Ward Parkway, staring at the gorgeous Country Club Bank building, and the awesome hotels and apartments across Brush Creek. (Seriously -- Kansas City in the snow -- especially The Plaza -- is so damned beautiful, you'd think Five Seconds of Summer was singing about it.)
And it was as we toasted another successful Chiefs game, another successful season, another successful visit from my Jersey friends, that it finally hit me.
(Pause).
I am the luckiest son of a (not even remotely a) b*tch?
On earth.
Because I deserve?
Nothing that I have, love, and enjoy.
--------------------
So your pick for this week, is * Chiefs (-6) 27, at Bears 3.
But my wish for y'all this week?
Is to realize how amazing this life, God Himself gave us?
Is.
Realize that thousands of years ago, a Higher Power gave enough of a sh*t about us, to send His Son, to take upon Him every f*ck up, failure, mistake, and indefensible decision we've ever made ... and let us get away with it.
Please -- never forget that.
And if you doubt it, or forget it?
Please -- your life is worth it.
Even if you doubt it is.
--------------------
Despite that Holy Night?
Sometimes, the world looks perfect,
With no need to re-arrange.
But because of that Holy Night?
No matter what the odds are this time?
Nothing (has) to stand in your way.
And because of that Holy Night?
Every dark street?
Has a light at the end!
--------------------
To everyone reading this, I wish you nothing but the best, this Chrismukkah season. I hope, and sincerely pray, that God above grants you everything you truly and honestly desire (if not need) in the year to come.
Because if you're reading this?
Then God loves you more, than I ever could.
And given how I feel about most of y'all reading this?
That's saying something.
--------------------
And as always -- please!
(sgt. esterhaus voice) Be careful out there ...
(Pause).
F*ck yeah -- he said "behooves us" ...
Tuesday, December 17, 2019
chiefs week sixteen rooting interests
"Hark! The herald angels sing!
Glory to the Newborn King!
Peace on earth, and mercy mild;
God and sinners? Reconciled.
Joyful all ye nations rise!
Join the triumph of the skies!
With angelic hosts proclaim?
Christ is born! In Bethlehem!
Hark! The herald angels sing!
Glory to the Newborn King! ...
-- "Hark! The Herald Angels Sing!".
--------------------
It's hard to believe there's only two weeks left until the postseason begins. The Chiefs are comfortably in the (hootie johnson voice) toonumunt; the only question now is whether they can steal a bye, or are destined to play on my 43rd birthday weekend.
(Note: I'm rooting for the former ... although the latter wouldn't suck. Well, other than the whole "turning 43" part. But hey -- my brother just turned 40, and my mom is about to turn 70. It could be worse! (Pause). What? (Pause). Well, yes! I am fully aware the Chiefs were shut out on my 16th birthday, lost the most painful defeat of my existence on my 21st, whizzed away the Immaculate Fourfecta on my 30th, authored the second greatest collapse in postseason history on my 37th, and ultimately fell one game short of possible greatness on my 39th. Other than that, yo -- being a Chiefs fan is f*cking awesome!)
Anyways, let's move on, shall we?
Here are your AFC standings as of this fine Tuesday afternoon:
(*: the Texans should have tiebreaker over the Titans, not themselves. My apologies.)
And here are your games of importance, with your Chiefs Rooting Interests:
* Biggest Game: Bills at Patriots (Saturday, 3:30pm CT, NFLN). Thanks to the ridiculous p*ssing match between DirecTV Now (or AT&T Now, or whatever the hell that shady ass corporation feels like naming itself today) and the NFL Network, I'll have to find a bar to watch this one.
Which is fine; I live in Waldo for a reason, for crying out loud, and it isn't the affordability of the housing, or the convenience of the location. (Pause). Well, ok, that last one is true, but definitely not the former.
Realistically, this is probably the Chiefs best chance to steal the bye. And in fact, the Chiefs will know exactly where they stand at kickoff Sunday night, because they are the last AFC team to, uuh, kick off in Week Sixteen. (The Monday Nighter is Packers at Vikings, which should be phenomenal.)
We'll know by kickoff if the Browns can upset the Ravens for the second time (more on this below), if the Texans can clinch the AFC South and all but eliminate the Titans (more on this below), and if the Bills can do what the Chiefs just did two weeks ago: go into Foxboro and dominate an inferior opponent, like good teams do.
* Root For: Bills. Again, this is the most realistic option to obtain a bye: the Bills storm into Foxboro and spring the upset, while the Chiefs win out. However ...
... there is one still semi-plausible, dare to dream it, almost bat sh*t crazy enough to possibly be realistic, back door scenario that would completely throw the AFC bracket into abject chaos ...
* Second Biggest Game: Ravens at Browns (Sunday, noon CT, CBS). And that is if the Browns -- who are still (barely) credibly alive in the battle for the six seed -- can hold serve at home and upset the Ravens. (The Browns already won in Week Four in Crab Cake City, 40-25.)
The Ravens close with the Steelers at home, and the Steelers cannot clinch a playoff berth this weekend, even with a win at the Jets. They will be in must-win mode in Week Seventeen, no matter what happens on Sunday at the Fake Meadowlands, or what happens elsewhere in the AFC this weekend.
(The Titans, Browns, and raiders can all win a tie with the Steelers if any or all wind up at 8-8 with the Steelers ... and Dios con Mio, how awesome would a four way tie at 8-8 that would likely come down to Strength of Victory be? It's just a shame the Colts were eliminated last night, to preclude a five way possibility at 8-8.)
So imagine this, Chiefs fans: the Ravens fall to a still alive Browns team in Cleveland, and then the Steelers rise up and beat them in the finale, to clinch the six seed for the Terrible Towels. (I believe, if the Steelers get to nine wins, they're in, unless Tennessee gets to ten. I believe both Pittsburgh and Tennessee at nine, gives the Steelers the bid. But it's pushing 8pm on a "typical Tuesday" in the Casa de Stevo, which means I'm on bottle number two of the pinot grigio, so I can't claim to be cor ... corr ... correc ... possibly not wrong.)
So, follow me. The Ravens lose their last two, to two desperate teams fighting for the right to get annihilated in the wild card round. The Patriots lose to the Bills on Saturday. And the Chiefs beat the Bears (eliminated) and Chargers (eliminated) to close the season.
In that scenario? The Chiefs not only get a bye ... they get home field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs! You gotta believe kids! Believe in a Chrismukkah miracle!
* Root For: Browns. As a side note, this is the game we get on Channel 5 at noon. Good job, KCTV!
* Third Biggest Game: Saints at Titans (Sunday, noon CT, FOX). This is our noon FOX game here in KC, and circle me happy about that. Because if there is one team I want no part of in January, it is your Tennessee Titans. I want no part of that franchise. They own us.
As noted a few weeks ago, the Titans loss cost us a wild card in 2014, the Titans loss cost us home field advantage in 2016, we lost to the Titans in the 2017 playoffs, and I still am in denial over what I witnessed a month ago in Music City. (The only win against the Titans in the "Fat" Andy era? Was the day my dad dropped dead twice in an hour, and was under for four days. NOTHING good happens when the Titans are involved, for the Red and Gold.)
The Titans cannot be eliminated no matter what happens, but they're in a similar position to the Chiefs, in that they'll know if they're alive for the division, or playing for a wild card,or even still alive for a bye, by the time they kick off, since the Texans play Saturday afternoon, and a Houston win ends the AFC South race in favor of the Moo Cows.
Conversely, the Saints are still very much alive for a bye in the NFC, and still have an outside shot at home field advantage (although they'll need help from your "Super" Cardinals and Rams, this weekend, to still have said outside shot). If any team needs home field, I'd argue it's the Saints. They're a far different team in the Dome, than they are on the road.
(Then again, they blew out the Seahawks in Seattle, without Drew Brees, and somehow collapsed against the 49ers in said Dome two weeks ago ... so I may just be talking out of my ass here.)
* Root For: Saints. A no-brainer really. And considering I'm often accused of lacking any credible form of mental capacity, this interest is truly is a no-brainer.
* Other Rooting Interests.
* Texans at Bucs (Saturday, noon CT, NFLN). Bucs. Keep the AFC South alive for one more week. Plus, a Houston loss coupled with a Chiefs win ensures we won't be welcoming the Bills to Arrowhead for a wild card game. That would not suck. That Bills defense be scary.
* Steelers at Jets (Sunday, noon CT, CBS). Jets. Abject chaos for the six seed, folks. Root for abject f*cking chaos.
* raiders at "Super" Chargers (Sunday, 3:05pm CT, CBS). "Super" Chargers. It's all about screwing draft position for these two teams. The raiders have six wins; the "Super" Chargers have five. Considering both teams figure to be looking for a quarterback in April, root for them to finish as high in the standings as possible, so that they have to expend draft capital to move into the top six or seven to get their dude.
* Lions at those people (Sunday, 3:05pm CT, CBS). those people. Yes, I know, I hate that team so much I won't even refer to them by name. But here's hoping they close with at least one more win, to go from top ten to somewhere around fifteen in the draft.
* Bengals at Dolphins (Sunday, noon CT, CBS). Bengals, I guess. Both teams are in the quarterback market this offseason. Although neither will probably have to expend extra picks, to get who they want.
I'm working on a recap of the Snow Game from Sunday; I hope to have that up next. Because God bless it, was that fun on Sunday. So f*cking fun!
(Or, as the current working title reads: "Chiefs! those people! Where Stevo accidentally texts his mom "this is so f*cking cool!" happens ...")
Glory to the Newborn King!
Peace on earth, and mercy mild;
God and sinners? Reconciled.
Joyful all ye nations rise!
Join the triumph of the skies!
With angelic hosts proclaim?
Christ is born! In Bethlehem!
Hark! The herald angels sing!
Glory to the Newborn King! ...
-- "Hark! The Herald Angels Sing!".
--------------------
It's hard to believe there's only two weeks left until the postseason begins. The Chiefs are comfortably in the (hootie johnson voice) toonumunt; the only question now is whether they can steal a bye, or are destined to play on my 43rd birthday weekend.
(Note: I'm rooting for the former ... although the latter wouldn't suck. Well, other than the whole "turning 43" part. But hey -- my brother just turned 40, and my mom is about to turn 70. It could be worse! (Pause). What? (Pause). Well, yes! I am fully aware the Chiefs were shut out on my 16th birthday, lost the most painful defeat of my existence on my 21st, whizzed away the Immaculate Fourfecta on my 30th, authored the second greatest collapse in postseason history on my 37th, and ultimately fell one game short of possible greatness on my 39th. Other than that, yo -- being a Chiefs fan is f*cking awesome!)
Anyways, let's move on, shall we?
Here are your AFC standings as of this fine Tuesday afternoon:
(*: the Texans should have tiebreaker over the Titans, not themselves. My apologies.)
And here are your games of importance, with your Chiefs Rooting Interests:
* Biggest Game: Bills at Patriots (Saturday, 3:30pm CT, NFLN). Thanks to the ridiculous p*ssing match between DirecTV Now (or AT&T Now, or whatever the hell that shady ass corporation feels like naming itself today) and the NFL Network, I'll have to find a bar to watch this one.
Which is fine; I live in Waldo for a reason, for crying out loud, and it isn't the affordability of the housing, or the convenience of the location. (Pause). Well, ok, that last one is true, but definitely not the former.
Realistically, this is probably the Chiefs best chance to steal the bye. And in fact, the Chiefs will know exactly where they stand at kickoff Sunday night, because they are the last AFC team to, uuh, kick off in Week Sixteen. (The Monday Nighter is Packers at Vikings, which should be phenomenal.)
We'll know by kickoff if the Browns can upset the Ravens for the second time (more on this below), if the Texans can clinch the AFC South and all but eliminate the Titans (more on this below), and if the Bills can do what the Chiefs just did two weeks ago: go into Foxboro and dominate an inferior opponent, like good teams do.
* Root For: Bills. Again, this is the most realistic option to obtain a bye: the Bills storm into Foxboro and spring the upset, while the Chiefs win out. However ...
... there is one still semi-plausible, dare to dream it, almost bat sh*t crazy enough to possibly be realistic, back door scenario that would completely throw the AFC bracket into abject chaos ...
* Second Biggest Game: Ravens at Browns (Sunday, noon CT, CBS). And that is if the Browns -- who are still (barely) credibly alive in the battle for the six seed -- can hold serve at home and upset the Ravens. (The Browns already won in Week Four in Crab Cake City, 40-25.)
The Ravens close with the Steelers at home, and the Steelers cannot clinch a playoff berth this weekend, even with a win at the Jets. They will be in must-win mode in Week Seventeen, no matter what happens on Sunday at the Fake Meadowlands, or what happens elsewhere in the AFC this weekend.
(The Titans, Browns, and raiders can all win a tie with the Steelers if any or all wind up at 8-8 with the Steelers ... and Dios con Mio, how awesome would a four way tie at 8-8 that would likely come down to Strength of Victory be? It's just a shame the Colts were eliminated last night, to preclude a five way possibility at 8-8.)
So imagine this, Chiefs fans: the Ravens fall to a still alive Browns team in Cleveland, and then the Steelers rise up and beat them in the finale, to clinch the six seed for the Terrible Towels. (I believe, if the Steelers get to nine wins, they're in, unless Tennessee gets to ten. I believe both Pittsburgh and Tennessee at nine, gives the Steelers the bid. But it's pushing 8pm on a "typical Tuesday" in the Casa de Stevo, which means I'm on bottle number two of the pinot grigio, so I can't claim to be cor ... corr ... correc ... possibly not wrong.)
So, follow me. The Ravens lose their last two, to two desperate teams fighting for the right to get annihilated in the wild card round. The Patriots lose to the Bills on Saturday. And the Chiefs beat the Bears (eliminated) and Chargers (eliminated) to close the season.
In that scenario? The Chiefs not only get a bye ... they get home field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs! You gotta believe kids! Believe in a Chrismukkah miracle!
* Root For: Browns. As a side note, this is the game we get on Channel 5 at noon. Good job, KCTV!
* Third Biggest Game: Saints at Titans (Sunday, noon CT, FOX). This is our noon FOX game here in KC, and circle me happy about that. Because if there is one team I want no part of in January, it is your Tennessee Titans. I want no part of that franchise. They own us.
As noted a few weeks ago, the Titans loss cost us a wild card in 2014, the Titans loss cost us home field advantage in 2016, we lost to the Titans in the 2017 playoffs, and I still am in denial over what I witnessed a month ago in Music City. (The only win against the Titans in the "Fat" Andy era? Was the day my dad dropped dead twice in an hour, and was under for four days. NOTHING good happens when the Titans are involved, for the Red and Gold.)
The Titans cannot be eliminated no matter what happens, but they're in a similar position to the Chiefs, in that they'll know if they're alive for the division, or playing for a wild card,
Conversely, the Saints are still very much alive for a bye in the NFC, and still have an outside shot at home field advantage (although they'll need help from your "Super" Cardinals and Rams, this weekend, to still have said outside shot). If any team needs home field, I'd argue it's the Saints. They're a far different team in the Dome, than they are on the road.
(Then again, they blew out the Seahawks in Seattle, without Drew Brees, and somehow collapsed against the 49ers in said Dome two weeks ago ... so I may just be talking out of my ass here.)
* Root For: Saints. A no-brainer really. And considering I'm often accused of lacking any credible form of mental capacity, this interest is truly is a no-brainer.
* Other Rooting Interests.
* Texans at Bucs (Saturday, noon CT, NFLN). Bucs. Keep the AFC South alive for one more week. Plus, a Houston loss coupled with a Chiefs win ensures we won't be welcoming the Bills to Arrowhead for a wild card game. That would not suck. That Bills defense be scary.
* Steelers at Jets (Sunday, noon CT, CBS). Jets. Abject chaos for the six seed, folks. Root for abject f*cking chaos.
* raiders at "Super" Chargers (Sunday, 3:05pm CT, CBS). "Super" Chargers. It's all about screwing draft position for these two teams. The raiders have six wins; the "Super" Chargers have five. Considering both teams figure to be looking for a quarterback in April, root for them to finish as high in the standings as possible, so that they have to expend draft capital to move into the top six or seven to get their dude.
* Lions at those people (Sunday, 3:05pm CT, CBS). those people. Yes, I know, I hate that team so much I won't even refer to them by name. But here's hoping they close with at least one more win, to go from top ten to somewhere around fifteen in the draft.
* Bengals at Dolphins (Sunday, noon CT, CBS). Bengals, I guess. Both teams are in the quarterback market this offseason. Although neither will probably have to expend extra picks, to get who they want.
I'm working on a recap of the Snow Game from Sunday; I hope to have that up next. Because God bless it, was that fun on Sunday. So f*cking fun!
(Or, as the current working title reads: "Chiefs! those people! Where Stevo accidentally texts his mom "this is so f*cking cool!" happens ...")
Saturday, December 14, 2019
week fifteen: the day i live for ...
"Someday at Christmas?
Men won't be boys.
Playing with bombs,
Like kids play with toys.
One warm December?
Our hearts will see?
A world
Where men are free!
Someday at Christmas?
There'll be no wars!
When we have learned
What Christmas is for?
When we have found
What life's really worth?
There'll be
Peace on earth!
Someday all our dreams
Will come to be!
Someday in a world
Where men are free!
Maybe not in time
For you and me.
But someday?
At Christmas Time! ..."
-- "Someday at Christmas" by Stevie Wonder. My favorite non-religious Chrismukkah song. ("the artist formerly known as the champ" voice) Deal with it!
--------------------
The Statisticals.
(Note: no Week Ten picks were submitted due to real-life issues that trumped posting them.)
Last Week SU: 8-8-0.
Season to Date SU: 114-80-1.
Last Week ATS: 7-7-2.
Season to Date ATS: 105-87-3.
Last Week Upset / Week: at least "Sur" William fought before, uuh, "sur"rendering.
Season to Date Upset / Week SU: 7-8-0.
Season to Date Upset / Week ATS: 9-6-0.
This Week Upset / Week: Bears (+4 1/2) over Packers.
--------------------
The Non-Chiefs Picks.
* My Thursday Night pick was at Ravens 23, Jets (+16 1/2) 20 (OT). Whoops.
* Bucs (-3 1/2) 41, at Lions 13. Wayne "Rasputin" Fontes was fired for fewer crimes against football humanity than Matt Patricia has committed. Hell, Jim "Corpse" Caldwell was fired for fewer crimes against football humanity, than Matt Patricia has (allegedly) committed against, uuh, actual humanity!
And please, spare me the "well, you can't fire Matt Patricia because he's "changing the culture" in Detroit" bullsh*t lie. Yes, he's changing the culture in Detroit -- they've gone from annual wild card contender / playoff team, to the joke of the division, almost overnight.
That, and anytime you hear someone say "we're committed to this guy because he's changing our culture", remember -- that same bullsh*t lie was said regarding Scott Pioli and Coach Asshat, ten years ago. I think "Fat" Andy has proved -- twice! -- that you can change the culture of a franchise literally overnight, without having to sink to 3-10-1, L7, to do it.
* Eagles 26, at Redskins (+4 1/2) 23. (dierks bentley voice) Am I the only one rooting for 13-3 San Francisco at 6-9-1 Dallas to open the playoffs? I'm not? (robert wagner voice) Wonderful.
* Bears (+4 1/2) 27, at Packers 17. The rumor has surfaced that if the Bears lose, then Chiefs at Bears gets flexed out of next Sunday night, and back to a more (temperature) tolerable noon kickoff. Considering I really want to go to this game ... that means the Bears will win, and win handily. (Pause). Then again, there's worse places to watch the Chiefs in prime time than at McFadden's on their dime.
* Patriots 24, at Bengals (+9) 23. I actually think Cincinnati is going to win outright. I just lack the manhood and maturity to pull the trigger on the pick.
* at Titans (-3) 38, Texans 31. The loser still controls its' own destiny in the AFC South, but is likely done for the wild card. The winner still controls its' own destiny in the AFC South, but is in decent wild card shape. I've said it before, and I'll say it again: I love playoff chaos that doesn't involve my team.
* Seahawks (-6) 31, at Panthers 20. I got nothing.
* Dolphins (+3 1/2) 27, at Giants 13. I don't care how bad the opposition is, the New York Football Giants should not be favored over anyone. Up to and including Kansas or Rutgers. Also, if this isn't the "Good Times Game O' The Season", I cringe to see what could possibly be worse! (stevo looking at Week Sixteen Schedule.) (peter griffin voice) OH CRAP!
* at raiders (-6 1/2) 31, Jaguars 13. The final NFL game at the Oakland Alameda County Coliseum. The Real Black Hole. I despise the raiders (albeit not nearly as much as I hate those people), but this just seems wrong. The las vegas raiders just doesn't sound right. At all.
* Browns (-2 1/2) 24, at "Super" Cardinals 21. Few coaches are better at losing to inferior or even-matched opponents at home, than Kliff Kingsbury. He's like the master of it. (cue every texas tech fan nodding their heads in agreement.) Also, since I rarely get to crack on Tech anymore -- one of my favorite t-shirts I've ever owned, from when I was in college (george harrison voice) all those years ago. "Texas! A&M! United by Hate ... And the Fact that Tech Isn't a Real School!"
* Vikings (-2 1/2) 31, at "Super" Chargers 3. How awesome was it to see that ref last week tell phyllis rivers to "get the f*ck outta here!" I've been saying those same five words every time we've faced that deuschebag for the last fourteen years!
* at 49ers (-11) 38, "Shane" Falcons 17. Maybe the "Shane" Falcons should give, uuh, Shane Falco a call. Even a fifty something year old Keanu Reeves character cleaning barnacles off the bottom of his "house", can't be worse than Matt Ryan at this point.
* at Cowboys (+1 1/2) 16, Rams 14. Remember, come January 4th or 5th, that twice in the modern playoff era (1990 onward), twice a team has made the playoffs with a losing record. (Your 2010 Seahawks, your 2014 Panthers).
Both teams with said losing record? Won their opener.
* Bills (+2) 20, at Steelers 17. The wrong team is favored.
* at Saints (-9) 45, Colts 10. To be fair, this looked like one intriguing inter-conference matchup five weeks ago. Now? Not so much.
--------------------
The "Klassy" Kevin Kietzman Tweet O' The Week.
I'll let Kaptain Khaki off this week. (Pause). What? (Pause). No! I said "let him off", not "get him off"! What the hell do I look like, a kollege kid interning at "K"KK's former kompany?
--------------------
The Watching Party Plans.
There are no The Watching Party Plans, as this is a Chiefs game I will be in attendance for.
--------------------
The Tailgating Plans.
The Bus leaves at 5am. Jersey Bob and Cousin Chase are coming in for this one, which should make for an entertaining day (and evening, and following morning) of fun and festivities.
The menu (as always for those people) is bronco burgers, plus hot fries. I believe some smoked baked beans, assorted potato dishes, and other assorted side items will be available.
Also, after last week, I think we've worked out the kinks on how to maximize our spot with the Mahomies folks. Should be much better than last week. (Although to be fair, we've only had to haul tents out twice in the three years we've been there with Mahomies, so we were kind of pulling it out of our asses last week.)
As always, anyone and everyone who desires to swing by and join is, is welcome to do so. Same spot as always -- the grassy knoll north of the G30 sign.
However, be warned -- this is "The Day I Live For". There is nothing in life I hate more than the "talent" on those people's roster, other than their fans.
(I have Monday off. I've spent time in worse prisons in our fine metropolitan area than Chiefs Jail. (Trust me: Jackson County is even worse than The Star is making it out to be. It's much worse, in all honesty.))
If you intend to root for those people, you might be best advised to keep your distance from me. I won't be pleasant to deal with, if you're in satan's squad colors. Especially if you're wearing the antichrist's number seven.
--------------------
Stevo Neighborhood Update.
The water main fixes have officially graduated from "very delayed", passed "beyond annoying", and have reached "f*cking ridiculous" status. (They did not collect $200 for passing "Go", on that journey, however.)
It's bad enough 75th Street is reduced to one direction from Ward Parkway to Summit. It's even worse that Ward Parkway is down to one lane during the day (and two at night) from 77th to pushing Gregory. It's about to become a nightmare, as the pipes are laid out at 79th and Ward Parkway ... to build off the fact that the 81st Street throughway is now closed too!
So to get home this week, I've had to take side streets to avoid Southwest Trafficway (since southbound is closed at 45th Street for some reason), then deal with a ridiculous merge-in at 79th Street, and go four blocks out of my way, to cut across 84th Street to get home. Which would be fine, except everyone else who lives in in my neighborhood, has to do the same thing. Throw in the Price Chopper and HyVee remodels that are underway, and navigating my neighborhood is something I wouldn't wish on my worst enemy.
I know, I know -- third world problems. But I swear, two more weeks of this crap, and we're gonna find out just how good of an off-road vehicle New Tito is. Seriously, KCMO Works Department -- how f*cking hard is it to replace a water main? We're in month four of a six week project! Good grief.
--------------------
Stevo Drink O' The Week.
There's only one appropriate choice for this week's libation, given the opposition.
Fireball and Rumchata.
Or, as it's more formally known as: Demon Semen.
Feel free to swing by and enjoy a shot or two of that fine cocktail, on Sunday.
--------------------
The Flashback.
Or, as it's better known in my group, our first "Tailgaters Of The Game" victory.
--------------------
"Disreputable" Mexican Food Truck Update.
So, beginning Monday, the parking garage at "current employer" officially closes, and all of us have to park across the street at Penn Valley.
Personally, I could care less. I managed to get a blue reserved pass, so I get to park underground, and that's all I cared about.
But since "current employer"'s parking garage, uuh, parking, was based on seniority, you'd have thought closing a collapsing building deemed unsafe by KCMO inspectors months ago, was something akin to World War III.
God forbid you have to walk an extra 500 feet a day, older people. It might actually wind up being good for you!
Also, I fear my beloved "disreputable" food truck ain't never coming back ...
--------------------
The Chiefs Pontification and Prognostication.
Predicting the Chiefs This Season:
* Straight Up: 8-5-0 (L at Jaguars, W at raiders, W vs Ravens, W at Lions, L vs Colts, L vs Texans, W at those people, L vs Packers, W vs Vikings, L at Titans, W at "Super" Chargers, W vs raiders, W at Patriots.)
* Against the Spread: 7-6-0 (L at Jaguars, W at raiders, W vs Ravens, L at Lions, L vs Colts, L vs Texans, W at those people, L vs Packers, W vs Vikings, L at Titans, W at "Super" Chargers, W vs raiders, W at Patriots.)
--------------------
The last time I missed a home game against "those people", I was a senior in college. I can still remember the exact date: Monday, November 16, 1998.
The date sticks with me, because exactly one year earlier, on Sunday, November 16, 1997, the Chiefs defeated those people 24-22 on "Pete for President"'s 54 yard field goal as time expired. The kick moved the 7-3 Chiefs to 8-3, within a game of the 9-2 those people, and gave every Chiefs fan hope that we could still steal the division and home field advantage away in the final month of the season.
(Note: both things happened. And then -- because God hates me -- this happened next, on my 21st birthday.)
Now, exactly one year later, the Chiefs entered that Monday Night matchup at 4-5, L4 ... and those people entered at 9-0. A year earlier, NBC sideline reporter Jim Gray asked Pete Stoyanovich if his kick saved the Chiefs season. Now, a year later, the Chiefs season needed something to be saved.
Alas, it was not to be that night. The those people backup QB bubby brister bootlegged a forty yard touchdown on the opening drive, and by the time the debacle was over, Wayne Simmons had been cut, Derrick Thomas had been suspended, Marty had contemplated quitting in the postgame presser, and the Chiefs had lost 7-30 in a game that should have been 7-70, and is now known in the annals of Chiefs history as "The Monday Night Meltdown".
I remember that night so clearly, because this (at the time) hot as hell 21 year old was so confident the Chiefs would somehow, some way, right the ship, that I took "Tony Gonzalez" and Mike to the Hooters on Collins in Arlington, to watch the game.
That Hooters on Collins, in Arlington, to this day?
Is the those people official watching party joint.
Let's just say, it didn't go well for the only three Chiefs fans in the house ... two of whom, I had to bribe, to join me.
--------------------
Last year, I feared my streak of making every those people game since I moved back to Kansas City, would come to an end.
My cousin scheduled his wedding for the last weekend in October, in lovely San Antonio. (Technically New Braunsfeld, but whatever.) The wedding was scheduled long before the NFL released the 2018 schedule. Surely, I thought, surely -- the odds of the only game I refuse to miss, being scheduled for that weekend, had to be so slim and none, you'd have thought we were discussing KU Football's odds of making a bowl game.
The lesson? As always, I'm a moron.
I stayed up all night that Saturday night, before catching an Uber at 3:30am from the hotel I was staying at, to make the airport for a 5am flight. The schedule called for a 5am flight to Houston, then a flight to KCI that should have landed a little after 8am.
I landed a little after 10am.
I lucked into one of the greatest Uber drivers ever, who somehow not only was dropping off a passenger at Terminal C as I was seeking a ride ... but managed to get me to Gate Six by 10:40. (Note: to go from landing at 10am, to Gate Six at Arrowhead, in under forty minutes, is really damned impressive. It should have taken 90 minutes, minimum.)
I handed him a $20 as a tip, wished him luck getting out of the traffic jam, and managed to make my seat a little bit before kickoff.
The Chiefs won by seven, in a game they did their best to lose. (We only led 30-23 at the two minute warning, which wound up being the final.)
--------------------
And so, here we are, come tomorrow, my twenty first consecutive appearance for "The Day I Live For".
There have been some highs -- 2008 * (Part One, Part Two, Part Three). 2006 (The Flashback above). 2016 (Dontari Poe!) 2005 (The Stand!) 2010 (mcdaniels fired after the game!)
And there have been some lows -- 2002 ** . 2009 (the single worst play call in franchise history). 2015 (so awful no game recap itself was needed, to note the awfulness).
And yet, I think it's safe to say, Sunday might see something, we rarely if ever see at Arrowhead.
A confused fanbase.
--------------------
(*: it never fails to amaze, amuse, and disgust me, how the introduction of the only fan of "those people" I've ever felt affection for, into my life not even 72 hours after that game, has impacted my life -- both good, bad, and indifferent -- every day since her introduction the Wednesday after that game. It's crazy sometimes, how something can be injected into your life, when you least see it coming -- again, good (at first), bad (for a solid few years), and indifferent (the last few years).)
(**: this was the defeat when I was so p*ssed, that when I got home, I grabbed a handle of vodka out of the freezer, locked myself in my bedroom, and called in sick the next three days. Hey, you blow a two touchdown lead to your most hated team with 2:23 to play, then lose in overtime on a blocked punt, and tell me how you'd react?)
--------------------
So drew lock will make his Arrowhead debut as a pro on Sunday.
The local kid -- Lee's Summit, Mizzou -- starting opposite the team his family has supported his entire life.
I feel for the kid -- truly, I do. He clearly has a bigger pair than me -- there's no way in hell I'd ever report to those people. I'd rather jump off the Bond Bridge and take my chances with the (not yet) frozen river below, than wear those people's jersey, let alone accept a paycheck from them.
But Sunday, there are going to be people cheering for mr. lock inside that stadium. And I get it. (lionel richie voice *** ) Truly, I do.
Only ... there's only one thing I'm cheering for, come Sunday.
--------------------
(***: it's not my favorite by "the greatest bard since Billy Shakespeare" ... but it's by far and away, the best song he ever wrote. Sweet Jesus, it's an epic masterpiece. What I wouldn't give to meet a chica who makes me feel the words of "Truly".)
--------------------
And that is to Ryan Leaf his career:
* at Chiefs (-10) 23, those people 7.
Hope to see y'all out there ... in the cold ... in the snow ... in weather that yet again makes me ask, why the hell I ever moved back here to KC, when I could be watching this game in fifty plus degree Arlington, Texas, the way I was twenty one years ago, when this streak of appearances began ...
Men won't be boys.
Playing with bombs,
Like kids play with toys.
One warm December?
Our hearts will see?
A world
Where men are free!
Someday at Christmas?
There'll be no wars!
When we have learned
What Christmas is for?
When we have found
What life's really worth?
There'll be
Peace on earth!
Someday all our dreams
Will come to be!
Someday in a world
Where men are free!
Maybe not in time
For you and me.
But someday?
At Christmas Time! ..."
-- "Someday at Christmas" by Stevie Wonder. My favorite non-religious Chrismukkah song. ("the artist formerly known as the champ" voice) Deal with it!
--------------------
The Statisticals.
(Note: no Week Ten picks were submitted due to real-life issues that trumped posting them.)
Last Week SU: 8-8-0.
Season to Date SU: 114-80-1.
Last Week ATS: 7-7-2.
Season to Date ATS: 105-87-3.
Last Week Upset / Week: at least "Sur" William fought before, uuh, "sur"rendering.
Season to Date Upset / Week SU: 7-8-0.
Season to Date Upset / Week ATS: 9-6-0.
This Week Upset / Week: Bears (+4 1/2) over Packers.
--------------------
The Non-Chiefs Picks.
* My Thursday Night pick was at Ravens 23, Jets (+16 1/2) 20 (OT). Whoops.
* Bucs (-3 1/2) 41, at Lions 13. Wayne "Rasputin" Fontes was fired for fewer crimes against football humanity than Matt Patricia has committed. Hell, Jim "Corpse" Caldwell was fired for fewer crimes against football humanity, than Matt Patricia has (allegedly) committed against, uuh, actual humanity!
And please, spare me the "well, you can't fire Matt Patricia because he's "changing the culture" in Detroit" bullsh*t lie. Yes, he's changing the culture in Detroit -- they've gone from annual wild card contender / playoff team, to the joke of the division, almost overnight.
That, and anytime you hear someone say "we're committed to this guy because he's changing our culture", remember -- that same bullsh*t lie was said regarding Scott Pioli and Coach Asshat, ten years ago. I think "Fat" Andy has proved -- twice! -- that you can change the culture of a franchise literally overnight, without having to sink to 3-10-1, L7, to do it.
* Eagles 26, at Redskins (+4 1/2) 23. (dierks bentley voice) Am I the only one rooting for 13-3 San Francisco at 6-9-1 Dallas to open the playoffs? I'm not? (robert wagner voice) Wonderful.
* Bears (+4 1/2) 27, at Packers 17. The rumor has surfaced that if the Bears lose, then Chiefs at Bears gets flexed out of next Sunday night, and back to a more (temperature) tolerable noon kickoff. Considering I really want to go to this game ... that means the Bears will win, and win handily. (Pause). Then again, there's worse places to watch the Chiefs in prime time than at McFadden's on their dime.
* Patriots 24, at Bengals (+9) 23. I actually think Cincinnati is going to win outright. I just lack the manhood and maturity to pull the trigger on the pick.
* at Titans (-3) 38, Texans 31. The loser still controls its' own destiny in the AFC South, but is likely done for the wild card. The winner still controls its' own destiny in the AFC South, but is in decent wild card shape. I've said it before, and I'll say it again: I love playoff chaos that doesn't involve my team.
* Seahawks (-6) 31, at Panthers 20. I got nothing.
* Dolphins (+3 1/2) 27, at Giants 13. I don't care how bad the opposition is, the New York Football Giants should not be favored over anyone. Up to and including Kansas or Rutgers. Also, if this isn't the "Good Times Game O' The Season", I cringe to see what could possibly be worse! (stevo looking at Week Sixteen Schedule.) (peter griffin voice) OH CRAP!
* at raiders (-6 1/2) 31, Jaguars 13. The final NFL game at the Oakland Alameda County Coliseum. The Real Black Hole. I despise the raiders (albeit not nearly as much as I hate those people), but this just seems wrong. The las vegas raiders just doesn't sound right. At all.
* Browns (-2 1/2) 24, at "Super" Cardinals 21. Few coaches are better at losing to inferior or even-matched opponents at home, than Kliff Kingsbury. He's like the master of it. (cue every texas tech fan nodding their heads in agreement.) Also, since I rarely get to crack on Tech anymore -- one of my favorite t-shirts I've ever owned, from when I was in college (george harrison voice) all those years ago. "Texas! A&M! United by Hate ... And the Fact that Tech Isn't a Real School!"
* Vikings (-2 1/2) 31, at "Super" Chargers 3. How awesome was it to see that ref last week tell phyllis rivers to "get the f*ck outta here!" I've been saying those same five words every time we've faced that deuschebag for the last fourteen years!
* at 49ers (-11) 38, "Shane" Falcons 17. Maybe the "Shane" Falcons should give, uuh, Shane Falco a call. Even a fifty something year old Keanu Reeves character cleaning barnacles off the bottom of his "house", can't be worse than Matt Ryan at this point.
* at Cowboys (+1 1/2) 16, Rams 14. Remember, come January 4th or 5th, that twice in the modern playoff era (1990 onward), twice a team has made the playoffs with a losing record. (Your 2010 Seahawks, your 2014 Panthers).
Both teams with said losing record? Won their opener.
* Bills (+2) 20, at Steelers 17. The wrong team is favored.
* at Saints (-9) 45, Colts 10. To be fair, this looked like one intriguing inter-conference matchup five weeks ago. Now? Not so much.
--------------------
The "Klassy" Kevin Kietzman Tweet O' The Week.
I'll let Kaptain Khaki off this week. (Pause). What? (Pause). No! I said "let him off", not "get him off"! What the hell do I look like, a kollege kid interning at "K"KK's former kompany?
--------------------
The Watching Party Plans.
There are no The Watching Party Plans, as this is a Chiefs game I will be in attendance for.
--------------------
The Tailgating Plans.
The Bus leaves at 5am. Jersey Bob and Cousin Chase are coming in for this one, which should make for an entertaining day (and evening, and following morning) of fun and festivities.
The menu (as always for those people) is bronco burgers, plus hot fries. I believe some smoked baked beans, assorted potato dishes, and other assorted side items will be available.
Also, after last week, I think we've worked out the kinks on how to maximize our spot with the Mahomies folks. Should be much better than last week. (Although to be fair, we've only had to haul tents out twice in the three years we've been there with Mahomies, so we were kind of pulling it out of our asses last week.)
As always, anyone and everyone who desires to swing by and join is, is welcome to do so. Same spot as always -- the grassy knoll north of the G30 sign.
However, be warned -- this is "The Day I Live For". There is nothing in life I hate more than the "talent" on those people's roster, other than their fans.
(I have Monday off. I've spent time in worse prisons in our fine metropolitan area than Chiefs Jail. (Trust me: Jackson County is even worse than The Star is making it out to be. It's much worse, in all honesty.))
If you intend to root for those people, you might be best advised to keep your distance from me. I won't be pleasant to deal with, if you're in satan's squad colors. Especially if you're wearing the antichrist's number seven.
--------------------
Stevo Neighborhood Update.
The water main fixes have officially graduated from "very delayed", passed "beyond annoying", and have reached "f*cking ridiculous" status. (They did not collect $200 for passing "Go", on that journey, however.)
It's bad enough 75th Street is reduced to one direction from Ward Parkway to Summit. It's even worse that Ward Parkway is down to one lane during the day (and two at night) from 77th to pushing Gregory. It's about to become a nightmare, as the pipes are laid out at 79th and Ward Parkway ... to build off the fact that the 81st Street throughway is now closed too!
So to get home this week, I've had to take side streets to avoid Southwest Trafficway (since southbound is closed at 45th Street for some reason), then deal with a ridiculous merge-in at 79th Street, and go four blocks out of my way, to cut across 84th Street to get home. Which would be fine, except everyone else who lives in in my neighborhood, has to do the same thing. Throw in the Price Chopper and HyVee remodels that are underway, and navigating my neighborhood is something I wouldn't wish on my worst enemy.
I know, I know -- third world problems. But I swear, two more weeks of this crap, and we're gonna find out just how good of an off-road vehicle New Tito is. Seriously, KCMO Works Department -- how f*cking hard is it to replace a water main? We're in month four of a six week project! Good grief.
--------------------
Stevo Drink O' The Week.
There's only one appropriate choice for this week's libation, given the opposition.
Fireball and Rumchata.
Or, as it's more formally known as: Demon Semen.
Feel free to swing by and enjoy a shot or two of that fine cocktail, on Sunday.
--------------------
The Flashback.
Or, as it's better known in my group, our first "Tailgaters Of The Game" victory.
--------------------
"Disreputable" Mexican Food Truck Update.
So, beginning Monday, the parking garage at "current employer" officially closes, and all of us have to park across the street at Penn Valley.
Personally, I could care less. I managed to get a blue reserved pass, so I get to park underground, and that's all I cared about.
But since "current employer"'s parking garage, uuh, parking, was based on seniority, you'd have thought closing a collapsing building deemed unsafe by KCMO inspectors months ago, was something akin to World War III.
God forbid you have to walk an extra 500 feet a day, older people. It might actually wind up being good for you!
Also, I fear my beloved "disreputable" food truck ain't never coming back ...
--------------------
The Chiefs Pontification and Prognostication.
Predicting the Chiefs This Season:
* Straight Up: 8-5-0 (L at Jaguars, W at raiders, W vs Ravens, W at Lions, L vs Colts, L vs Texans, W at those people, L vs Packers, W vs Vikings, L at Titans, W at "Super" Chargers, W vs raiders, W at Patriots.)
* Against the Spread: 7-6-0 (L at Jaguars, W at raiders, W vs Ravens, L at Lions, L vs Colts, L vs Texans, W at those people, L vs Packers, W vs Vikings, L at Titans, W at "Super" Chargers, W vs raiders, W at Patriots.)
--------------------
The last time I missed a home game against "those people", I was a senior in college. I can still remember the exact date: Monday, November 16, 1998.
The date sticks with me, because exactly one year earlier, on Sunday, November 16, 1997, the Chiefs defeated those people 24-22 on "Pete for President"'s 54 yard field goal as time expired. The kick moved the 7-3 Chiefs to 8-3, within a game of the 9-2 those people, and gave every Chiefs fan hope that we could still steal the division and home field advantage away in the final month of the season.
(Note: both things happened. And then -- because God hates me -- this happened next, on my 21st birthday.)
Now, exactly one year later, the Chiefs entered that Monday Night matchup at 4-5, L4 ... and those people entered at 9-0. A year earlier, NBC sideline reporter Jim Gray asked Pete Stoyanovich if his kick saved the Chiefs season. Now, a year later, the Chiefs season needed something to be saved.
Alas, it was not to be that night. The those people backup QB bubby brister bootlegged a forty yard touchdown on the opening drive, and by the time the debacle was over, Wayne Simmons had been cut, Derrick Thomas had been suspended, Marty had contemplated quitting in the postgame presser, and the Chiefs had lost 7-30 in a game that should have been 7-70, and is now known in the annals of Chiefs history as "The Monday Night Meltdown".
I remember that night so clearly, because this (at the time) hot as hell 21 year old was so confident the Chiefs would somehow, some way, right the ship, that I took "Tony Gonzalez" and Mike to the Hooters on Collins in Arlington, to watch the game.
That Hooters on Collins, in Arlington, to this day?
Is the those people official watching party joint.
Let's just say, it didn't go well for the only three Chiefs fans in the house ... two of whom, I had to bribe, to join me.
--------------------
Last year, I feared my streak of making every those people game since I moved back to Kansas City, would come to an end.
My cousin scheduled his wedding for the last weekend in October, in lovely San Antonio. (Technically New Braunsfeld, but whatever.) The wedding was scheduled long before the NFL released the 2018 schedule. Surely, I thought, surely -- the odds of the only game I refuse to miss, being scheduled for that weekend, had to be so slim and none, you'd have thought we were discussing KU Football's odds of making a bowl game.
The lesson? As always, I'm a moron.
I stayed up all night that Saturday night, before catching an Uber at 3:30am from the hotel I was staying at, to make the airport for a 5am flight. The schedule called for a 5am flight to Houston, then a flight to KCI that should have landed a little after 8am.
I landed a little after 10am.
I lucked into one of the greatest Uber drivers ever, who somehow not only was dropping off a passenger at Terminal C as I was seeking a ride ... but managed to get me to Gate Six by 10:40. (Note: to go from landing at 10am, to Gate Six at Arrowhead, in under forty minutes, is really damned impressive. It should have taken 90 minutes, minimum.)
I handed him a $20 as a tip, wished him luck getting out of the traffic jam, and managed to make my seat a little bit before kickoff.
The Chiefs won by seven, in a game they did their best to lose. (We only led 30-23 at the two minute warning, which wound up being the final.)
--------------------
And so, here we are, come tomorrow, my twenty first consecutive appearance for "The Day I Live For".
There have been some highs -- 2008 * (Part One, Part Two, Part Three). 2006 (The Flashback above). 2016 (Dontari Poe!) 2005 (The Stand!) 2010 (mcdaniels fired after the game!)
And there have been some lows -- 2002 ** . 2009 (the single worst play call in franchise history). 2015 (so awful no game recap itself was needed, to note the awfulness).
And yet, I think it's safe to say, Sunday might see something, we rarely if ever see at Arrowhead.
A confused fanbase.
--------------------
(*: it never fails to amaze, amuse, and disgust me, how the introduction of the only fan of "those people" I've ever felt affection for, into my life not even 72 hours after that game, has impacted my life -- both good, bad, and indifferent -- every day since her introduction the Wednesday after that game. It's crazy sometimes, how something can be injected into your life, when you least see it coming -- again, good (at first), bad (for a solid few years), and indifferent (the last few years).)
(**: this was the defeat when I was so p*ssed, that when I got home, I grabbed a handle of vodka out of the freezer, locked myself in my bedroom, and called in sick the next three days. Hey, you blow a two touchdown lead to your most hated team with 2:23 to play, then lose in overtime on a blocked punt, and tell me how you'd react?)
--------------------
So drew lock will make his Arrowhead debut as a pro on Sunday.
The local kid -- Lee's Summit, Mizzou -- starting opposite the team his family has supported his entire life.
I feel for the kid -- truly, I do. He clearly has a bigger pair than me -- there's no way in hell I'd ever report to those people. I'd rather jump off the Bond Bridge and take my chances with the (not yet) frozen river below, than wear those people's jersey, let alone accept a paycheck from them.
But Sunday, there are going to be people cheering for mr. lock inside that stadium. And I get it. (lionel richie voice *** ) Truly, I do.
Only ... there's only one thing I'm cheering for, come Sunday.
--------------------
(***: it's not my favorite by "the greatest bard since Billy Shakespeare" ... but it's by far and away, the best song he ever wrote. Sweet Jesus, it's an epic masterpiece. What I wouldn't give to meet a chica who makes me feel the words of "Truly".)
--------------------
And that is to Ryan Leaf his career:
* at Chiefs (-10) 23, those people 7.
Hope to see y'all out there ... in the cold ... in the snow ... in weather that yet again makes me ask, why the hell I ever moved back here to KC, when I could be watching this game in fifty plus degree Arlington, Texas, the way I was twenty one years ago, when this streak of appearances began ...
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week twelve picks
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