Thursday, September 26, 2019

week four tnf pick

Sorry to break this one off from the rest of the pack, but I wanted to get it posted before kickoff.

For tonight's pick ... this game is potentially so huge come December, especially for the Eagles.  If they drop this one, they fall to 1-3 overall, 1-3 in the conference, and will already be losing tiebreakers to the "Shane" Falcons and Packers -- which would be no bueno if Dallas keeps running away with the NFC "L"East, and relegates Philly to a wild card team.

Furthermore, the Eagles next five headed into the bye?  The Jets at home, roadies at Minnesota, Buffalo, and Dallas (SNF), then a home matchup with the Bears.  And after the bye, they host the Patriots and Seahawks.  If they lose tonight, and somehow go 4-3 in that stretch upcoming, they'd still be 5-6 entering December, and that's not where you want to be, especially with the Cowboys rematch still on tap that would all but eliminate you.

Conversely, the Packers need this one too, given how good the NFC Norris has looked so far.  The only losses for any NFC Norris squad so far are both to the Packers (the Bears Week One, the Vikings Week Two).  And Green Bay's next five look as brutal as Philly's -- if not even worse.  A long week to prep for a trip to Dallas next Sunday, then host the Lions on a Monday night, before hosting the raiders, and going at the Chiefs (SNF), then at the "Super" Chargers.  The Packers also close with three straight divisional games -- including two straight on the road at the Vikings and Lions.

In my season predictions, I have the winner of this game taking the sixth and final seed in the NFC.  And given I have said sixth and final seed in the NFC Title Game, I clearly believe in the team that I chose to win this game a month ago.

(Gulp).

Sorry, Packers fans.

* at Packers (-3 1/2) 28, Eagles 20.

Rest of the Week Four picks should be up by tomorrow evening.  Let's just say my day at work did not go as planned today.  (Namely, I actually had to work.  Who knew?  Not me, that's for sure ...)

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