week seven predictions

sk: the rest coming later this week(end).  Consider this a placeholder to get the Thursday game prognosticated.

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The Statisticals.

Last Week SU: 7-7-0.

Season to Date SU: 57-33-1.

Last Week ATS: 8-5-1.

Season to Date ATS: 46-42-3.

Last Week Upset / Week: solid cover.

Season to Date Upset / Week SU: 2-4-0.

Season to Date Upset / Week ATS: 3-3-0.

This Week Upset / Week: Bears (+5 1/2) over Rams.

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The Week Seven Non-Chiefs Picks.

* Byes: Vikings, Dolphins, Colts, Ravens.  There's at least one playoff team in this grouping of non-competitors this week.  (Pause).  Put your hand down, Indianapolis -- it ain't you ...

* at Eagles 23, Giants (-4) 20.  I can't wait for our good friend, Ol' Pete King, I can't wait for his head to explode when 6-9-1 Philadelphia hosts 11-5-0 Chicago or Green Bay to open the playoffs.  There's a lot of things I disagree with that dude over, few of which I disagree with him more, than the idea a division champ should have to travel to play a wild card team.  I don't care if the division champ is ten games worse than the wild card team -- winning your division should matter a hell of a lot more, than finishing second, third, or fourth, in your division.  On this, I know I'm right.

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* at Redskins (+1) 20, Cowboys 13.  How far this once great rivalry has fallen.

* Bills (-10) 34, at Jets 3.  Somehow this line has dropped three points in three days.  That's inconceivable to me.

* at Texans (+3) 34, Packers 30.  It's Houston's last stand.  And for some idiotic reason, I rarely if ever bet against a proven veteran team at home, with its' season on the line.

* at Browns (-3 1/2) 31, Bengals 20.  I'm old enough to remember when "The Battle for Ohio" was good for a prime time game every year.  (Think Boomer vs Bernie.)  We're about two years away from that being a reality again.  If not one.

* Lions (+1) 38, at "Shane" Falcons 20.  The third wild card means this game still has some significance for both teams.  The loser is almost assuredly done.

* at Saints 24, Panthers (+6 1/2) 20.  I actually think Carolina is going to win outright; I'm just too chicken sh*t cowardly this week to pick it.

* at Titans (-1) 31, Steelers 21.  Another three point shift since I wrote the lines down Thursday.  This one makes total sense.  The better team is now favored.

* at raiders (+4) 28, Buccaneers 20.  I wish this one hadn't been flexed.  I was really looking forward to this as the night cap.  Now we don't even get to see it in KC.  Damned virus.

* at "Super" Chargers (-7 1/2) 31, Jaguars 20.  A battle of two one win squads, one of which has overachieved its' way to this point, the other of which has underachieved yet again.  I swear, Anthony Lynn must have pics of Dean Spanos in kiddie clown porn to justify still being employed at this point.

* at Patriots (-3) 17, 49ers 10.  The last time these two faced off in Foxboro was the game Colin Kaepernick arrived, sparking the 49ers to an upset.  Can Jimmy G do the same?  (Hint: hell no.)

* at "Super" Cardinals (+3) 31, Seahawks 24.  Gonna be a long night for the remote, between this and Rays / Dodgers Game Five.

* Bears (+5 1/2) 30, at Rams 20.  They just win folks.  They just win.

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* Chiefs 31, at those people (+7 1/2) 28.  This one will be far closer than most people think.  If those people win this one, I think they're playoff bound.  (Their next four: vs "Super" Chargers, at "Shane" Falcons, at raiders, vs Dolphins).  The Chiefs three trips to fake mile high under the leadership of Patrick Mahomes "Of The Chiefs" have all been memorable -- Mr. Mahomes first career start, "The Left Handed Pass", and last year, the moment we all fear the season was over in Week Seven on a fourth and one sneak.  I don't claim to know what this year's game turner will be, but biasedly, I hope it involved Le'Veon Bell.

Oh, in case anyone cares, the Homegating Plans are leftover Lock Loins from last night, plus three or four types of nachos (pulled pork, beef, chicken) over at the Second Parents.  

And I think that's it.  It's pushing 11am, and I still have to make my contribution for today.  Sh*t, I still have to go buy my contributions for today.  Enjoy the games y'all ...